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    All Forums | MLB Betting Forum

    denvedder - MLB contest - sides - incredible run

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    tvigilante2020
    chicubs09
    Luckydan
    olga51
    Dulay
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    tvigilante2020
    tvigilante2020
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    Posted: Jun. 17, 2024 - 2:56 PM ET #151

    @poolboy

     "And the OP is #33! cool"

    ________________________

    Thanks, I'm trying this new regression MLB theory. Seems to be working for sides, but the totals is rough (in 20 years I've never been good at totals in ANY sport). 

    I expected to be at that units total for sides mid June....we'll see how the rest of the season goes. I want to hit even units at 0 for totals, quit that regression theory, and then just work on sides for the rest of the season.

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    @poolboy

     "And the OP is #33! cool"

    ________________________

    Thanks, I'm trying this new regression MLB theory. Seems to be working for sides, but the totals is rough (in 20 years I've never been good at totals in ANY sport). 

    I expected to be at that units total for sides mid June....we'll see how the rest of the season goes. I want to hit even units at 0 for totals, quit that regression theory, and then just work on sides for the rest of the season.

     
    chicubs09
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    Posted: Jun. 17, 2024 - 3:38 PM ET #152

    Quote Originally Posted by tvigilante2020:

    @poolboy "If I may answer, DeaconBlues2525, he's only going with totals. #1 in League Contest. Noticed him previous seasons..." ___________________________________ This year he is crushing the MLB contest early in totals....I've never seen anything like it, and I'm wondering when he's going to regress. The person is leading the contest based on just totals alone????
    He's leading the mlb contest on totals alone because i see that the contest only charges 10% vig if you lose a total even if the vig is actually higher at the sportsbooks. there are guys who have better win loss records than him who play mostly sides but it's a killer when they lose -220 favs while he only loses 10% on a total. 

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    Quote Originally Posted by tvigilante2020:

    @poolboy "If I may answer, DeaconBlues2525, he's only going with totals. #1 in League Contest. Noticed him previous seasons..." ___________________________________ This year he is crushing the MLB contest early in totals....I've never seen anything like it, and I'm wondering when he's going to regress. The person is leading the contest based on just totals alone????
    He's leading the mlb contest on totals alone because i see that the contest only charges 10% vig if you lose a total even if the vig is actually higher at the sportsbooks. there are guys who have better win loss records than him who play mostly sides but it's a killer when they lose -220 favs while he only loses 10% on a total. 

     
    tvigilante2020
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    Posted: Jun. 17, 2024 - 4:09 PM ET #153

    @chicubs09

    Yes, we all understand vig, but the fact that he's hitting 58% on over 600 totals is a bit ridiculous.

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    @chicubs09

    Yes, we all understand vig, but the fact that he's hitting 58% on over 600 totals is a bit ridiculous.

     
    Luckydan
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    Posted: Jun. 17, 2024 - 5:07 PM ET #154

    @finsterbaby

     Kikinf2000

    39-9 81% on SIDES this year

    GL

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    @finsterbaby

     Kikinf2000

    39-9 81% on SIDES this year

    GL

     
    tvigilante2020
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    Posted: Jun. 17, 2024 - 5:21 PM ET #155

    @Luckydan

     Kikinf2000

    39-9 81% on SIDES this year

    _________________________

    I've been looking at that user over the last month and they seem to have slightly more games picked than our person denvedder, except, kikinf2000 has not gone on a 26 in a row win streak. At least from what I have seen, denvedder hasn't lost more than 1 pick in a row? I'm gonna ride denvedder until they lose 3 in a row.

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    @Luckydan

     Kikinf2000

    39-9 81% on SIDES this year

    _________________________

    I've been looking at that user over the last month and they seem to have slightly more games picked than our person denvedder, except, kikinf2000 has not gone on a 26 in a row win streak. At least from what I have seen, denvedder hasn't lost more than 1 pick in a row? I'm gonna ride denvedder until they lose 3 in a row.

     
    chicubs09
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    Posted: Jun. 17, 2024 - 5:35 PM ET #156

    Quote Originally Posted by Luckydan:

    @finsterbaby  Kikinf2000 39-9 81% on SIDES this year GL
    He has atlanta-225 tonight also stlouis/miami over 7 but he's 5-7-1 on totals. 

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    Quote Originally Posted by Luckydan:

    @finsterbaby  Kikinf2000 39-9 81% on SIDES this year GL
    He has atlanta-225 tonight also stlouis/miami over 7 but he's 5-7-1 on totals. 

     
    olga51
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    Posted: Jun. 17, 2024 - 5:48 PM ET #157

    @chicubs09

     I only see Philly-175 on his profile

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    @chicubs09

     I only see Philly-175 on his profile

     
    chicubs09
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    Posted: Jun. 17, 2024 - 5:52 PM ET #158

    Quote Originally Posted by olga51:

    @chicubs09  I only see Philly-175 on his profile
     Kikinf2000 has atlanta. yes denvedder only has philly

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    Quote Originally Posted by olga51:

    @chicubs09  I only see Philly-175 on his profile
     Kikinf2000 has atlanta. yes denvedder only has philly

     
    Dulay
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    Posted: Jun. 17, 2024 - 6:46 PM ET #159

    if you go through some of these cappers picks some bet the whole board or  high juice games which at the end will eat you up .

