Posted:
#651
I have pitching match up in your favor with Atlanta and Mets.
G/L
0
ML UNDERDOG CHASE SYSTEM...
Posted:
#655
Hey Qbun, I'm fairly new to mlb and I stumbled across this system of yours and it seems interesting. There seems to be so mich information compiled in this thread that I'd get thrown off. I just want to try and understand the basics of what we are trying to accomplish here. So lets say I bet $10 on game 1, they end up losing, next day double up by increasing my bet to $20 on the same dog, but lets say they lose. So now I have to double up on the third game for $40? And if worst case comes they lose that 3rd game with a possible sweep at hand. I chase the final game with $80? To try and get a good return but not as much as if I would receive if they won't the first couple games. And if they do get sweep, just consider it as a big lost?
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Posted:
#656
Spect,
There are multiple ways you can go about this. Of course it depends on the line of each game, but lets just use +150 as an example. so in a 4 game series at all games being +150 here is what I came up with. If your "unit" is $10, your goal is to profit $10 on each series.
Example 1: Starting Balance $100
Game 1 Bet: $6.67 to win $10 - if win balance $110, if lose -
Game 2 Bet $11.11 to win $16.67 (game 1 loss + 1 unit) - if win balance $110, if lose
Game 3 Bet $18.52 to win $27.78 (game 1 loss + game 2 loss + 1 unit) - if win balance $110, if lose and this is final game of series total loss would be $36.30, if a game 4
Game 4 Bet $30.87 to win $46.30 (game 1 loss + game 2 loss + game 3 loss + 1 unit), if win balance $110, if lose, total loss $67.17
That is one way to minimize losses on a sweep, but you are winning a flat rate each series you win.
The other way, which I think most people probably do is:
Starting balance 200
Game 1 Bet $10 to win 15, if win balance 215, if lose (190)
Game 2 Bet 20 to win 30, if win balance 220, if lose (170)
Game 3 Bet 40 to win 60, if win balance 230, if lose (130)
(in this case some people will only bet 30 to win 45 as that would still result in a 15 profit)
Game 4 Bet 80 to win 120, if win balance $250, if lose (50)
(again, in this case, some will bet 40 to win 60, because if you lose 10, 20, 30, this would break you even for the series)
as you see in the second case, it is actually more profitable to win a later game in the series, but a lot less stress winning the first one haha
however all this is based on a flat line of +150 which is almost never going to be the case, just easier to explain it that way
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Posted:
#658
Preakness Picks...
2/3/5 (BOX)
3/4/6 (BOX)
3/7/9 (BOX)
1/3/8 (BOX)
3/1/10 (NO BOX)
2/3/8/10 (BOX)
3/5/8/10 (BOX)
Ria Antonia +2400 to Win..Calvin should be ticked off for getting kicked off the ponie he was on for the Kentucky Derby...
California Chrome W/P/S..shi**y odds, but its a So CaL ponie so LET'S GO!!!!!
2/3/5 (BOX)
3/4/6 (BOX)
3/7/9 (BOX)
1/3/8 (BOX)
3/1/10 (NO BOX)
2/3/8/10 (BOX)
3/5/8/10 (BOX)
Ria Antonia +2400 to Win..Calvin should be ticked off for getting kicked off the ponie he was on for the Kentucky Derby...
California Chrome W/P/S..shi**y odds, but its a So CaL ponie so LET'S GO!!!!!
0
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