Daj Model 6/24

OVERALL RECORD: 39-22 (63.9%) --- UNITS: +16.78u

*All 1u flat bets

Rangers/Marlins OV 7.5 +108

Cubs ML -108 (GAME 1)

Cubs RL (+1.5) -202 (GAME 1)

Opinions are definitely welcome.  I tend to disagree with that logic when it comes to focusing on +EV matchups.  I do agree with that logic when it comes to the standard sports bettor.  The more games they bet, the more likely they will lose long-term.

ADD:

Guardians ML -113

Guardians RL (-1.5) +150

Why Marlin Ober 

@archtown

 Marlins over has a +EV today in the model.  Not an EV that is going to blow you away but puts it in the criteria as a play by the model. 

Does the model play every game 

@Fire1998

 It does not.  There are a handful of skip games every day.  If the +EV doesn't reach the playable threshold, the plays are skips.

@Dajsports1

 Ok ??

 Interesting my model says under 

@Fire1998

Based on that response, I take it you mean "play every game" in a different context lol

@archtown

 Very well expected.  There is no perfect model.  I have other models that run in the background that agree and disagree on certain plays.  It happens.  No model is hitting 100% of the time.  

@Dajsports1

 That's a misprint 

@wantwinners

 Actually very much not the case. Really depends on someone’s bankroll. Based on your $250-1k comment, we seem to run in very different circles when it comes to sports betting and that’s ok. I’m just posting for the love of the game. Have had other profitable models that I wasn’t allowed to go public on. This one I can. So I thought I would post. If you don’t like the model, that’s cool. 

Add: 

Orioles ML +108

@wantwinners

 You as well!

If you dont mind me asking? where do u find these models for handicapping games?

@Loserspicks8

 I build them

ADD:

Tigers RL (-1.5) +186

Yankees/Tigers OV 7.5 +117

Mariners/Pirates OV 7.5 -113

Blue Jays ML -133

Blue Jays RL (-1.5) +156

Dbacks ML +108

Dbacks RL (+1.5) -194

ADD:

Braves ML -117

Braves RL (-1.5) +144

@Loserspicks8

 try oddizer.com i think they have a free 7 day trial. no credit card required. or solved sports.com you can build your own model for almost any sport.

ADD:

Nationals ML +113 (Posted on X at 6 PM)

Nationals RL (+1.5) -138 (Posted on X at 6 PM)

Phillies/Nationals OV 9.5 +104 (Posted on X at 6 PM)

Athletics ML -108

Athletics RL (-1.5) +156

6/24 ---DAILY RECORD: 7-13 --- UNITS: -7.49U

OVERALL RECORD: 46-35 (56.8%) --- UNITS: +9.29u

*All 1u flat bets

 Took being on the wrong end of 4 blown saves (3 with two outs in the 9th or 10th) to find the loss on the day

Rangers/Marlins OV 7.5 +108

Cubs ML -108 (GAME 1)

Cubs RL (+1.5) -202 (GAME 1)

Guardians ML -113

Guardians RL (-1.5) +150

Orioles ML +108

Tigers RL (-1.5) +186

Yankees/Tigers OV 7.5 +117

Mariners/Pirates OV 7.5 -113

Blue Jays ML -133

Blue Jays RL (-1.5) +156

Dbacks ML +108

Dbacks RL (+1.5) -194

Braves ML -117

Braves RL (-1.5) +144

Nationals ML +113 

Nationals RL (+1.5) -138

Phillies/Nationals OV 9.5 +104

Athletics ML -108

Athletics RL (-1.5) +156