Posted:
#276
Wish whiskey didn't go out like that oh well nice run
0
let's hit some fat BOWL games shall we?
Posted:
#293
what up men! let's get it going.
Frank - as much as losing sucks, it happens, always has, always will, so the fact that i lost a total the night before, over or under, or lost on a dog or fav the night before would never deter me from betting the next day, if that kind of doubt (i lost on the under last night, i'm not betting the under tonight) ever creeps in to your preparation, I would get a new hobby, hahaha.
First let me preface the below with the fact that i am a hokie fan, but I also gamble for a hobby, i've bet against the hokies more times than i have bet on them, but i just want to put that out there in full disclosure so I am transparent as always and anyone fading/following along knows what's going on....
Neither has been particularly strong in bowl games. Virginia Tech's 1-4 record in BCS games is often referenced, but Michigan is 1-3. The Wolverines are 2-6 since 2002. It doesn't seem like the matchup is too lopsided either way.Beamer has the experience coaching edge over Hoke, particularly in bowl game experience. I think part of the reason for VT lack of success in bowl games is their lack of focus in prep time, from everything i've read, Beamer has been pleased with the focus in New Orleans. VT has been in the media cross-hairs since being selected as an at-large bid to this game over boise, k-state - even more so than michigan. This team has heard nothing but how they do not belong in this game for weeks now, especially after getting "blowd" out, hahaha, i love saying that......in the ACC championship game. I do feel this is a big motivator in this game, nationally the buzz is on the turn-around at michigan and denard robinson, which to be quite honest is a bit different for the hokies, they are kind of an afterthought as they are usually at least worthy of the buzz and are being talked about, with their weaker schedule this year, getting blown out by Clemson twice, they are pretty much viewed as overrated and the ACC is viewed as a shitty conference basically. Quite honestly, i don't disagree, with either point! however, betting is highly situational, and i like how this situation sets up for the dog here in a game where team unit match-ups even out the more you look at them.
I think tech has an advantage when they throw vs. michigan 2ndary, and when michigan throws against tech 2ndary. Tech return game should set them up well as michigan is pretty bad in covering kicks/punts and returning them. michigan does have an advantage on the line, although tech line is senior laden, um line is pretty damn solid; but they have struggled against good back this season, I think partly b/c they play everyone close to the line, bring their safety(s) down and if a back gets to the 2nd level, they are usually gone - this is what they did against good backs this year:
A 26-carry, 167-yard performance by Michigan State’s Edwin Baker. Notre Dame’s Cierre Woods (25-134), Iowa’s Marcus Coker (29-132) and San Diego State’s Ronnie Hillman (21-109) also eclipsed the 100-yard mark. Michigan is 2-2 in those games, with losses to MSU and Iowa.
tech is certainly not going to have an advantage when it comes to kicking fg tonight as jernell and weiss are both gone and mr kickoff specialist will be kicking fg tonight, that is def scary.
vt has become a sportsbook darling over the past 10 years, especially with their thursday night home games. they get tons of public action and lines are often inflated. tonight, exactly the opposite, they are dogs and are pretty much an overrated afterthought, again, i don't disagree. But they have done well in fg spread games - they are 4-1 ats when the line is +/- 3 in the last 3 years. Summing this all up, I like the points in what should be a close game, with playmakers on both sides and team that finally gets to feel like they need to prove a lot of people wrong, let's face it, Virginia Tech's football team is playing for their reputation and the conference's reputation. If they can't rise up for this one, they truly are a sack of sh!t, but I'm willing to put $ on the fact that they will rise up:
Virginia Tech +4 (-130)
I'm also going to tease them with WVU for tomorrow night.
Virginia Tech +11 to West Virginia +10
good luck all
Frank - as much as losing sucks, it happens, always has, always will, so the fact that i lost a total the night before, over or under, or lost on a dog or fav the night before would never deter me from betting the next day, if that kind of doubt (i lost on the under last night, i'm not betting the under tonight) ever creeps in to your preparation, I would get a new hobby, hahaha.
First let me preface the below with the fact that i am a hokie fan, but I also gamble for a hobby, i've bet against the hokies more times than i have bet on them, but i just want to put that out there in full disclosure so I am transparent as always and anyone fading/following along knows what's going on....
Neither has been particularly strong in bowl games. Virginia Tech's 1-4 record in BCS games is often referenced, but Michigan is 1-3. The Wolverines are 2-6 since 2002. It doesn't seem like the matchup is too lopsided either way.Beamer has the experience coaching edge over Hoke, particularly in bowl game experience. I think part of the reason for VT lack of success in bowl games is their lack of focus in prep time, from everything i've read, Beamer has been pleased with the focus in New Orleans. VT has been in the media cross-hairs since being selected as an at-large bid to this game over boise, k-state - even more so than michigan. This team has heard nothing but how they do not belong in this game for weeks now, especially after getting "blowd" out, hahaha, i love saying that......in the ACC championship game. I do feel this is a big motivator in this game, nationally the buzz is on the turn-around at michigan and denard robinson, which to be quite honest is a bit different for the hokies, they are kind of an afterthought as they are usually at least worthy of the buzz and are being talked about, with their weaker schedule this year, getting blown out by Clemson twice, they are pretty much viewed as overrated and the ACC is viewed as a shitty conference basically. Quite honestly, i don't disagree, with either point! however, betting is highly situational, and i like how this situation sets up for the dog here in a game where team unit match-ups even out the more you look at them.
I think tech has an advantage when they throw vs. michigan 2ndary, and when michigan throws against tech 2ndary. Tech return game should set them up well as michigan is pretty bad in covering kicks/punts and returning them. michigan does have an advantage on the line, although tech line is senior laden, um line is pretty damn solid; but they have struggled against good back this season, I think partly b/c they play everyone close to the line, bring their safety(s) down and if a back gets to the 2nd level, they are usually gone - this is what they did against good backs this year:
A 26-carry, 167-yard performance by Michigan State’s Edwin Baker. Notre Dame’s Cierre Woods (25-134), Iowa’s Marcus Coker (29-132) and San Diego State’s Ronnie Hillman (21-109) also eclipsed the 100-yard mark. Michigan is 2-2 in those games, with losses to MSU and Iowa.
tech is certainly not going to have an advantage when it comes to kicking fg tonight as jernell and weiss are both gone and mr kickoff specialist will be kicking fg tonight, that is def scary.
vt has become a sportsbook darling over the past 10 years, especially with their thursday night home games. they get tons of public action and lines are often inflated. tonight, exactly the opposite, they are dogs and are pretty much an overrated afterthought, again, i don't disagree. But they have done well in fg spread games - they are 4-1 ats when the line is +/- 3 in the last 3 years. Summing this all up, I like the points in what should be a close game, with playmakers on both sides and team that finally gets to feel like they need to prove a lot of people wrong, let's face it, Virginia Tech's football team is playing for their reputation and the conference's reputation. If they can't rise up for this one, they truly are a sack of sh!t, but I'm willing to put $ on the fact that they will rise up:
Virginia Tech +4 (-130)
I'm also going to tease them with WVU for tomorrow night.
Virginia Tech +11 to West Virginia +10
good luck all
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