RECAP
Bridge Plays takes the lead since idk which week .. i'll give that one woop ..
OK.State .. Rabbit out of a hat .. we didnt even get their starting qb Hejni back .. loser .. they reallllly blew the game when they shoulda won and I suspect if Hauss was in we woulda closed this out pretty easy .. woop ..
ND .. sure looked like Pitt players were playing for a bit but you can kinda tell there just wasn't a real plan to attack this team and even if they had one it wouldn't have done much help .. man o man PITT had better .. and I mean better .. make that conf champ game for tanking this major massive spot .. can only imagine what pitt's fans had to pay for those tickets and with gameday there like all the ticket packages and extra junk they'd make them buy to go to that game .. and easy to sell those tickets to drunk ND fans throwing money around .. welp lotta light blue in the stadium with gameday on hand and holy crap Narduzzi you better have a big biiiiig plan if yer tanking games like that boiiii ..
Wash State .. love these guys .. quite a spot this week and I think you can still bank on a DUDE like zevi and these guys and all these SDSU JACKS players and coaches showing up vs JMU to show they weren't just the cream of the FCS ..
New Mexico .. shoulda been a banger .. 5 fumbles .. drives stalling out for field goals .. were up 10 pts twice in this gm and dicked around for a small win .. Rams looked hapless and seat of your pants plays with a new QB kinda just lucked their way into some points .. couldn't believe it .. FU ..
Delaware .. no excuses .. announcer did say guys dealing with the flu and up 10 very early on absolutely cratered basically mid Q2 and beyond .. I suspect the flu prob was impactful but looking back I prob shouldn't have layed over a TD w this team on the road .. sammy hoooo-dat smacks us again .. ugh .. disgusting ..
Entering the last two weeks which is where motivations are key and critical .. spots get wild and unexplained things tend to happen .. be real careful because those books have been playing this fiddle pretty well this year .. very easy to get buried .. like I did .. last week on spots like that 17 point GT road fav ... but I think you can def catch books over perusing these spots and/or sleeping on some of these too .. good luck!
BRIDGE PLAY
ARMY -10.5
I picked this up -9.5 right away .. tulsa off their big win .. no chance for a bowl .. off fairly late game and playing very early in west point .. I suspect they didn't spend much time learning them and I wouldn't bother much this week either with a very very winnable home finale on deck to give coach Lamb win #4 in his not horrible but certainly not great debut ... Army 5 wins and they live to go bowling such a big part of the service academies .. win here locks it up with 6 .. if not they go @UTSA and that's one the RR's will be playing with revenge for very very togugh loss last year .. and beyond that yeah they do get Navy but its typical for bowls to be filled up by then and a 5 win army or navy can just be left out even nabbing their 6th win in that game .. this is very very close to a technical 'must win for bowl' spot as I wouldn't bank on Army sure thing winning next week .. GOOD LUCK GO ARMY!
Not the biggest play in history with Army laying 10.5 .. if we see another 9.5 I'd be more apt to take that .. I think tulsa is a just a fish outta water in this spot and hope the West Pointers can capitalize in front of their fellow cadets .. which they realllllly like doing for them ..
SMALLER
CHARLOTTE +44.5
Got this right away .. brain off bimbo play for me with UGA vs the little guy late in the year off their SEC conf slate and w GT on deck and boiiii is that a major high motivation game this year now .. I find it very difficult to believe UGA is playin w a full deck every time they let like Umass or UT Martin keep pace w them in these spots .. Kirby has said in the past he picks his spots and no doubt these games arent his spots .. and as a master motivator theres no way he doesn't turn around and say 'WTF GUYS YOU GAVE UP 3 TD'S TO UMASS??!! YOU AINT WINNING SH!T PLAYING LIKE THAT!!!!' and use that to dial up the intensity for bigger games ..
Charlotte is in fact SOOO BAD that I did pause before playing but yeah this spot really is the definition of Bet It And Forget It for me .. Good luck .. wouldn play anything north of 42.5 ..
SMALLER
OKLAHOMA STATE +14.5
Maaaaaaaan .. I prob wouldn't play this if they won last week but I don't think this rebirth is one and done .. we did see a major spirted effort and Pokes looked like the better team pretty much the entire game ... K-State was in such a major downer ... we can't BP this because UCF is at home in the bounce house and this is a big winnable game for them .. they need two for a bowl ... but call me crazy I think its still 2 kinda bad teams yeah but both should be motivated to show up .. I think OK.State should be very much still WIN HUNTING in this game and they smelled the blood last week hard to imagine they don't stay hungry .. very disappointing they don't have Hauss Hejni if they had really good QB play they might have closed out their season 3-0 with one of the best turnaround stories of the year .. as it is .. they still could be a good one for us if they just keep showing up .. GOOD LUCK!
