Not me. To me, that makes no sense. You are deliberately betting on a cold team and betting against a hot team, at least based on how the first two games have gone.
I also think that a lot of bettors do it, and the line is affected. Especially when it's a good team that is on the brink of getting swept. People say, no way the Red Sox or Mets will get swept. So they bet on the favorite and the line goes up (especially on favorite-crazy books like SIA where I have an account).
So sometimes, I think the team about to be swept is overvalued and I'll bet ON the team to get the sweep, if there are other factors to make me like them.
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Not me. To me, that makes no sense. You are deliberately betting on a cold team and betting against a hot team, at least based on how the first two games have gone.
I also think that a lot of bettors do it, and the line is affected. Especially when it's a good team that is on the brink of getting swept. People say, no way the Red Sox or Mets will get swept. So they bet on the favorite and the line goes up (especially on favorite-crazy books like SIA where I have an account).
So sometimes, I think the team about to be swept is overvalued and I'll bet ON the team to get the sweep, if there are other factors to make me like them.
There is a system that is dedicated to this theory. Has done exceptionally well over the past few years. Some yahoo named Morrison sells it for like $200, but you can find it for free with a search.
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There is a system that is dedicated to this theory. Has done exceptionally well over the past few years. Some yahoo named Morrison sells it for like $200, but you can find it for free with a search.
The system is good for dog value but horrible for big favorites such as the Yanks or Sox. You'll get so caught up with the juice that if either team gets swept, it's easy to blow a couple weeks worth of profit. Not sure if you're talking about this exact system or if everyone here knows about this, but here is a quick recap of a system I saw someone using on here a couple years back that I've looked into...
At the beginning of the week (when 3-4 game series starts), you break down the matchups for the whole series. You should have a pretty good idea on the lines for each game (who will be favored based on pitching, etc). Pick the team that you believe will NOT get swept and wager on each game to win one unit. If you win game 1 of the series, you're done with that series. If not, you then wager game 2 to win 2 units (get back the 1 unit and profit 1 unit). And so on and so forth. Your goal is to win 1 unit per series. As you can probably see, if you bet the Yanks -270 for 1 unit profit and lose game 1 & the line for game 2 is -250, you're having to risk quite a bit to make up that 1 unit loss. That's why it can be profitable to bet the big dogs in the series; no juice and possibly a little extra profit.
I believe it's a good system for those that have patience and discipline to follow it through entirely and have no problem betting (no offense to anyone) the Royals +250 at the Yanks. I have no clue who it was that I saw that was using this system, therefore I dont know if they are around the forum or if this system is posted anywhere else. Just thought I would throw in what I knew of it and maybe give some insight to others looking for a system.
Here's to a profitable 2009 season
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The system is good for dog value but horrible for big favorites such as the Yanks or Sox. You'll get so caught up with the juice that if either team gets swept, it's easy to blow a couple weeks worth of profit. Not sure if you're talking about this exact system or if everyone here knows about this, but here is a quick recap of a system I saw someone using on here a couple years back that I've looked into...
At the beginning of the week (when 3-4 game series starts), you break down the matchups for the whole series. You should have a pretty good idea on the lines for each game (who will be favored based on pitching, etc). Pick the team that you believe will NOT get swept and wager on each game to win one unit. If you win game 1 of the series, you're done with that series. If not, you then wager game 2 to win 2 units (get back the 1 unit and profit 1 unit). And so on and so forth. Your goal is to win 1 unit per series. As you can probably see, if you bet the Yanks -270 for 1 unit profit and lose game 1 & the line for game 2 is -250, you're having to risk quite a bit to make up that 1 unit loss. That's why it can be profitable to bet the big dogs in the series; no juice and possibly a little extra profit.
I believe it's a good system for those that have patience and discipline to follow it through entirely and have no problem betting (no offense to anyone) the Royals +250 at the Yanks. I have no clue who it was that I saw that was using this system, therefore I dont know if they are around the forum or if this system is posted anywhere else. Just thought I would throw in what I knew of it and maybe give some insight to others looking for a system.
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