My initial leans for this week right now. My lines won't be out at oddsmaker until tomorrow.
LSU -14 This will be a definite large play for me. I get the Tigers on a Saturday night in Baton Rouge laying 14 against Auburn? Are you kidding me??????????????
Fresno St -4.5 I also will take the over if it's under 70. Boise St has NO defense and their defensive coordinator is a clown.
Nevada -12.5 love this play as Hawaii coming to the mainland will get smoked. Nevada is a much better 1st half team so -7 or less will be a big play for me.
Baylor -28 gonna ride this Baylor team until the wheels fall off.
Maryland -4.5 Love the Terps at home
Georgia Tech -5.5 Really liked what I saw from this Tech team. Johnson has outdone himself with that Diamond formation. He is a MAD SCIENTIST!
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Off to a great start gotta stay hot
My initial leans for this week right now. My lines won't be out at oddsmaker until tomorrow.
LSU -14 This will be a definite large play for me. I get the Tigers on a Saturday night in Baton Rouge laying 14 against Auburn? Are you kidding me??????????????
Fresno St -4.5 I also will take the over if it's under 70. Boise St has NO defense and their defensive coordinator is a clown.
Nevada -12.5 love this play as Hawaii coming to the mainland will get smoked. Nevada is a much better 1st half team so -7 or less will be a big play for me.
Baylor -28 gonna ride this Baylor team until the wheels fall off.
Maryland -4.5 Love the Terps at home
Georgia Tech -5.5 Really liked what I saw from this Tech team. Johnson has outdone himself with that Diamond formation. He is a MAD SCIENTIST!
This game sets up like so many that I have seen before. The big bully dominates and then the day finally comes when the big bully isn't so tough anymore and instead of handing out the as* whipping, they get their own as* whipped.
This game will be a sellout which is something rare at Fresno St. Now I have no illusions about the defense in this game cause there will not be any. This will be a shootout plain and simple. Both teams can put points on the board. This is probably the biggest game Fresno St has played in a while. The bonus here is that with the Colorado game postponed, the Bulldogs started their prep for this game early. They come in well rested with 2 weeks off. We all saw Boise St struggle against AF. Yeah they won by 22 but it was pretty ugly. The Bronco D allowed a guy that could not pass his way out of a paper bag to beat them on a few plays and lets not forget all the dropped AF passes.
In 2 games David Carr has completed 75-105 for 675 yds and 7 tds. He will have a career game against the pass challenged Boise St D. Even as they started their prep, Carr was reliving a pick he threw against Boise in a critical part of last season's game. He will be the difference in this game and Fresno St finally has more skill players than the big bully.
If you love offense and aerial attacks like I do, this game should be as exciting as it gets filled with big plays from start to finish. As many passes that will be thrown, will also result in a few picks and Carr excels at ball security. On Friday night in front of a sellout crowd, all the frustration of being bullied will explode in a HUGE Bulldog victory against their most hated arch rivals.
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Fresno St -4 vs Boise St $350 to win $315
This game sets up like so many that I have seen before. The big bully dominates and then the day finally comes when the big bully isn't so tough anymore and instead of handing out the as* whipping, they get their own as* whipped.
This game will be a sellout which is something rare at Fresno St. Now I have no illusions about the defense in this game cause there will not be any. This will be a shootout plain and simple. Both teams can put points on the board. This is probably the biggest game Fresno St has played in a while. The bonus here is that with the Colorado game postponed, the Bulldogs started their prep for this game early. They come in well rested with 2 weeks off. We all saw Boise St struggle against AF. Yeah they won by 22 but it was pretty ugly. The Bronco D allowed a guy that could not pass his way out of a paper bag to beat them on a few plays and lets not forget all the dropped AF passes.
In 2 games David Carr has completed 75-105 for 675 yds and 7 tds. He will have a career game against the pass challenged Boise St D. Even as they started their prep, Carr was reliving a pick he threw against Boise in a critical part of last season's game. He will be the difference in this game and Fresno St finally has more skill players than the big bully.
If you love offense and aerial attacks like I do, this game should be as exciting as it gets filled with big plays from start to finish. As many passes that will be thrown, will also result in a few picks and Carr excels at ball security. On Friday night in front of a sellout crowd, all the frustration of being bullied will explode in a HUGE Bulldog victory against their most hated arch rivals.
