What Do I Mean By That? Well, I spoke to some nice young lady on the support team, & she pointed out to me some things I hadn't realized. One was that when you tell people to post their email address. The moderators automatically think that you are trying to charge money for your picks, even if you have repeatedly stated that it was not your intention to do so. Fair enough. I know that Covers promote certain handicappers that do sell their picks, & I doubt they need any competition. It's their forum & they certainly have right to make any rules that they choose.
Next, it is practically impossible to expect anyone to hit 75% of their plays, during the whole course of any season. If anyone can consistently hit 55% of their plays, they can earn a living just betting on sports. I know people who have done so (as long as laying no more than 10% Vig). Now, since I have had a little more time on my hands over the last few months. I have fed a lot of new algorithms I entered into my computer. When back tested, they have done very well. Will they do as well in the real-time future? That I can't say. Any algorithm has to be statistically significant in order for one to have confidence in that method of selecting who to bet on. That's why I bet 1/5th of my bankroll on this new method. So, if anyone wants to know the picks of the new method, they will have to let me know before I go to bed tonight. I live In NYC as of now. I have lived in the past in both Las Vegas, and South Carolina. And it's 1:15 AM right now on the east coast. Meanwhile, I'll put up the plays I already have bets on, at the prices I have already bet them at. All from the old method.
167 Liberty -32 5%
194 Tennessee + 3 5%
176 Oklahoma - 13 5%
184 Mississippi St. + 17.5 5%
GL. Everyone, and always remember sports investing is a combination of luck = emotion = skill.
What Do I Mean By That? Well, I spoke to some nice young lady on the support team, & she pointed out to me some things I hadn't realized. One was that when you tell people to post their email address. The moderators automatically think that you are trying to charge money for your picks, even if you have repeatedly stated that it was not your intention to do so. Fair enough. I know that Covers promote certain handicappers that do sell their picks, & I doubt they need any competition. It's their forum & they certainly have right to make any rules that they choose.
Next, it is practically impossible to expect anyone to hit 75% of their plays, during the whole course of any season. If anyone can consistently hit 55% of their plays, they can earn a living just betting on sports. I know people who have done so (as long as laying no more than 10% Vig). Now, since I have had a little more time on my hands over the last few months. I have fed a lot of new algorithms I entered into my computer. When back tested, they have done very well. Will they do as well in the real-time future? That I can't say. Any algorithm has to be statistically significant in order for one to have confidence in that method of selecting who to bet on. That's why I bet 1/5th of my bankroll on this new method. So, if anyone wants to know the picks of the new method, they will have to let me know before I go to bed tonight. I live In NYC as of now. I have lived in the past in both Las Vegas, and South Carolina. And it's 1:15 AM right now on the east coast. Meanwhile, I'll put up the plays I already have bets on, at the prices I have already bet them at. All from the old method.
167 Liberty -32 5%
194 Tennessee + 3 5%
176 Oklahoma - 13 5%
184 Mississippi St. + 17.5 5%
GL. Everyone, and always remember sports investing is a combination of luck = emotion = skill.
You could certainly be right on those 2 plays, however go back & see how Saban's teams do after a str-up loss. I think you'll be surprised at his ATS record. Loses, much more than he covers the spread. Check it out.
You could certainly be right on those 2 plays, however go back & see how Saban's teams do after a str-up loss. I think you'll be surprised at his ATS record. Loses, much more than he covers the spread. Check it out.
I will. But, I am sure you will admit, he does not lose very often...So it may be a skewed result...
Quote Originally Posted by Redlad:
@LonghornHoosier You could certainly be right on those 2 plays, however go back & see how Saban's teams do after a str-up loss. I think you'll be surprised at his ATS record. Loses, much more than he covers the spread. Check it out.
I will. But, I am sure you will admit, he does not lose very often...So it may be a skewed result...
Quote Originally Posted by Redlad:
@LonghornHoosier You could certainly be right on those 2 plays, however go back & see how Saban's teams do after a str-up loss. I think you'll be surprised at his ATS record. Loses, much more than he covers the spread. Check it out.
Yes, when his teams are on a winning streaks, he usually follows it up with another win Ats. So, if he is 60% ATS, numbers are after a winning streak. How can we explain his 40% ATS losses after a Straight-up loss. This is a definite pattern. Covering many years. I don't see how we can interoperate his record as being skewed. But I guess we'll know much more later tonight. As, I said many times, there's no such thing as a LOCK. Certainly when you're betting against Alabama. I very rarely bet against Alabama. But this year I haven't been overly impressed with them. Much like Clemson. We shall see.
Yes, when his teams are on a winning streaks, he usually follows it up with another win Ats. So, if he is 60% ATS, numbers are after a winning streak. How can we explain his 40% ATS losses after a Straight-up loss. This is a definite pattern. Covering many years. I don't see how we can interoperate his record as being skewed. But I guess we'll know much more later tonight. As, I said many times, there's no such thing as a LOCK. Certainly when you're betting against Alabama. I very rarely bet against Alabama. But this year I haven't been overly impressed with them. Much like Clemson. We shall see.
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