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    All Forums | College Football

    OU/TX TECH U 51.5 Small play Write up

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    Rolexsports
    CJL1989
    ayashifx55
    FelixFermin21
    Projeff
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    Rolexsports
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    Posted: Jan. 1, 2026 - 11:47 AM ET #1

    Had an excellent day yesterday winning around 9k in total. In this game the best play is on the under 51.5 or under 51. Under have cashed @ a 63% rate so far in all of bowl games. OU rank 2nd nationally on defense in allowing explosive plays. Tech rank 3rd in the same category. OU is 102nd in seconds between plays and 104th in total pace of play . 55% of total tickets are on the under and this includes the public action. TX TECH are 96th in red zone TD scoring rate. They are also 12th nationally in FG rate in 73 red zone attempts. High book where a lot of sharps play in LV show 40 % of tickets & around 65% of $ are on the under. Tech allow 11.3 ppg, ducks allow 16.6 ppg. TECH ranks 119th in average yards to go on 3rd down ( 7.66 yds on average ) which is terrible. OU has the tougher SOS by far. Both teams rank top 10 on defense in pts per drive, available yds , yds per play , drive success, and field position. There is no way this game will hit 7 TD’s and a FG. I’m not a real totals guys so I don’t go to heavy but, when it’s obvious to me I go with my numbers and gut feeling. Going U 51.5 1,450/1,000 buy , U 51 360/300 also buy. GL 

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    Had an excellent day yesterday winning around 9k in total. In this game the best play is on the under 51.5 or under 51. Under have cashed @ a 63% rate so far in all of bowl games. OU rank 2nd nationally on defense in allowing explosive plays. Tech rank 3rd in the same category. OU is 102nd in seconds between plays and 104th in total pace of play . 55% of total tickets are on the under and this includes the public action. TX TECH are 96th in red zone TD scoring rate. They are also 12th nationally in FG rate in 73 red zone attempts. High book where a lot of sharps play in LV show 40 % of tickets & around 65% of $ are on the under. Tech allow 11.3 ppg, ducks allow 16.6 ppg. TECH ranks 119th in average yards to go on 3rd down ( 7.66 yds on average ) which is terrible. OU has the tougher SOS by far. Both teams rank top 10 on defense in pts per drive, available yds , yds per play , drive success, and field position. There is no way this game will hit 7 TD’s and a FG. I’m not a real totals guys so I don’t go to heavy but, when it’s obvious to me I go with my numbers and gut feeling. Going U 51.5 1,450/1,000 buy , U 51 360/300 also buy. GL 

     
    CJL1989
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    Posted: Jan. 1, 2026 - 11:50 AM ET #2

    I took the 50.5 late last night. I should have held out. I figured it climb to 51.5 or possibly 49.5. GL

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    I took the 50.5 late last night. I should have held out. I figured it climb to 51.5 or possibly 49.5. GL

     
    ayashifx55
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    Posted: Jan. 1, 2026 - 11:50 AM ET #3

    Tailing , bol and happy new year.

    im also grabbing first half under 24 

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    Tailing , bol and happy new year.

    im also grabbing first half under 24 

     
    FelixFermin21
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    Posted: Jan. 1, 2026 - 11:53 AM ET #4

    @Rolexsports

    Let’s go!!!

    clover

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    @Rolexsports

    Let’s go!!!

    clover

     
    Projeff
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    Posted: Jan. 1, 2026 - 11:53 AM ET #5

    I'm with you. Awesome RLM here as well. 70% of the bets are on the over, yet the line has moved from 52.5 to 50.5 which tells me there is a lot of sharp action on the under! Let's have a day! 

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    I'm with you. Awesome RLM here as well. 70% of the bets are on the over, yet the line has moved from 52.5 to 50.5 which tells me there is a lot of sharp action on the under! Let's have a day! 

     
    lik122
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    Posted: Jan. 1, 2026 - 11:54 AM ET #6

    Happy New Year

    BOLpeace_5

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    Happy New Year

    BOLpeace_5

     
    Rolexsports
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    Posted: Jan. 1, 2026 - 12:00 PM ET #7

    @CJL1989

     Yeah no way this goes over. 

