NCAAF SAT INFO

As expected, Kirby Smart’s Georgia Bulldogs remain No. 1 in this
week’s AP poll, and we expect them to occupy that spot until
suffering a straight-up defeat – not much of a possibility since
the Dawgs have won 41 straight regular-season contests.
Meanwhile, it’s circle-the-wagons time for Kentucky, as the
Wildcats must contend with a pair of ass-whippings. First is the

dreadful 31-6 home loss they suffered at the hands of a not-so-
great South Carolina squad on Saturday, where UK was blanked

from the scoreboard in three of the game’s four quarters. Then
there’s last season’s 51-13 massacre of the Wildcats at Athens
where Georgia ran up 608 yards of offense – the sixth-most ever
allowed by Mark Stoops at Kentucky. First, let’s discard the loss to
the Gamecocks and focus on Big Blue’s 4-1 ATS record in the last
fi ve meetings with UGA. Kentucky is also 7-3 ATS as conference
dogs of 14 or more points and 51-29 outright at home under
Stoops, with only seven losses by more than 24 points. Georgia
checks in with a 2-10 ATS effort before a Week of Rest and a
1-4 ATS mark as SEC road chalk of 14 or more. Coach Smart is
59-14 SU and 42-31 ATS in SEC battles, but he’s only 6-12 ATS as
a conference favorite of 23 or more points. He is also 0-6 ATS
as a favorite of 24 or more points when coming off a win of 35
or more points and with Alabama on deck (in two weeks), look
for Kirby to play it ‘smart’ and not show anything he doesn’t
need to in this contest. Our SEC Scout, Jaybird The Bulldog, just
returned from his annual trip to the El Cortez in Las Vegas, and
he was not excited about wagering on this matchup. “Look,
you know how much I Iove my Dawgs,” he said, “but I ain’t
laying big points on the road against a wounded Wildcat.” Our
Coaches Library cements the call on UK with THE CLINCHER:
Kentucky is 8-2 ATS as a dog of 17 or more points when
seeking revenge under Mark Stoops, including 5-0 ATS
versus foes coming off a win. BY  PLAYBOOK

Speaking of the old Pac-12, this one is another 19th-century
matchup that began in 1894 and is the fi fth longest-running
rivalry in the game. Oregon is 2-0, but it’s a shaky foundation
with an easy win against overmatched Idaho and a late rally
to defeat Boise State in which the Ducks were out-yarded. The
Ducks aren’t running the ball well in the fi rst two games, ranked
#108 in the country, and will be running into a team averaging
300 ypg on the ground, #5 in the nation. Oregon-based writer
John Canzano says Oregon is a hot mess, capable of both awful
and incredible football in the same game. Oregon State is a rude
host, going 4-0 ATS in the last four games of this series played
in the Beaver Dam, and the sportsbook-wise guys are taking
notice of OSU West, as this line opened at 20.5 over the summer
months. The Beavers are 6-1 ATS with single revenge and 5-0
ATS as a game three dog. Are we headed for a tortoise and hare
rematch like the 2022 version where Oregon exploded early,
then fi zzled out in the second half to lose to Oregon State 38-34?
Oregon State has been steady and effi cient in two games, and
the Ducks are a Jackson Pollock painting. Oregon State lacks the
name recognition, the Nike cash, and the NIL bankroll Oregon
has, but the Ducks will be the fi rst to tell you there’s no chance
they will take this game lightly. We brought THE CLINCHER to
the battlefi eld; Marc’s BETCHA DIDN’T KNOW ARTICLE on
page 2 to vacuum seal the deal. The rivalry is no longer
called “The Civil War,” but this quote from Oregon QB
Dillon Gabriel sounded the alarm after last weekend
saying, “You’re insane if you keep doing the same sh**
and there is no change in the result.” There is genuine
hatred between these teams; we’re all for it. BY PLAYBOOK

Roadrunners are 5-1 ATS in the second of consecutive road
trips and also 5-1 ATS as dogs of more than 20 points. There

is no doubt who this game is more important to – the red-
headed stepchildren from San Antonio who enter Austin off an

embarrassing loss and with a major revenge cow chip on their
shoulder. Jeff Traylor is 8-4 SU and 10-2 ATS when coming off a
double-digit loss, including 10-0 ATS over the last ten games.
Meanwhile, it certainly was a statement win for the Longhorns in
the Big House last week over the defending national champions,
and while it did not push them to #1 quite yet, they are now
nipping at the heels of the Bulldogs. The Horns are 9-2 ATS in
their last 11 non-conference home games but just 1-5 ATS in the
fi rst of 3 straight contests in Austin. Texas laid 13.5 points in their
previous meeting with UTSA here in 2022. We’ll close with THE
CLINCHER: Texas head coach Steve Sarkisian is 3-9-1 ATS
in his career when his team is coming off two wins-exact,
including 3-7 SU and 0-9-1 ATS when facing .500 or greater
opponents. BY PLAYBOOK