Baylor is Oregon Lite in every aspect. Same spread up tempo offense. Can run as well as pass. Seastrunk is D Thomas lite. However, I believe Petty is a better passer than the Duck QB.
Let's look inside the mind boggling numbers this Baylor team has put up. They beat Wofford 69-3. Ok, Ok not world news stuff, but then they beat a Buffalo team that played well at OSU, 70-13. 329 net rushing and 452 net passing. Let those numbers sink in. 781 total yds. 9.8 avg pp. 80 freaking offensive plays. I don't care who you are playing, that is my idea of offense.
Now in the one comparable game, ULM gave up 305 yds rushing at Oklahoma in week 1. Against a BRUTAL WF offense, they let an avg QB burn them for 310 yds and 2 tds. I'm dumber than a person in church on Sunday, but even I can see Baylor will have another outstanding mind numbing offensive performance where they put up 60+ and absolutely destroy a ULM D that will be in need of a trauma unit after getting torched by the second best offense in CFB imho.
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Baylor -27 vs ULM $220 to win $200
Baylor is Oregon Lite in every aspect. Same spread up tempo offense. Can run as well as pass. Seastrunk is D Thomas lite. However, I believe Petty is a better passer than the Duck QB.
Let's look inside the mind boggling numbers this Baylor team has put up. They beat Wofford 69-3. Ok, Ok not world news stuff, but then they beat a Buffalo team that played well at OSU, 70-13. 329 net rushing and 452 net passing. Let those numbers sink in. 781 total yds. 9.8 avg pp. 80 freaking offensive plays. I don't care who you are playing, that is my idea of offense.
Now in the one comparable game, ULM gave up 305 yds rushing at Oklahoma in week 1. Against a BRUTAL WF offense, they let an avg QB burn them for 310 yds and 2 tds. I'm dumber than a person in church on Sunday, but even I can see Baylor will have another outstanding mind numbing offensive performance where they put up 60+ and absolutely destroy a ULM D that will be in need of a trauma unit after getting torched by the second best offense in CFB imho.
If you look in Webster's next to the definition of "mad scientist", you will see a picture of the GT HC. This guy honed the option offense to perfection at Navy and he has something special brewing at GT. All the years of watching his option, I always wondered what he could do if he could incorporate a passing game with-in that option offense. I believe he now has one.
V Lee kinda reminds me of an early RG3 when he was a soph at Baylor. You could see the makings of a running QB who could also throw the ball. Against a Duke D that is at least avg, Lee completed 8-16. Yeah, your thinking big deal. Well 4 of those 8 completions were TDs. Now remember, GT is an option offense so 4 passing tds just might be a record for Mr Johnson in his offense.
Now back to the "mad scientist" thing. If you have not seen it yet, the "diamond formation" is a thing of pure beauty. I marveled at it's complexity watching the Duke game. That formation puts the option in option. I have a feeling now that the mad scientist has seen his QB can throw the ball, that we will see some new passing wrinkles out of that diamond formation. The NC D coordinator will not sleep well this coming week.
The best thing for me capping games is studying all the stats looking for a strength vs weakness and as evidenced by my record to date, that has been working well. So here we have a home team who excels at running the ball against a D that so far has not stopped the run and if you can't stop the run, you cannot win.
Tech rushed for 344 yds at Duke which penciled out at 5.7 yds per rushing attempt. In North Carolina's first game, South Carolina gave up 228 rushing yds which translated to 6 yds per attempt. Against Middle Tenn last week, this same NC D gave up 158 yds on the ground and were actually outgained in the rushing dept. Ok 158 is not staggering but Middle Tenn?
GT will dominate this game on the ground and thus control the TOP and keep the NC offense riding the pine. And just when those NC safeties have to get in the box to stop the run, Lee will play action out of that diamond formation and hit some HUGE plays downfield. If I win my Fresno bet Friday night, those winnings will be added to this one making it my best play of the week.
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Georgia Tech vs North Carolina $220 to win $200
If you look in Webster's next to the definition of "mad scientist", you will see a picture of the GT HC. This guy honed the option offense to perfection at Navy and he has something special brewing at GT. All the years of watching his option, I always wondered what he could do if he could incorporate a passing game with-in that option offense. I believe he now has one.
