The line at -130 would mean that the Yanks would have to win this game more than 57% of the time to be profitable...I think they would win with tonight's matchup at a much higher clip than this...especially in this spot knowing they win here with their ace on the mound the series is all but over.
So what you're saying is that the Yankees would play better than .570 ball in this same situation against a team that's played .620 ball at home this season over 84 home games.
You need to re-think that one, sir.
I think you should be answering this question for the ANGELS and not the Yankees. Kazmir NEVER goes deep into games and the Angels bullpen isn't shut down...not to mention that their relievers threw many more pitches than the Yanks' pen yesterday. But since you asked the question you did, the answer is quite simpler than "NOBODY"....Sabathia on short rest or not can bring the game to the 7th or 8th and then you have Joba (10 pitches yest.), Marte (1), Coke (3), Hughes (19), Rivera (17), Robertson (11), Aceves (3)...combined 68 pitches from the pen compared to the Angels 94 pitches (which includes 28 from their most reliable reliever Darren Oliver).
The Yankees are the better team with the better starter, better lineup, better bullpen, and the best closer in the history of the sport. The line at -130 would mean that the Yanks would have to win this game more than 57% of the time to be profitable...I think they would win with tonight's matchup at a much higher clip than this...especially in this spot knowing they win here with their ace on the mound the series is all but over.
I posted that last night without digging up stats and actually looking at the BP numbers from the game. With that being said, I love how we can debate about these types of things. Last night I said I wasn't gonna bet on emotion, so I didn't. I am trying to become a better capper in the process!
I posted that last night without digging up stats and actually looking at the BP numbers from the game. With that being said, I love how we can debate about these types of things. Last night I said I wasn't gonna bet on emotion, so I didn't. I am trying to become a better capper in the process!
likewise!
So what you're saying is that the Yankees would play better than .570 ball in this same situation against a team that's played .620 ball at home this season over 84 home games.
You need to re-think that one, sir.
I just took your advice and thought about it again and here is what I came up with: I don't think the Angels would have played .620 ball at home this year if they played the Yankees in over 84 home games.
After racking my brain again yes I do think the Yanks would win this exact matchup over 57% of the time.
I think you should be answering this question for the ANGELS and not the Yankees. Kazmir NEVER goes deep into games and the Angels bullpen isn't shut down...not to mention that their relievers threw many more pitches than the Yanks' pen yesterday. But since you asked the question you did, the answer is quite simpler than "NOBODY"....Sabathia on short rest or not can bring the game to the 7th or 8th and then you have Joba (10 pitches yest.), Marte (1), Coke (3), Hughes (19), Rivera (17), Robertson (11), Aceves (3)...combined 68 pitches from the pen compared to the Angels 94 pitches (which includes 28 from their most reliable reliever Darren Oliver).
The Yankees are the better team with the better starter, better lineup, better bullpen, and the best closer in the history of the sport. The line at -130 would mean that the Yanks would have to win this game more than 57% of the time to be profitable...I think they would win with tonight's matchup at a much higher clip than this...especially in this spot knowing they win here with their ace on the mound the series is all but over.
I just took your advice and thought about it again and here is what I came up with: I don't think the Angels would have played .620 ball at home this year if they played the Yankees in over 84 home games.
After racking my brain again yes I do think the Yanks would win this exact matchup over 57% of the time.
I wish what I thought had an impact on the outcome....this is all just a crap shoot we can find reasons to back any team at any time...thats why they play the games...BOL 
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