BRIDGE PLAYS WEEK 2

Love it Bridge 

Always a good read in here i love your threads bro. Keep up the solid work bro Good Luck for sure

BRIDGE PLAY

UCF -6.5

Ugh didn't want to do it but after getting a shocker last year and not getting the line I want here thought we'd see Ville win or at least be competitive and maybe line closer to even under a FG .. but UCF on my radar this year its a huge game, they're obvi coming into this year thinking they are the next cincy playoff busters like many others .. but I think they got some extra goods .. good spot too FCS and FAU on deck .. Ville gets an ass kicking in the dome and now gets double the fun in the bounce house before a MONSTER conf game with FSU which I think just became a little more monstrous in the last day or so lot to study up with because it seemed like EVERYTHING was workin except for a few really horrific decisions ... always liked our boy JRP from Ole Miss .. glad to see him back where he belongs .. they make Shrader look like a heisman I think we're good backing Plum here .. 

I grabbed this at BoL -105 .. if backing Ville I'd def wait and see if a +8 shows up .. good luck!

@Bridge1

 So you went with one of my two plays of the week:) UCF should be a winner… feel safer on ML.. but it’s a good pick..

@Bridge1

 Feels like you don’t feel good about it though… don’t worry… UCF led whole game and Gabriel got injured in the forth…OKeefe and Richardson should control the ground and JRP will be running wild… Bowser will be able to grind first downs and the secondary is probably the best in the AAC so Cunningham won’t have an easy day… place will be hoppin too.. hope you win man..

 UCF is @ -6 -114 @ Bookmaker

@MLMaverick

Good stuff yeah team is just loaded and lookin at Ville yeah you can see how if they can run plays right not make mistakes they got a few playmakers .. I was worried cuse DL was gunna get pushed around .. Cuse's OL just plowed Ville out the way .. Ville's D looked like little kids out there lol .. Yeah bowser the beast .. wouldn't play it if I didn't feel good about it ..

@Trapperdan33

Yeah opted got the worse line better odds .. don't think we'll see either of those too long but idk this was prob -2.5 maybe less if it was opening weekend .. 

@Bridge1

 Yeah was shocked on Louisville also..but this is classic look ahead.. I think Louisville will show up though.. they know they have to get ahead early….

I knew to lay off the Cuse game though because it was a perfect storm… Hot seat-Babbers-Heisman candidate-Tucker-new OC-and home night conference game…

If you wana make $ play my BYU/UCF teaser.. I feel strongly about it…

Okay let's maybe have fun and nudge the 'smaller' into the positive for Week 1 lol.. 

SMALLER

GEORGIA TECH +24.5

Great work Bridge 

SMALLER

GEORGIA TECH +24.5 

In a dog fight w #4 team LY play to the wire .. this year 2 punt blocks go for TD's a zillion penalties, dropped passes, 4th down guy trips on himself... Even DJ fat ass couldnt stop these guys from an epic meltdown ... yeah think the Collins experiment has come juuust about full circle .. 

@Bridge1

why do you have Wazzu +15.5 at Wisconsin as a GOY?

what are you seeing there?

Hey Beer,

Unitman and I mentioned what those were in this thread. All GOY's I think other than Bama this week were posted in my pre-ssn thread along with season wins and conf futures.. think I discuss Wash state futures talk on page 1 and 2 and wisconsin is prob around there too .. gist of it was projecting generally similar team but with new OC and QB and better WR's .. For Wisco it was a few things but I didn't project them to be improved and could struggle in some game .. went ahead and took the pre-ssn line and unfortunately that one moved the wrong way on me because of a lackluster wash state opener and wisco rolled as usual in their FCS game and folks prob seeing Mertz was able to pass the ball a little bit too .. all the info you'll ever need is one click away in the link below!!!

https://www.covers.com/forum/college-football/bridge-pre-ssn-103632866

BRIDGE PLAY

N.ILLINOIS +6.5 

Can scrap the 'smaller' play and make it a BP .. I really did like what Tulsa was doing last week passing the ball .. more than a few things that bothered me w the run game, crappy ball handling w the fumble TD, the late fumble to try and seal the game, the punt getting blocked all that stuff and thought generally short punts anyway, only 3 TFL's no sacks, couple blown coverages turned into TD bombs, kicker only went 3/5 missed a couple one gigantic miss .. and Wyoming stat wise really had a monster offensive day .. That said we look at the game and think Tulsa really shoulda pulled it out in command up 10 late because of fairly productive play on both sides of the ball esp on offense .. now back home after an overtime game in that laramie altitude not a scorcher but daytime game and maybe not totally gassed all game but by the end but that wasn't a game they were getting off the field easy and you could just see the mistakes and miscues piling up and a few guys got ding'd up .. This is really not a spot I'd love to hand a team like N.ILL any points I thought this shoulda been maybe Tulsa -3 plus / minus half a point and maybe shaded down for a tough spot ..