V Lee kinda reminds me of an early RG3 when he was a soph at Baylor. You could see the makings of a running QB who could also throw the ball. Against a Duke D that is at least avg, Lee completed 8-16. Yeah, your thinking big deal. Well 4 of those 8 completions were TDs. Now remember, GT is an option offense so 4 passing tds just might be a record for Mr Johnson in his offense.
Now back to the "mad scientist" thing. If you have not seen it yet, the "diamond formation" is a thing of pure beauty. I marveled at it's complexity watching the Duke game. That formation puts the option in option. I have a feeling now that the mad scientist has seen his QB can throw the ball, that we will see some new passing wrinkles out of that diamond formation. The NC D coordinator will not sleep well this coming week.
The best thing for me capping games is studying all the stats looking for a strength vs weakness and as evidenced by my record to date, that has been working well. So here we have a home team who excels at running the ball against a D that so far has not stopped the run and if you can't stop the run, you cannot win.
Tech rushed for 344 yds at Duke which penciled out at 5.7 yds per rushing attempt. In North Carolina's first game, South Carolina gave up 228 rushing yds which translated to 6 yds per attempt. Against Middle Tenn last week, this same NC D gave up 158 yds on the ground and were actually outgained in the rushing dept. Ok 158 is not staggering but Middle Tenn?
GT will dominate this game on the ground and thus control the TOP and keep the NC offense riding the pine. And just when those NC safeties have to get in the box to stop the run, Lee will play action out of that diamond formation and hit some HUGE plays downfield. If I win my Fresno bet Friday night, those winnings will be added to this one making it my best play of the week.
actually made it funnier, saying that all people in church on Sundays are dumb, haha.
I am not a church goer myself but having put in many Sundays in a Catholic church in my younger days, you may be right. However, I would not want to offend anyone's beliefs.
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Quote Originally Posted by Crazy_Carl:
actually made it funnier, saying that all people in church on Sundays are dumb, haha.
I am not a church goer myself but having put in many Sundays in a Catholic church in my younger days, you may be right. However, I would not want to offend anyone's beliefs.
Check Nevadas qb status. 2nd striner got hurt vs FSU.....
Thanks much for the info as I was leaning on Nevada. Will wait until I can get a definite answer on all the injuries they suffered against a physical FS team.
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Quote Originally Posted by TRAIN69:
Check Nevadas qb status. 2nd striner got hurt vs FSU.....
Thanks much for the info as I was leaning on Nevada. Will wait until I can get a definite answer on all the injuries they suffered against a physical FS team.
I'm gonna stick with the girl I brought to the dance and see if I can make it 3 straight winning bets on the Terps. The injuries are starting to be a concern again and they have lost their 2 starting CBs and a starting WR so I do have some trepidation on this play but I am compelled to bet on an offense that has gained 500 yds 3 straight games.
C.J. Brown is one of the more under-rated QBs in CFB. He had an outstanding game (the "trap game" as the Covers clowns called it) at UCONN. Brown ran for 122 yds and threw for 277. The best WR in the world imho, Stefan Diggs had an off game with 5 catches for 110 and one TD. The Terps have to get the ball in this guys hands much more and Edsel should be slapped hard if he does not comprehend this simple point. Maryland should be able to run the ball against a West Virginia D that has struggled in this crucial aspect.
They allowed Okie to run for 316 yds. Even William & Mary had some success against them. On offense, WV turned to the freshman Childress vs Georgia St out of frustration with starter Millard. Easy to turn to a fresh QB at home against a bad team. Let's see how he fairs in a hostile environment against a much better D.
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Maryland -5.5 vs West Virginia $200 to win $180
I'm gonna stick with the girl I brought to the dance and see if I can make it 3 straight winning bets on the Terps. The injuries are starting to be a concern again and they have lost their 2 starting CBs and a starting WR so I do have some trepidation on this play but I am compelled to bet on an offense that has gained 500 yds 3 straight games.
C.J. Brown is one of the more under-rated QBs in CFB. He had an outstanding game (the "trap game" as the Covers clowns called it) at UCONN. Brown ran for 122 yds and threw for 277. The best WR in the world imho, Stefan Diggs had an off game with 5 catches for 110 and one TD. The Terps have to get the ball in this guys hands much more and Edsel should be slapped hard if he does not comprehend this simple point. Maryland should be able to run the ball against a West Virginia D that has struggled in this crucial aspect.
