NCAA wk 12

write-up tomorrow am

write-up tomorrow am

thanks a lot guys 

Will be very surprised if this game gets into the high 50s or above...Now statistically if you look at pts per game - obviously it feels over - Neb avg 40 and Wisc 37....But these two Ds are very good - and Wisc D is playing excellent football right now...They have won their last 3 games 123-23 and only given up 175 139 and 230 total yds in those games...Obviously Neb is a different animal - but not so much offensively - If Wisc slows down their run game - which the #1 overall D and brick wall run D usually does (2.9/carry <100Y per game...7 rush TD all yr) it is gonna be tough for Neb to score much as they do not MATRICULATE as well in the passing game if run game not as effective - As Wisc run game as we know on fire right now - but they do not wanna air it out to much against the solid Neb pass D - #2 in pass eff D - especially since they should be able to run the ball enough at home on Corn D - They give up almost a yd more / carry than Wisc....See a lot of long drives - and both teams should have trouble finding the end zone....Neb/Wisc matchup pretty well should be a fun one !! GL to all

mega

mega line 10

sagarin 10

Not sure how Mich St gonna react after losing that huge one last wk - Yes they are well coached and have a lot of talent and pride - but M waiting at home for them off bye and feel good win vs penn st....Not crazy tho about the maryland D that has been smoked for 40 52 31 52 on different occasions....not sure even tho playing better they will have an answer for mich st.

summary

no leanage

arizona st -6.5

tennessee -6.5

virginia tech +7

so miss +9

EC TT under 35.5

Indiana TT under 24

Ohio St TT over 34

Wisc / Neb under 57

mega line 6

sagarin 3.5

This line has been grinding and grinding higher during the week - recall a 3.5 out there on sunday - in any event - think it looks about right - Fla a tough fade right now with improved QB play great D and productive run game....Having said that SC can score but D has given up 40+ in 3 straight SEC contests....know we will get SC best effort - they must win at least 2/3 to get bowl eligible - S ala should be a win but need to beat florida or clemson on the road.....gonna take a pass on this one.

summary

no leanage

mega line 6

sagarin 6.5

Maybe a bit of perceived value on the dog - but the matchup is gonna be a tough one for miss st - their pass D has a lot to be desired and Bama offense should be able to exploit that; Also bama D only given up 13 0 20 13 last 4 games and better overall results at home this yr....series history may mean squat but ala has won last 5 by 13 31 17 20 28.....Not much earth shattering in here you do not know about already - just a tough number once it gets past 7.....Think Miss St will find a way to score some points and lean to the over at 51.

summary

side - no leanage

total - lean over 51

mega line 2

sagarin 2.5

The rematch of the immaculate deflection game from last yr...Ga gets Gurley back and coming off a humiliation of kentucky - auburn off devastating loss to AM not sure how they bounce back - but they are a tough tough team to beat...Aub given up 38 35 31 41 last 4 games but Ga is not a brick wall giving up 32 38 31 last 3 games and over 400 rushing to Florida 2 games ago - this just in - auburn can run the ball....Maybe a different scheme - but to us this game is gonna come down as it usually does to a couple big plays and turnovers and we can see both sides of the argument in this one - Total was hoping for a bit lower but still compelling bet at 68.5 which is scary just cannot do it....Georgia gets a lean here based on the situation.

summary

side - lean georgia

total - no leanage