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    @CJL1989

     Yeah no way this goes over. 

     
    Rolexsports
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    Posted: Jan. 1, 2026 - 12:01 PM ET #8

    @ayashifx55

     Like U 1st half as well Gl

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    @ayashifx55

     Like U 1st half as well Gl

     
    Rolexsports
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    Posted: Jan. 1, 2026 - 12:02 PM ET #9

    @CJL1989

     Don’t even see it going over 47 pts actually. Gl 

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    @CJL1989

     Don’t even see it going over 47 pts actually. Gl 

     
    Rolexsports
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    Posted: Jan. 1, 2026 - 12:02 PM ET #10

    @FelixFermin21

     21 ! Let’s get this man !

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    @FelixFermin21

     21 ! Let’s get this man !

     
    Rolexsports
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    Posted: Jan. 1, 2026 - 12:03 PM ET #11

    @Projeff

     We got this bud , yes I see the movepeace_5ment 

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    @Projeff

     We got this bud , yes I see the movepeace_5ment 

     
    Rolexsports
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    Posted: Jan. 1, 2026 - 12:03 PM ET #12

    @lik122

     Happy New Year 122peace

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    @lik122

     Happy New Year 122peace

     
    Blb
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    Posted: Jan. 1, 2026 - 12:05 PM ET #13

    i have capped 73

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    i have capped 73

     
    ayashifx55
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    Posted: Jan. 1, 2026 - 12:06 PM ET #14

    Quote Originally Posted by Blb:

    i have capped 73

    damn 73 

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    Quote Originally Posted by Blb:

    i have capped 73

    damn 73 

     
    accventures
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    Posted: Jan. 1, 2026 - 12:09 PM ET #15

    34-27. not sure who but I think the score is in that ballpark.

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    34-27. not sure who but I think the score is in that ballpark.

     
    Blb
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    Posted: Jan. 1, 2026 - 12:11 PM ET #16

    @ayashifx55

     yep watch big plays ton of scoring 

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    @ayashifx55

     yep watch big plays ton of scoring 

     
    Rolexsports
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    Posted: Jan. 1, 2026 - 12:11 PM ET #17

    @accventures

     Can’t see it, but you never know. 

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    @accventures

     Can’t see it, but you never know. 

     
    Rolexsports
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    Posted: Jan. 1, 2026 - 12:11 PM ET #18

    @Blb

     Wow 

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    @Blb

     Wow 

     
    NEPTUNE85
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    Posted: Jan. 1, 2026 - 12:14 PM ET #19

    @Rolexsports

     With you on the under got it at 52 and the hook. Thanks for all your work always read your write ups

    clover

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    @Rolexsports

     With you on the under got it at 52 and the hook. Thanks for all your work always read your write ups

    clover

     
    UglyKidJoe
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    Posted: Jan. 1, 2026 - 12:16 PM ET #20

    clover  Good Luck.

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    clover  Good Luck.

     
    ayashifx55
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    Posted: Jan. 1, 2026 - 12:17 PM ET #21

    Fckkk Oregon already first blood in 2mins. That was fast

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    Fckkk Oregon already first blood in 2mins. That was fast

     
    UglyKidJoe
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    Posted: Jan. 1, 2026 - 12:24 PM ET #22

    There's a few more minutes, nothing added to the score.  I hate rooting for unders but.....let's go defenses.

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    There's a few more minutes, nothing added to the score.  I hate rooting for unders but.....let's go defenses.

     
    Rolexsports
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    Posted: Jan. 1, 2026 - 12:25 PM ET #23

    @NEPTUNE85

     No problem 85 , let’s cash this one early and hit really good later peace_5today 

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    @NEPTUNE85

     No problem 85 , let’s cash this one early and hit really good later peace_5today 

     
    Rolexsports
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    Posted: Jan. 1, 2026 - 12:26 PM ET #24

    @UglyKidJoe

     Thank you Joepeace_5

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    @UglyKidJoe

     Thank you Joepeace_5

     
     
    UglyKidJoe
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    Posted: Jan. 1, 2026 - 12:27 PM ET #25

    Hey, thanks for the picks, it's good for the economy. 

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    Hey, thanks for the picks, it's good for the economy. 

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