They allowed Okie to run for 316 yds. Even William & Mary had some success against them. On offense, WV turned to the freshman Childress vs Georgia St out of frustration with starter Millard. Easy to turn to a fresh QB at home against a bad team. Let's see how he fairs in a hostile environment against a much better D.
Gotta have a dog play (superstition)and this one looks like a doozy. I am contemplating a larger bet on the ML as I believe the Aggies will pull off a MAJOR upset in this one. Will write more on this one when time permits.
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Utah St +6.5 at USC $110 to win $100
Gotta have a dog play (superstition)and this one looks like a doozy. I am contemplating a larger bet on the ML as I believe the Aggies will pull off a MAJOR upset in this one. Will write more on this one when time permits.
I'm gonna stick with the girl I brought to the dance and see if I can make it 3 straight winning bets on the Terps. The injuries are starting to be a concern again and they have lost their 2 starting CBs and a starting WR so I do have some trepidation on this play but I am compelled to bet on an offense that has gained 500 yds 3 straight games.
C.J. Brown is one of the more under-rated QBs in CFB. He had an outstanding game (the "trap game" as the Covers clowns called it) at UCONN. Brown ran for 122 yds and threw for 277. The best WR in the world imho, Stefan Diggs had an off game with 5 catches for 110 and one TD. The Terps have to get the ball in this guys hands much more and Edsel should be slapped hard if he does not comprehend this simple point. Maryland should be able to run the ball against a West Virginia D that has struggled in this crucial aspect.
They allowed Okie to run for 316 yds. Even William & Mary had some success against them. On offense, WV turned to the freshman Childress vs Georgia St out of frustration with starter Millard. Easy to turn to a fresh QB at home against a bad team. Let's see how he fairs in a hostile environment against a much better D.
WVU has won and covered ATS the last 7 meetings. That is a real stranglehold. First time Maryland is favored. See how they respond.
Good write-ups
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Quote Originally Posted by MrRedemption:
Maryland -5.5 vs West Virginia $200 to win $180
I'm gonna stick with the girl I brought to the dance and see if I can make it 3 straight winning bets on the Terps. The injuries are starting to be a concern again and they have lost their 2 starting CBs and a starting WR so I do have some trepidation on this play but I am compelled to bet on an offense that has gained 500 yds 3 straight games.
C.J. Brown is one of the more under-rated QBs in CFB. He had an outstanding game (the "trap game" as the Covers clowns called it) at UCONN. Brown ran for 122 yds and threw for 277. The best WR in the world imho, Stefan Diggs had an off game with 5 catches for 110 and one TD. The Terps have to get the ball in this guys hands much more and Edsel should be slapped hard if he does not comprehend this simple point. Maryland should be able to run the ball against a West Virginia D that has struggled in this crucial aspect.
They allowed Okie to run for 316 yds. Even William & Mary had some success against them. On offense, WV turned to the freshman Childress vs Georgia St out of frustration with starter Millard. Easy to turn to a fresh QB at home against a bad team. Let's see how he fairs in a hostile environment against a much better D.
WVU has won and covered ATS the last 7 meetings. That is a real stranglehold. First time Maryland is favored. See how they respond.
WVU has won and covered ATS the last 7 meetings. That is a real stranglehold. First time Maryland is favored. See how they respond.
Good write-ups
Thank you sir. My confidence level on this one is not as high as it was for the UCONN game due to their star CB getting hurt. I just think their is value with them at home against what I believe is an over rated WVU team. Hopefully, the Terps D coordinator understands that you throw everything but the kitchen sink at a freshman QB who is starting his first road game.
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Quote Originally Posted by Quantum_Leap:
WVU has won and covered ATS the last 7 meetings. That is a real stranglehold. First time Maryland is favored. See how they respond.
Good write-ups
Thank you sir. My confidence level on this one is not as high as it was for the UCONN game due to their star CB getting hurt. I just think their is value with them at home against what I believe is an over rated WVU team. Hopefully, the Terps D coordinator understands that you throw everything but the kitchen sink at a freshman QB who is starting his first road game.
, I hope LSU kills 'em.
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