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TOP TEN POD for Coll FB

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ARIZONA +5,5  Two bad QBs, conservative play from the home team here, and two good defenses equals a tight 1-4 pt type game.

Rutgers +17.5 Know how to stay close.

Mich St -10 Hitting their stride

Va Tech -9

Navy +3 TOP ML DOG PICK

TEX A and M -7 SEC top teams are killin the mud dwelling bottom feeding catfish

So Carolina -6 See comment above

MICH -3 Looks like they are holding back. I done get it. But this looks winnable.

NC St -6

ORE ST +1 (ML) Beavers are better cmon. head coach es dont strap on the helmets.

 
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Posted: #3
I was in on Navy this year until I sat back one Saturday afternoon and watched them lay an absolute stink bomb against Western Kentucky. I know they lost their starting QB in the 2nd quarter but that had to be the worst game of football I have ever bet on...




 
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Posted: #4
Losing a starting QB in a triple option attack is like cutting the head off a snake; the body will still move, but nothing is attached.

You watched terrible football from Navy because Reynolds is what makes that team go.  They sure didn't look bad when they beat IU in Bloomington or when the covered the spread vs one of their main rivals last week.  

Navy is 2-1 ATS..  it's not a ironical that the one game they lost is because Reynolds got a concussion.   
 
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Posted: #5
Good comments there, spot on about Navy. I expect a lot of points but more mental breakdowns from Duke defensively.
 
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I can see your points on Navy but I think you are over looking Duke's ability to pass the ball down field.

Navy leads a top headed rushing attack at almost 300 yards per game on the ground, but they cannot throw the ball at all averaging almost 100 yards per game. 

Duke on the other hand is averaging almost 200 yards per game on the ground while throwing for around 260 - basically they have a more balanced attack.

Defensively Navy is more stout but not by as much as people would think. Allowing only 15 yards less per game than Duke has.

I think you are counting on some TO's to keep this game close because if Navy gets behind early they will struggle to catch up. Where as Duke can throw the ball and has shown the score in multiple ways. Plus Duke is very desperate to get into a bowl game here...just think the fair line is probably around Duke -5 that's all. 
 
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Posted: #7
Quote Originally Posted by bfritz:

I can see your points on Navy but I think you are over looking Duke's ability to pass the ball down field.

Navy leads a top headed rushing attack at almost 300 yards per game on the ground, but they cannot throw the ball at all averaging almost 100 yards per game. 

Duke on the other hand is averaging almost 200 yards per game on the ground while throwing for around 260 - basically they have a more balanced attack.

Defensively Navy is more stout but not by as much as people would think. Allowing only 15 yards less per game than Duke has.

I think you are counting on some TO's to keep this game close because if Navy gets behind early they will struggle to catch up. Where as Duke can throw the ball and has shown the score in multiple ways. Plus Duke is very desperate to get into a bowl game here...just think the fair line is probably around Duke -5 that's all. 

I hear what you're saying. We both agree it's an up and down full court game. I hope the total is just under 70. I'll bite up t0 75.

 
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Posted: #8
Arizona? Good defense??
 
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Posted: #9
GL
 
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Posted: #11
Quote Originally Posted by Quantum_Leap:

I hear what you're saying. We both agree it's an up and down full court game. I hope the total is just under 70. I'll bite up t0 75.


Agreed there - BOL this weekend man 
 
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Posted: #12
Quote Originally Posted by Mr-Stache:

Arizona? Good defense??

Ariz AVERAGES 100 yards passing.......I couldn't even take them in a teaser +18.5 pts.
 
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Posted: #13


Ariz USC : also, you don't know what USC is going to do.  They might throw the ball all over the lot and change directions, they might be inspired, they might be incredibly flat, etc.

+14 I wouldn't even take zona.  They have a decent run game, but the speed of USC will not be easy to match.
 
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Posted: #14
USC does well at home and does well vs teams with better andeven worse QBs. Zona needs to contain and stay within a score. So to back them you have to believe in them. They have a deeper bench, and they will blitz a lot. Troy ML but Wildcat cover.would fail to surprize.
 
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Posted: #15
Quote Originally Posted by Quantum_Leap:

I hear what you're saying. We both agree it's an up and down full court game. I hope the total is just under 70. I'll bite up t0 75.

57
 
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Posted: #16
Arizona ML
Kiffin or no kiffin, us is still a mess
 
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Posted: #17

2-0; 8 left. 3 pt teaser (which is basically not a teaser really):

Football NCAA - Rutgers Scarlet Knights +20½ WINFootball NCAA - Arizona Wildcats +8½  WIN
Football NCAA - Michigan State Spartans -7 Football NCAA - Virginia Tech Hokies -6 
Football NCAA - Navy Midshipmen +6
Football NCAA - Texas A&M Aggies -4½ Football NCAA - South Carolina Gamecocks -2½
Football NCAA - Michigan Wolverines -½ 
Football NCAA - NC State Wolfpack -2½ Football NCAA - Oregon State Beavers +4

 
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Posted: #18

Quote Originally Posted by TRAIN69:

57

57.5

Two TDs too low. Not sure which side will not score here, or which side plays conservatively. Both reach the 30s and this appears superficially obvious.

 
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Posted: #19
Quote Originally Posted by Quantum_Leap:

I hear what you're saying. We both agree it's an up and down full court game. I hope the total is just under 70. I'll bite up t0 75.


Where could you possibly be betting where you didnt have a total this late in the week? 

Let me guess. . . Sportsbook. 
 
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Posted: #20
Quote Originally Posted by jdnmoney:


Where could you possibly be betting where you didnt have a total this late in the week? 

Let me guess. . . Sportsbook. 

I tried Betus for awhile. Pretty lame about their slowness, but about the only neg for them

 

BTW last 5 games between Navy and Duka have all gone over the set totals. Navy is 4-3 SU vs Duke.

Navy +3.5 and over 56.5 are a great tandem one game play.

 
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Quote Originally Posted by Quantum_Leap:

I tried Betus for awhile. Pretty lame about their slowness, but about the only neg for them

 

BTW last 5 games between Navy and Duka have all gone over the set totals. Navy is 4-3 SU vs Duke.

Navy +3.5 and over 56.5 are a great tandem one game play.

 

 
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Posted: #22
Good Luck
 
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Posted: #23

FLORIDA 1st H +4.5

ORE 1st H -7.5

LAD ml -155 (nuthin to do with Kershaw, I promise)

 
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Posted: #24
Quote Originally Posted by Quantum_Leap:

2-0; 8 left. 3 pt teaser (which is basically not a teaser really):

Football NCAA - Rutgers Scarlet Knights +20½ WINFootball NCAA - Arizona Wildcats +8½  WIN
Football NCAA - Michigan State Spartans -7 WINFootball NCAA - Virginia Tech Hokies -6  WIN
Football NCAA - Navy Midshipmen +6 Bunch a ragtag puzsies
Football NCAA - Texas A&M Aggies -4½ Football NCAA - South Carolina Gamecocks -2½ WIN
Football NCAA - Michigan Wolverines -½ 
Football NCAA - NC State Wolfpack -2½ Football NCAA - Oregon State Beavers +4

I needed ten to cash. The book needed just one, and got it. Road team in college ball. A service academy. What a lame bet. ONLY play elite teams on the road.

 

ORE -14

TEX A & M -8.5 Play Of the Week

 
 
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Posted: #25

Florida 1st H +4.5

BUT....! LSU for the game -7.5

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