Think we can imagine N.ILL looking a little stronger than they actually were LY but they really do have a good run game good OL and scrappy enough D and coming in off FCS maybe closer than expected but idk big game and think its a very close matchup .. Tulsa struggles at all passing compared to last week vs just tons of backups on that Wyo D and its gunna get tricky for them .. Was gunna see if 7 got there but doesn't really feel like it will I think this likely closes closer to 4 barring any weird injury news, etc for the huskies .. could def see a few guys show up on the 'out week 2' list for Tulsa after that slug fest .. - good luck!

love it Bridge! highly doubt Tulsa will be motivated to face a MAC team after that tough loss

@BigTymePlayer25

 Yeah think so too .. not just that but you just got kinda bulldozed by some pretty basic offense run right / left and caught those DE's crashing down a few times .. possible its cleaned up but think N.Ill not just tough runners but dynamic rush offense alot more they can do passing etc .. almost feels like an over play but could totally see tulsa being less efficient passing w missed passes, drops etc .. maybe we see that maybe not ... we'll see!

SMALLER

COLORADO STATE -7.5

Well week 1 didn't work .. Mich got in there really fast lotta sacks and disruptions .. Rams QB was able to get the ball off a few times and when he did he connected mostly I believe to Horton whose one of the Nevada xfers .. and even when getting pummeled on the other side I did see some signs of life in the pass rush and D the pass rushers straight up beat the Mich tackles a couple times and for as bad as the resulting score was I'm a little more optimistic about the team but can only be so to some degree .. I can def give a break to the QB for holding the ball a bit long first start at the big house .. can def give the D a break for getting run over .. 

MTSU went into JMU's house and got HOUSED big time in every which way .. plenty of reasons to still be skep on JMU albeit think they showed they belong in the G5 ranks .. stats paint just about as ugly a picture for MT as CO.State had and I think they have way more either uncertainties or bad projections about them then the Rams do.. not only that but when Todd Ciento is toppin the PFF charts and way up there on SP+'s 'week 1 heisman' we can just kinda know for sure something's clearly amiss with MT and maybe the Dukes really are a quality G5 team, they're certainly well coached and deserve the consideration but can't be convinced off a big game in what really was a massive home game .. I think the Rams should be a decent fav given how the team projects maybe 4-6 points at home? .. but this is a terrrrible spot for MT going to JMU to get beat up then flying out to Colorado Springs for some (very nearly) mile high fun .. not many starts are that bad, Ville was another really crappy start for a season .. And no doubt crowd will be excited for the new coaching regime so think we get a packed house and I'd put the over/under on MTSU travelling fans and groupies at 3.5 .. 

Should also note that MTSU at least historically really performs well at home when looking at conference games at least in terms of H/A scoring differential is one of the highest .. ie worse on the road / better at home .. Coach Stock has been there long enough that trends like that are important to know .. but also see he's pretty good in road non-cons and non-cons off a loss .. so maybe he has his guys up for this one, idk the spot is really rough .. We can see they have a new OC too from Samford and man I loved this Sam team in that spring 2021 season .. its the same Sam team that battled Florida in the Fall LY, a full on shootout and one UF was fortunate to just get outta there with a win .. Hard to imagine MT's offense 'going off' in this game after last week but between that potential and what we think the Rams could be I'd say lean over .. wouldn't play that though, think that's a wayyyy bigger stretch than making the case for the Rams to cover since MT got 12 yards on 28 carries last week .. less than 0.5/carry .. WOW....  but something to keep an eye on and maybe we see an offense that might produce a decent total in a home game .. 

ROUNDUP .. Feels pretty good, lotta overs which I'm just not all that fond of .. but mostly ones I was either keying on pre-ssn as almost sure thing I'm gunna hit it like Neb, T-tech .. or ones I was looking for some validation in week 1 and were gunna be plays if the numbers didn't come out totally absurd .. Forgot to bring over the ASU/CMU total over from the Wk 1 thread.. Don't feel bad that one took off like a rocket so you'd have had to see it there to get it under 56 and its still climbing at 57.5 now... write up's in the wk 1 thread if interested but jist is basically 2 very spotty secondaries and just banking on Herm not being too stubborn about running the ball here after watching 2 minutes of that CMU/Pokes game film ..  

BRIDGE PLAYS
UCF -6.5
MISS STATE -7.5
N.ILLINOIS +6.5 
NEBRASKA / GA.SO OVER 60
HOUSTON / T-TECH OVER 63
WASH STATE / WISCO OVER 45.5

SMALLER
BAYLOR +3
N.ILLINOIS +6.5
MISS STATE -13.5
BAMA -17.5 (GOY)
GEORGIA STATE +7
COLORADO STATE -7.5
WASH STATE +15.5 (GOY)
VANDY / WAKE OVER 62
ILLINOIS / UVA OVER 56
OK.STATE / ASU OVER 52.5
S.BAMA / C.MICH OVER 59.5
UCONN / CUSE UNDER 54
V.TECH / BC UNDER 45.5
GEORGIA TECH +24.5 

