F5

Question

I am not sure if this is right but my model is saying: &#xA;&#xA;&#xA;Only 2/22 F5 leaders held the full game lead through first week (9.1%).&#xA;&#xA;Any thoughts

crshrsh · Answer

I am not sure if this is right but my model is saying: &#xA;&#xA;&#xA;Only 2/22 F5 leaders held the full game lead through first week (9.1%).&#xA;&#xA;Any thoughts

crshrsh · Answer

@crshrsh&#xA; the model was wrong... after looking more closely: &#xA;3. F5 Lead Not Held &#x2014; ?? COMPLETELY NORMALIZED&#xA;The most dramatic reversal. Was 9.1% hold rate (2/22 games) on Day 1. Now F5 leaders are holding 92.3% of the time (12/13 games). The  column confirms it &#x2014; only 1 home team in 20 games won F5 but lost the full game (5%).&#xA;The Day 1 reading was almost certainly a spring training artifact &#x2014; ST lineups turn over heavily in the 6th-9th innings as managers clear the bench, making F5 leads meaningless. Now that regular season rosters are set, F5 leads are holding at the normal rate. Kill this strategy idea too.&#xA;This was before a total rebuild where spring training was leaking in.&#xA; &#xA;Sorry

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