Posted:
#101
@Cranky_Hank
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Couple thoughts
Posted:
#104
@gotime
Quote Originally Posted by gotime:
@LVTruck I totally agree. That is why I bet the Yankees yesterday and posted in your thread. Even 1 player or a small change in batting order can be what decides the game. Good luck today.
@LVTruck I totally agree. That is why I bet the Yankees yesterday and posted in your thread. Even 1 player or a small change in batting order can be what decides the game. Good luck today.
This was a play: ??
@LVTruck
Yankees are way overdue for a run explosion. Will it happen today I do not have any clue.
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Posted:
#105
@LVTruck
Quote Originally Posted by LVTruck:
I cannot bet these games pre-lineup, bro. I am not a tease. I have been grinding this card all day. How the hell am I supposed to bet a game without knowing who is actually playing? I do not understand how people skip that part like it is optional
I cannot bet these games pre-lineup, bro. I am not a tease. I have been grinding this card all day. How the hell am I supposed to bet a game without knowing who is actually playing? I do not understand how people skip that part like it is optional
I know I asked you before how you determine how much this matters to you. I get a big bat out of the lineup can matter. I get the right mix of LH or RH hitters can matter.
But how do you decide how much a weak hitting midfielder even matters?
Are you just going by ‘feel’ or intuition?
Or do you have a some type of player assessment that you plug in and adjust per each lineup?
Just curious — whenever you have time. 
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icious 
Posted:
#116
@LVTruck
Do you do something akin to this:
Mets Lineup Ratings
- Francisco Lindor – 9.2
- Juan Soto – 10.0
- Bo Bichette – 8.5
- Mark Vientos – 7.8
- Eric Wagaman – 5.5
- Francisco Alvarez – 6.8
- Carson Benge – 5.5
- Tyrone Taylor – 5.3
- Brett Baty – 6.0
Mets Total: 64.6
Average: 7.18
Braves Lineup Ratings
- Mauricio Dubón – 6.2
- Drake Baldwin – 6.8
- Ozzie Albies – 7.5
- Matt Olson – 9.0
- Austin Riley – 8.8
- Michael Harris II – 7.2
- Eli White – 5.2
- Joey Bart – 5.8
- Jorge Mateo – 4.8
Braves Total: 61.3
Average: 6.81
Overall Comparison
- Mets: 64.6
- Braves: 61.3
Edge: Mets by 3.3 rating points, driven primarily by the elite top of the order (Lindor, Soto, and Bichette).
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Posted:
#117
The 3.3-point gap isn't huge, but it's meaningful. Most of the difference comes from:
- Juan Soto gives the Mets a hitter the Braves simply can't match at the top.
- Lindor + Soto + Bichette form a much stronger top three than Dubón + Baldwin + Albies.
- The Braves make up some ground with Olson and Riley, who are among the best middle-of-the-order duos in baseball.
- The bottom third of both lineups is fairly similar, with neither team having a major advantage there.
If these teams faced the same average pitcher tonight, I'd estimate the Mets' lineup projects to produce roughly 0.3 to 0.5 more runs over the course of a game based on offensive talent alone. Pitching, bullpen quality, ballpark, and matchups can easily outweigh that difference on any given night, but on paper the Mets have the stronger lineup.
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Posted:
#125
@LVTruck
Quote Originally Posted by LVTruck:
@Raiders22 Thats fucken sweet,
@Raiders22 Thats fucken sweet,
That is not mine. I just tossed something together for an example with player ratings, etc. I know folks that do that with soccer and basketball. But I have never known someone that relies on it a lot in MLB.
I think pitching and advanced metrics are more important.
But I am interested in how an average middle infielder affects how folks that use this sort of thing really make it work for them.
I get if a Soto is out — that is a big deal.
But how do you account for a LF that is just average being in or out of the lineup?
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