Sharp Stats Week 3 +$680 YTD

Question

I YTD Record 5-2 &#x2B;$680Week 3 Plays Don&#x2019;t have a lot of time to post writeups right now but if you want any reasoning for my plays just ask and I&#x2019;ll give you my thoughts. Good Luck this week to everyone. All plays are 1 unit. 1 unit =$400Memphis -28.5Ole MissMaryland -17Vandy &#x2B;13.5 Utah &#x2B;5Texas -3Auburn -10.5Syracuse &#x2B;3

SharpStatsGuy · Answer

I YTD Record 5-2 &#x2B;$680Week 3 Plays Don&#x2019;t have a lot of time to post writeups right now but if you want any reasoning for my plays just ask and I&#x2019;ll give you my thoughts. Good Luck this week to everyone. All plays are 1 unit. 1 unit =$400Memphis -28.5Ole MissMaryland -17Vandy &#x2B;13.5 Utah &#x2B;5Texas -3Auburn -10.5Syracuse &#x2B;3

WussieMan · Answer

Texas

hotflaznboi · Answer

Good luck Sharpstatsguy. Keeping an eye on your tweets and picks

jay2491 · Answer

Curious why you&#x27;re on Texas and Auburn. These were the two lines that stuck out to me the most so wanted to hear your thoughts. Thanks in advance

SharpStatsGuy · Answer

LSU line almost looks too good to be true considering they have been so dominant in their first two games. However when you break down the game I think the value lies with Auburn. My factors for this game include the following:1) Auburn has a huge revenge angle from their loss to LSU last year where they blew a 20pt lead and effectively ended any chance of making the playoff. This team will be very motivated to win big. Nothing motivates a team like getting a chance to face the team that ended your season last year. 2) Danny Ettling is gone from LSU. While he wasn&#x2019;t necessarily a superstar, he did get drafted by Bill Belichick of all people who knows a few things about developing QB&#x2019;s. He was also essential in last years gme. 3) LSU only returns 40% of starters on Defense and is also missing their starting DE and RT due to injury. That creates big holes on both lines. 4) Huge QB advantage for Auburn as Stidham is projected to be a high pick in next years draft while Joe Burrow has never played a game in the atmosphere he will face on the road in the SEC. Auburn&#x2019;s D-Line is stacked and I believe will force Burrow into mistakes. 5) Auburn has coaching advantage, home field advantage and revenge. LSU will be the public play because of their win against Miami and the perceived line value but Auburn is the much better team here.

ItsNotASprint · Answer

First post here. &#xA; &#xA;I was leaning heavy on Memphis -28 1/2  but I&#x27;ve kind of talked myself out of it. What is your breakdown of this bet?&#xA; &#xA;Thanks and BOL!

SharpStatsGuy · Answer

Texas is another revenge situation where they should have won last year. While they certainly underperformed so far, USC has several issues as well, particularly on offense. Texas has a big advantage at QB. JT Daniels for USC made a lot of mistakes last week and is a true freshman attempting to win a tough road game. Personally I just don&#x2019;t think he can after watching them the past two weeks. They got dominated by Stanford last week and while Texas isn&#x2019;t Stanford, they have a large portion of their defense returning from last year and Home field advantage which should be good enough to cover the small number.

Vangs · Answer

Free picks for life.com is a scam. Don&#x2019;t listen to this guy. I&#x2019;ll why the forum hasn&#x2019;t deleted this guy. It&#x2019;s a scam. You go to the website send ur cell number to receive texts picks and instead they call you and ask for 325$ upfront. It&#x2019;s a polite older gentleman who rlly does a good job selling it on you, almost got me... please beware guys! This guy is a scam.

SharpStatsGuy · Answer

[Quote: Originally Posted by ItsNotASprint]  First post here. &#xD;&#xA; &#xD;&#xA;I was leaning heavy on Memphis -28 1/2  but I&#x27;ve kind of talked myself out of it. What is your breakdown of this bet?&#xD;&#xA; &#xD;&#xA;Thanks and BOL!  [/Quote]If there is one thing that Memphis does well, it&#x2019;s dominate at home against cupcake teams. Their last 6 home games they posted scores of 66,70,20,66,56,30.Memphis is coming off a crushing defeat last week where they lost by 1pt in the last 3 minutes. A loss like that typically angers a team very much and I expect them to take it out on a terrible Georgia State team that got crushed by NC State last week 41-7. My projections put Memphis at 51 points in this game. I don&#x2019;t see Georgia State getting more than 14 but if Memphis gets to 51 then they could even give up 21 and still cover. No issues with weather and I expect Memphis to use this as a tuneup game for their AAC schedule coming up.

SharpStatsGuy · Answer

????

Rack-Em · Answer

Are you playing Ole Miss on the moneyline or is that a typo?

SharpStatsGuy · Answer

[Quote: Originally Posted by Rack-Em]  Are you playing Ole Miss on the moneyline or is that a typo?  [/Quote]No, that&#x2019;s my mistake. Should be Ole Miss &#x2B;21

Odell_Bettin_Jr · Answer

With you on MEM tonight (got them at -27). Think they win 30+. peace_5

I like Utah as well but do you think that number will move up to +6 or by kick or do you think it goes the other way? I'm thinking about waiting it out...Love Whittingham, always seems to have Utah ready to play in big games.

A couple totals I'm really curious about is Over 57 in Toledo/MIA and SMU/MICH Over 53. They seem a little low, but look a little 'too good' to me. Do your projections see any value there?

ItsNotASprint · Answer

&#xA; &#xA;Thanks Sharp! Appreciate the response.

lucas57 · Answer

the Georgia State angles are overwhelming  3-0 in this spot   I have them playing a lot better than Sharp but dont disagree with his assement .think its a tough number to cover .Im leaning over 63

bearsfan111 · Answer

I think over 61 was the play in Memphis they will put up at least 45 or so at home against this team and they are not stellar on defense so 45-20 type game IMO

SharpStatsGuy · Answer

Memphis Adding......Miami -12

SharpStatsGuy · Answer

Memphis Vandy Syracuse Miami Maryland Auburn Pending .....Texas -3Ole Miss &#x2B;21Utah &#x2B;5

Sharp Stats Week 3 +$680 YTD

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