MIA F

Outscored all opponents in the 1st half 97-19 

Outscored all opponents thru 3 quarters 132-26

@spottie2935

 Incredible!  I would discount the 45 - 3 win over a very mediocre FCS team though, but still the numbers are remarkable.

@fubah2

 As it looks I don’t think it matters which division they have played.  They are destroying everyone 

that’s why I didn’t separate.  

HF and week>6 and day=Friday and ats streak>1 and rank<20 and line>-20

A top 20 team as a home chalk on a Friday night game when the line is not as high as -21 that this home favorite has covered at least 2 in a row and the current week is 7+ 

these ranked hone favorites are 1-9 ATS and 6-4 SU 

Wow! That's a good reason to take Louisville, but I don't know if their offensive line can hold up in this one. Plus their RBs are banged up. Tough call for me, but BOL to you if you play it. 

Those kind of stats mean nothing on tonight’s matchup against Louisville IMO. Miami has that national champion look and I think they will be very focused on Louisville and should beat them by 14-20 but it’s called gambling for a reason.

Line is down to 10.5 on Louiville game 

@Degenbeter

 You do have an opinion.  I appreciate you thx

more often than not these dogs will be successful 

tonight? We’ll see 

@Boisestateand8

Thx as always best wishes.  Appreciate your words and efforts 

@KasperNV

 Locked in 14.5 -115 early yesterday 

someone will slow Miami we’ll see if it’s tonight.  

it appears no one can.  I think that’s false. 

AD and o:rank<26 and rank=None and day!=Saturday and week>5 and line<21 and n:HF and n:line>-31

any non ranked away dog not playing a Saturday game in which this dog will be a favorite in their next game (Louisville at home vs BC, Massey projected line-17) week is more than 5 because these early weeks are preseason type games.  The favorite is ranked in the top 25 the dog is not a ranked team. 

the dog is 17-4 ATS 

trust me every season there is a ton of support for these type of dogs.  The only way the dog doesn’t cover us Miami is that good. 

What happens during game play.  Does Miami make mistakes?  If Miami is perfect on offense and defense once again I am probably going to Lose 

They key is probably looking at the dogs who didn't cover and exploring what went wrong. Just because I am curious can you post those games. lines and years played?

@smellybunty

 Yes on a better site that allows photo sharing 

I could  post a link but for most people that would be a waste of time because one needs to sign in to an account. 

@spottie2935

 I agree Miami may win by 7-10 but I would be more than shocked if they lose and they won’t except for 3 or more to’s. That can’t be predicted of course. GL

@spottie2935

 I don’t think Miami has to be perfect to cover Louisville tonight just their average game covers here if the play perfect it’s 56-14

I don't get the line drop thought 

@Degenbeter

 I agree I can't see Miami losing here might just play the ML with an alternate baseball total

@icemantbi

 Went from -13.5 down to -10.5 at some my sites. 

Same thing happened with NC / Cal (although not quite as drastic). Line dropped from 10 down to 8.

I never mentioned Miami losing,  just ATS is ripe for a regression situation.  I’d be a fool and people would Lose credibility if I was to pick such an obscure and absurd prediction.  Like I’m fishing for a huge upset? 

Im not here for that kind of grand standing. 

I am just here saying look out the situation according to the lines and data Louisville is credible and active for the live tonight. 

if you don’t agree no problem.  

Good bettors hit 55% or slightly more which isn’t far away from a coin flip.  

Then of course we get a live drop.  Someone is supporting Louisville or the guy taking bets is respectful of Louisville.  

bottom line is play who you like but there are a lot of supports for Louisville tonight. 

@VicVega91

 I like UNC and SJ State as well.  

Just hit Miami again at -10.5 glad to take it. Line movement never worries me.

@Degenbeter

 Good luck 

I have a balanced approach and wish everyone the best. 

Miami-2.5 thats the best way in if you like the Canes