    I know denveddar picks some high juice games but he's very selective which is good some other cappers just plays too many games in a day.

    I also try to look for cappers which I can fade which can be good lol 

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    if you go through some of these cappers picks some bet the whole board or  high juice games which at the end will eat you up .

    I know denveddar picks some high juice games but he's very selective which is good some other cappers just plays too many games in a day.

    I also try to look for cappers which I can fade which can be good lol 

     
    Dulay
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    Posted: Jun. 17, 2024 - 6:47 PM ET #160

    Quote Originally Posted by tvigilante2020:

    @poolboy "If I may answer, DeaconBlues2525, he's only going with totals. #1 in League Contest. Noticed him previous seasons..." ___________________________________ This year he is crushing the MLB contest early in totals....I've never seen anything like it, and I'm wondering when he's going to regress. The person is leading the contest based on just totals alone????

     

    the previous years he's gotten killed

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    Quote Originally Posted by tvigilante2020:

    @poolboy "If I may answer, DeaconBlues2525, he's only going with totals. #1 in League Contest. Noticed him previous seasons..." ___________________________________ This year he is crushing the MLB contest early in totals....I've never seen anything like it, and I'm wondering when he's going to regress. The person is leading the contest based on just totals alone????

     

    the previous years he's gotten killed

     
    chicubs09
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    Posted: Jun. 17, 2024 - 6:54 PM ET #161

    In the mlb contest some guys picked games that the line was -10000 and lost which buried them. why would a game have a line like that and why take a chance picking it?

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    In the mlb contest some guys picked games that the line was -10000 and lost which buried them. why would a game have a line like that and why take a chance picking it?

     
    Dulay
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    Posted: Jun. 17, 2024 - 8:11 PM ET #162

    Early payout on Philly 

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    Early payout on Philly 

     
    chicubs09
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    Posted: Jun. 17, 2024 - 8:16 PM ET #163

    Quote Originally Posted by Dulay:

    Early payout on Philly
    i don't have that option. can you only do that if you have them in parlays or only  with straight bets?

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    Quote Originally Posted by Dulay:

    Early payout on Philly
    i don't have that option. can you only do that if you have them in parlays or only  with straight bets?

     
    kobi_j
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    Posted: Jun. 17, 2024 - 8:23 PM ET #164

    Is this denveddar first year or has he always been killing it like this?

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    Is this denveddar first year or has he always been killing it like this?

     
    tvigilante2020
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    Posted: Jun. 17, 2024 - 9:06 PM ET #165

    @chicubs09

     "In the mlb contest some guys picked games that the line was -10000 and lost which buried them. why would a game have a line like that and why take a chance picking it?"

    ___________________________________

    Covers has yet to correct all the games that had those lines. It wiped out CNOTES in the MLB contest....dude was in first and then got buried by those line errors. I saw those lines and was like, no fucking way I'm playing those games. I guess we'll see if it'll come back to haunt him. His units still have not been updated since Flynt said they were going to correct it.

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    @chicubs09

     "In the mlb contest some guys picked games that the line was -10000 and lost which buried them. why would a game have a line like that and why take a chance picking it?"

    ___________________________________

    Covers has yet to correct all the games that had those lines. It wiped out CNOTES in the MLB contest....dude was in first and then got buried by those line errors. I saw those lines and was like, no fucking way I'm playing those games. I guess we'll see if it'll come back to haunt him. His units still have not been updated since Flynt said they were going to correct it.

     
    chicubs09
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    Posted: Jun. 17, 2024 - 9:22 PM ET #166

    Quote Originally Posted by tvigilante2020:

    @chicubs09  "In the mlb contest some guys picked games that the line was -10000 and lost which buried them. why would a game have a line like that and why take a chance picking it?" ___________________________________ Covers has yet to correct all the games that had those lines. It wiped out CNOTES in the MLB contest....dude was in first and then got buried by those line errors. I saw those lines and was like, no fucking way I'm playing those games. I guess we'll see if it'll come back to haunt him. His units still have not been updated since Flynt said they were going to correct it.
    Yes i remember CNOTES was leading the mlb contest and that crushed him but he wasn't the only one, it happened to a bunch of other guys.