FUN BET
IOWA STATE ML/U41.5

@Bridge1

 I like the Nebraska/Ga So over…Looks like it could definitely hit 

@MLMaverick

Hope so you know I really just watched them play the spring game and wasn't too excited but man Van T way better as a gunslinger than in that ho-humm buffalo offense .. not saying he lights it up here but they could maybe put a few points up .. and like realllly high pass % we'll see what happens here, i don't think they stray too far from their bread n butter, they don't have an OL like NU and Nebraska pass D showed you can scheme up WR's to get free .. we'll see .. Totally moot if Nebraska doesn't do some really heavy lifting for us and im sure the D is better than the spring game but what I saw was like videogame cheat code 99 level offense vs like can't make a tackle defense worst thing I've ever seen .. should be a field day and one you'd think Frost would deliver to the fans ... IF HE CAN!!!!! LOL .. Probably dumb to do but I hit the spread too -20.5 and 21 .. not posting it because figured it might lead folks to play it for more and wouldn't do that was hoping for like 17 or so .. find it hard to believe I could lose both those bets but idk maybe Nebraska wants to practice a slow moving slug fest offensive game plan vs a really fast pass happy offense in prep for OU next week... give the fans something to get excited about bahaha.. 

@MLMaverick

Would def check the H1 total / line out, the game line moved and I mean it is possible Frost pulls some of his guys in a 49-zip affair before Q4 ..  def think they'll get rolling quickly scoring and either GA-So can put numbers on quick or its quick turnover to the huskers .. So yeah the game total could get zapp'd by late game coaching decisions .. was thinking wait till H1 myself but figured its gunna be the better half of the total maybe 35 which seems a bit steep . hoping for a full game romp .. 

Man was saying that N.ILL / Tulsa total looked a little light at 57.5 earlier today when making my Huskies play .. big pop to 63.5 now ... .. could def see this one get rocketed into degen hyperspace like high 60's by kickoff and think the move is play a little under and see if Tulsa's pass game is ultra efficient twice in a row .. run game was really not fantastic last week and that comes after Illinois gave em 60 mins of gut punches that shoulda softened them up pretty good ... could also see Tulsa's D just not being very good this year lose quite a few guys and the DC off to TCU .. well deserved promotion after bangin out some really good D's and a few first rounders .. 

Bol this week Bridge1

SMALLER

AUBURN -23

Didn't expect to see those SJSU stats looking how they did .. 15 runs for 45 yds .. 50% passing .. 7 sacks to zero .. vs portland state? .. its the same coaches from the Spartan's covid wonder year and man that offense has really fallen off the map ever since even with ALOT of the same guys, the good OL snyder, QB's the NFL TE, RB's, Rec's, same coordinator and everything .. I think they can bounce back but if they're struggling that much to get on their feet w the new xfers then let's see if Aub can run a train on these guys here .. I know its the lead in to the big penn state game but you have Harsin pretty much on a week to week contract at this point and while a bad game here maybe could get redeemed next week by throttling the Nitneys, a game I'm very likely to be on the Tigers, I could also see a very bad result putting the kibosh on his tenure real early on this year ... Harsin is an ex-boise state coach and he brought in his old OC/DC and not only should be familiar with SJSU's coaches from their time there but should also remember when SJSU beat the crap outta him in the champ game as a goodbye gift before taking the Auburn job .. Yeah def a 2-bird game for Harsin here .. 

Would say go under if anything but already at 50 and even only hitting 50% he did end up w 240 yds and a TD pretty good yards / attempt ~9 considering all the whiffs .. Cordiero can use his legs to extend drives and has a few WR xfers from Nevada, not the best ones but a few guys to watch out for .. Trojan D did give up better stats to the Portland state QB and we've seen these in-ssn QB duals turn opponents into pinata's in a few games .. combine that w SJSU holding the ball for like 2 minutes a drive w so little running and missed passes, if it plays out like that again we can kinda project some realllly quick turnover in the possession arrow and very likely dualing tiger QB's looking to win the Top Gun competition .. do the math, could go over pretty easy .. saw some of that toward the end of the GT game last year a stone cold lock at 24.5 before a few mistakes and some reallllly quick possessions blew our cover and turned it into a romp and prob toppled quite a few on the under .. not interested in being part of that in this one lol .. 

Hartman cleared for takeoff so says the internet .. we'll see how it goes but total launched a few points up so did the spread .. def wouldn't play over any higher I heard its tough to practice after a stroke and living inside one of those germ bubbles plus all the blood clots and the myocarditis and the random collapsing .. anyway glad to hear they flushed that nasty stuff from his system and he's ready to be a 22 year old super athletic healthy football player again .. 

As for us think we're pretty good at 62 no need to get too excited, Wake had one of the worst run D's last year and should be a decent back/forth matchup even if Gunnery Sargent Hartman ends up not coming back this game .. either way would def keep tabs on the weather my climate models show a pretty big patch of rain hovering over Nashville around noon on Sat which is prob keeping this total from going to 70 if ya think about it .. I suppose we could trust the models to maybe be a little bit accurate looking ahead 4 days from now but wouldn't surprise anyone if they are wrong again .. - Good luck .. GO HARTMAN GO!!!!

@Bridge1

appreciate the reply. always enjoy reading what you've got. GL