SMALLER
MARYLAND +11.5
Michigan maybe still in the playoff hunt I suppose and sure they could use a big biiiig win here .. but we're on the road before THE GAME .. its alwayyyyys a tough spot with very very unlikely surprise near upsets for both them and OSU in this spot .. no doubt about one thing .. Michigan would rather beat OSU again and miss the playoffs than lose to them and make the playoffs .. and there's no two ways about that .. pretty clear from last week that they aren't looking to buffer the resume and here they go b2b roadies vs a team that can probably sneak off w a win here and if they can get it they got a very winnable game vs Mich State in the finale to cap I think a totally improbable bowl run .. Maryland's offense does stink but the D can play well .. Michigan is nothing special IMO .. good luck!
SMALLER
BOWLING GREEN -4.5
Akron has no shot at a bowl and neither does BG .. but GREENS are playing at home and Akron is off the BIG WAGON WHEEL game where they lost .. I think new coach Eddie George looked like the toast of MACVILLE after beating toledo and then proceeded to rattle off 4 straight losses .. He can make the most of the season by keeping his guys in the game and capping this season off with a win vs likely just a totally unmotivated akron team .. whose playing their final game of the season .. in one of the deadiest dead spots on the CFB schedule .. and Eddie G also must see the chance to finish off winning their final 2 games with this one and @Umass .. the worst team in FBS and its NOT EVEN CLOSE! .. suspect this is a team that shows up vs a team thats already bowed out and just not all that concerned with injuries and such its pure spot here ..
SMALLER
WASH STATE +13.5
I mean .. theyve poved they can go on the road and play up a level .. and yeah its possible they tank here ... off a big win .. oreg state round 2 on deck .. and they really don't need this to make a bowl if they can nab that last one .. But .. This is 100% a SUPERBOWL scenario for them .. Coogs are laden with SDSU JACKS coaches and players .. there is just no way they aren't showing up to this game like its the FCS NATTY CHAMP played out at the FBS level .. esp with JMU seemingly The King of the G5 at the moment .. Yeah I think books put this line out 13.5 hoping YOU would expect them to run over Zevi and the boyz in this 'bad tough road spot' .. maaaan I aint so sure .. might but .. I can at least expect wash state to show up and I relly like this team .. lotta added motivations going on here .. and frankly yeah JMU is still in the KILL ZONE needing to keep pounding everything in its path to punch a G5 playoff ticket .. but they're off the screamin revenge hate game vs App State and now its a fairly unknown noncon opponent coming in a conf sandwich spot .. JMU still needs to be very careful to not neglect a semi streaky Coastal Team on deck ..
But yeah I could be stepping in front of a freight train here just FYI .. but then again .. I think JMU could be also .. and I got 13-1 JMU playoff tickets so I'm def hoping they can keep makin some hay here .. but .. gotta call balls n strikes and the truth is ... #ZEVI'S-A-DUDE and that's THE TRUTH .. Def will find a spot in an ML parlay this week too .. GO COOGS
SMALLER
KENT STATE +7.5
2 very winnable games for maybe the biggest turnaround bowl run this year and you got a CMU team off their big win vs Buffalo .. clinched bowl eligibility .. and a season finale on deck to have a big game for with Toledo in the Chips home finale .. This line mimicks the approx SP+ line of 2 weeks ago and it just feels very possible that we have one team show up big at home pulling all the stops .. and another team who is good running the ball but has shown us a few times that if things aren't clicking they can pitch a really bad game and lose to the likes of Akron .. and yeah unlike Akron you have such a big goal maybe 100-1 shot at the books for them to make a bowl pre-ssn w a 1.5 win season expected .. if thats what the books were offering than yeah reality fair odds were prob more like 500-1 lol .. like I just can't see them not show up here .. Good luck!
SMALLER
NOTRE DAME -35.5
Cuse D is not the worst thing in the world but the problem is if they aren't playing a team they can stop then things just feel like they'll get completely out of hand .. the offense has been deader than dog meat after Angelli got injured and this realllllly doesn't seem like the spot where you wanna test things out to see if any QB you have can take big shots and stay on 2 feet .. its such a gigantic line but you see them throttle Pitt on the road with a decent roster and some playmakers .. this is major maaajor trouble for Cuse and ND has shown every desire to "pour it on" with very good backup squads .. only possible concern is back door being left open if ND gets way out ahead in H1 .. maybe H1 is just the better play here idk .. hard to imagine ND is playing backups and Cuse is playing starters though but that's I guess a possibility as Coach Fran should def wanna see what his team can do vs something they can at least have an outside chance to be competitive against .. maybe?.. I can also see him not at all care about the final score and protect his players before a big home finale and really a very possibly winnable game vs an old easterly rival when BC comes to the dome to see who the true worst of the worst is in the P4 ranks .. yeah .. I'd def angle for trying to win that one instead of worrying about something that won't happen this week .. ND 58-ZIP .. Good luck!
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