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    Quote Originally Posted by tvigilante2020:

    @chicubs09  "In the mlb contest some guys picked games that the line was -10000 and lost which buried them. why would a game have a line like that and why take a chance picking it?" ___________________________________ Covers has yet to correct all the games that had those lines. It wiped out CNOTES in the MLB contest....dude was in first and then got buried by those line errors. I saw those lines and was like, no fucking way I'm playing those games. I guess we'll see if it'll come back to haunt him. His units still have not been updated since Flynt said they were going to correct it.
    Yes i remember CNOTES was leading the mlb contest and that crushed him but he wasn't the only one, it happened to a bunch of other guys.

     
    chicubs09
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    Posted: Jun. 17, 2024 - 9:24 PM ET #167

    Denvedder  thanks for another winneran_cheersan_worshipan_praisean_clapwinmoneybagan_2drinksthumbs_upan_wooan_happydudean_bouncean_dance

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    Denvedder  thanks for another winneran_cheersan_worshipan_praisean_clapwinmoneybagan_2drinksthumbs_upan_wooan_happydudean_bouncean_dance

     
    poolboy
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    Posted: Jun. 18, 2024 - 5:15 AM ET #168

    Den has NYY for Tuesday...definitely picking up the pace making picks!

    Cautiously pessimistic
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    Den has NYY for Tuesday...definitely picking up the pace making picks!

     
    NONEED4LUCK
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    Posted: Jun. 18, 2024 - 6:12 AM ET #169

    Go Yanks

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    Go Yanks

     
    tvigilante2020
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    Posted: Jun. 18, 2024 - 8:21 AM ET #170

    Thanks poolboy.

    denvedder's play for today is the Yanks -155

    His record on sides is 40 - 4 = 91%

    Are they due for a regression? We'll see.

    BOL, everyone!

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    Thanks poolboy.

    denvedder's play for today is the Yanks -155

    His record on sides is 40 - 4 = 91%

    Are they due for a regression? We'll see.

    BOL, everyone!

     
    Dulay
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    Posted: Jun. 18, 2024 - 11:42 AM ET #171

    Quote Originally Posted by chicubs09:

    Quote Originally Posted by Dulay: Early payout on Philly i don't have that option. can you only do that if you have them in parlays or only  with straight bets?

    I have bet365 if you bet single or parlay the team you bet is up more than 5 runs it will count it as a win which is nice 

    in hockey if the team is up 3 or up 15 or more points in basketball its an early payout love this 

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    Quote Originally Posted by chicubs09:

    Quote Originally Posted by Dulay: Early payout on Philly i don't have that option. can you only do that if you have them in parlays or only  with straight bets?

    I have bet365 if you bet single or parlay the team you bet is up more than 5 runs it will count it as a win which is nice 

    in hockey if the team is up 3 or up 15 or more points in basketball its an early payout love this 

     
    Dulay
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    Posted: Jun. 18, 2024 - 11:51 AM ET #172

    @kobi_j

     

    Quote Originally Posted by kobi_j:

    Is this denveddar first year or has he always been killing it like this?

     

    2018 lost

    2019 won

    2020 lost

    2021 lost

    2022 won

    2023 lost

    2024 killing it

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    @kobi_j

     

    Quote Originally Posted by kobi_j:

    Is this denveddar first year or has he always been killing it like this?

     

    2018 lost

    2019 won

    2020 lost

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    2024 killing it

     
    tvigilante2020
    tvigilante2020
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    Posted: Jun. 18, 2024 - 12:11 PM ET #173

    @Dulay

     I know this is the first time ever on covers that I've done this well in the MLB contest (any contest) with sides....LOL. Can't wait to see if I regress and get destroyed.

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    @Dulay

     I know this is the first time ever on covers that I've done this well in the MLB contest (any contest) with sides....LOL. Can't wait to see if I regress and get destroyed.

     
    Dulay
    Dulay
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    Posted: Jun. 18, 2024 - 2:18 PM ET #174

    @tvigilante2020

    by tailing denveddar ??

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    @tvigilante2020

    by tailing denveddar ??

     
     
    tvigilante2020
    tvigilante2020
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    Posted: Jun. 18, 2024 - 6:07 PM ET #175

    @Dulay

    My own MLB regression system picking sides...it's the first season I'm using it in the contest and it's not doing too bad so far, it's at 51% and I'm at +22060 with $500 each bet (imaginary money). It's only been two months since I started it in mid April, and was tracking the teams after the first 2 weeks of the season to see which teams would start out well and not so well. 

    In regards to denvedder...I'm VERY curious to see where they land by the end of the season.

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    @Dulay

    My own MLB regression system picking sides...it's the first season I'm using it in the contest and it's not doing too bad so far, it's at 51% and I'm at +22060 with $500 each bet (imaginary money). It's only been two months since I started it in mid April, and was tracking the teams after the first 2 weeks of the season to see which teams would start out well and not so well. 

    In regards to denvedder...I'm VERY curious to see where they land by the end of the season.

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