*** Freak Pics *** (Week 7)

TCU understands that with wins over Baylor and Oklahoma, they will basically have the inside track to the conference championship.  Baylor will most definitely get TCU's best effort, and their defense is well-equipped to slow down Baylor and keep them in this game.  Everything points to a game that comes down to the wire.

I think UAB beats UNT rather decisively.  I would have no problem laying 6.5.

I'm only aware of 4 injuries.  Two were out for Kentucky (Stovall & Treadwell), and two were expected to play (Pipkins and Caldwell).  Unfortunately, since locking in my wager, it now looks like Pipkins and Caldwell may also be out.

The fact remains that this is still a huge sandwich spot for Kentucky.  I don't disagree that Kentucky could cover this spread if they were so inclined, but I think it's more likely that they will only do what's necessary to get by and start looking forward to their huge conference showdown with LSU in Baton Rouge next week.  What would you do if you were Stoops?

Whether ULM covers or not will come down to how many points ULM can put on the board.  If they can get to 17, they should able to keep this within the number.

I'm kicking myself for missing out on the 10.5.  I still think anything over a TD is a great value!!!

Quote Originally Posted by venezolanisimo:

sports bet +7.5 new mexico state 

I recommend jumping on the ML as well.  The only way I see Troy winning this game is if they put together some sort of "win one for the Gipper" type of effort.  The bottom line is New Mexico State is the better team and should win.

I am a little perturb that I didn't get the +9 earlier in the week.

I watched the entire 2nd half of the Boise/AF game, and obviously the 7-2 turnover ratio skewed the stats quite a bit. By the same token you have to give a team a little credit for consistently creating turnovers, and Air Force currently ranks 10th in the nation in turnover margin.

Air Force was destroyed by Utah State last season, primarily by QB Chuckie Keeton (who of course is out for the year). They were simply not able to slow him down. Furthermore, Air Force did a lot of self-destructing in that game which also contributed to it getting out-of-hand last season. Air Force is a much more mature team this year, and they have a very bad taste in their mouths about how last season's game played out. This is a game Air Force has been looking forward to, and think we'll see and much improved defensive effort from them this time around. And while I don't think there is any doubt that Utah State is the better team here, I look for this game to come down to the wire and fall within the number.

New Mexico State if you can get a line of 7 or better.  As I have said several times already, the Aggies are the better team here, and should win this game outright.

No question that the Warhawks have under-performed this season (1 & 4 ATS).  The key to covering this number will be how many points ULM can put up.  10 probably won't do the trick, but 13-17 very well may.

After being on the road 3 of the last 4 weeks, I really like Memphis playing at home this week.  I think Houston will have a tough time putting points on the board against that Memphis defense.

*** On a side note, I'll bet Crazy Train's bookie is happy that South Alabama has a bye this week.

I'm with you on Memphis this week, looking forward to the play next week on USA / GA St. 

 I hope Ballzy has nightmares of banjos and Deliverance with all these hillbilly teams I've been cashing with lately. 

Makes me think of the Sopranos episode when Christopher and Pauly are shooting at the Russian in the woods in the winter time and Pauly loses his shoe, etc, etc. - I could imagine Ballsy waking up in a sweat

Anyway, Best of luck this week Jimmy.