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been waiting for this line....very strong systems

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727magic

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Joined: Apr, 2008

Posts: 5780

Posted: Nov. 5, 2011 - 2:21 AM ET #151

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Partenopei

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Joined: Sep, 2011

Posts: 109

Posted: Nov. 5, 2011 - 2:24 AM ET #152

Home dogs > +12.5 with winning percentage >.600, are 20-0 against the spread, if winning exactly two straight games and if allowing <49 pts in those two wins.

The play here is Wyoming +19.5

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Partenopei

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Joined: Sep, 2011

Posts: 109

Posted: Nov. 5, 2011 - 2:39 AM ET #153

Road favorites of <-2.5 and >-21 after OT win as faves >-14 (-1 to -13.5) if they scored >20 in that win are 1-23 ATS.

The play is Western Kentucky +3

10 plays in CFB this week. I like some more and some less. Up to you to fade or follow. I am not going to try to convince anyone. Not my style. We are all adults here, I guess. Everyone here should be able to make decisions on his own. I wish you good luck.

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nfl_brosuf

Captain

Joined: Oct, 2011

Posts: 9221

Posted: Nov. 5, 2011 - 3:37 AM ET #154

Quote Originally Posted by Partenopei:

Road favorites of <-2.5 and >-21 after OT win as faves >-14 (-1 to -13.5) if they scored >20 in that win are 1-23 ATS.

The play is Western Kentucky +3

10 plays in CFB this week. I like some more and some less. Up to you to fade or follow. I am not going to try to convince anyone. Not my style. We are all adults here, I guess. Everyone here should be able to make decisions on his own. I wish you good luck.

I like this one.

at least the spread is cheap enough to swallow.

The only thing that is scary is that w. kentucky is horrible at home. (1-4) However, even if they loses at home, they are known to win against the spread.

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808rushem

Prospect

Joined: Oct, 2010

Posts: 127

Posted: Nov. 5, 2011 - 3:40 AM ET #155

so true my man. cannot win every week. 0-1 right now. But i hope you rebound back this weekend. I just hope that hawaiian warrior is wrong, by when he says "the house will rock".

Quote Originally Posted by Partenopei:

Road favorites of <-2.5 and >-21 after OT win as faves >-14 (-1 to -13.5) if they scored >20 in that win are 1-23 ATS.

The play is Western Kentucky +3

10 plays in CFB this week. I like some more and some less. Up to you to fade or follow. I am not going to try to convince anyone. Not my style. We are all adults here, I guess. Everyone here should be able to make decisions on his own. I wish you good luck.

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nfl_brosuf

Captain

Joined: Oct, 2011

Posts: 9221

Posted: Nov. 5, 2011 - 3:43 AM ET #156

Quote Originally Posted by xaycopicks:

Wow 8 college games!

All shitty teams except for Iowa. Dogs will bark this Saturday! Love your system plays. Let's finish strong & go 7-1 on your college plays this week!

even the iowa bet is scary...

iowa is 0-3 away and in these games, they failed to cover all 3 of them.

I like our friend parte for a reason and that is because he just makes it that difficult to bet. Either tail the guy or no play to save yourself from the turmoil of the "just in case" he wins case.

Loving what you are doing parte. Much luvvvvvvv

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nfl_brosuf

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Joined: Oct, 2011

Posts: 9221

Posted: Nov. 5, 2011 - 3:52 AM ET #157

Quote Originally Posted by nfl_brosuf:

even the iowa bet is scary...

iowa is 0-3 away and in these games, they failed to cover all 3 of them.

I like our friend parte for a reason and that is because he just makes it that difficult to bet. Either tail the guy or no play to save yourself from the turmoil of the "just in case" he wins case.

Loving what you are doing parte. Much luvvvvvvv

Dude, I made the wrong assessment.

My stupid local bookie has a star next to michigan which denotes that they are the home. I am capping this game all wrong.

dang it. I thought michigan was the home team all these times.

My bad...

I now loving that iowa play. Michigan lost their first game away and won all of them at home.

Iowa is 5-0 at home...

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Partenopei

Banned

Joined: Sep, 2011

Posts: 109

Posted: Nov. 5, 2011 - 4:11 AM ET #158

Almost forgot this one:

In games 5+, home teams with winning percentage .750 or better are 1-17 ATS after beating a team with winning percentage .910 or better on the road as a -7 to -33.5 favorite, against teams with winning percentage >.200.

Since last season these teams went 0-4 SU and ATS (This season FLA vs ALA and TEX vs OKL and last season NEB vs TEX and MICH vs MCHST). In 2009 FLA beat Arkansas by 3 as 24.5 pts chalk. All in all, since 2009 these teams went 0-5 ATS losing ATS by an amazing margin of 22 pts per game.

Texas A&M +14.5 (I am buying full pt here)

Once again, good luck all. Talk to you late tonight or Sunday.

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K4ngur13

Hall of Fame

Joined: Jan, 2009

Posts: 26212

Posted: Nov. 5, 2011 - 4:30 AM ET #159

Quote Originally Posted by MrDegenerate:

systems
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Whether I bet on Stanford or not, I just hope to see another blind systems bettor supply the money for the obvious degen side.

how long did it take you to do that?

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composite

Veteran

Joined: Oct, 2008

Posts: 4418

Posted: Nov. 5, 2011 - 5:07 AM ET #160

Quote Originally Posted by Partenopei:

The quantity of bashing here and across the street is getting ridicilous.

I dont see the point of sharing those any more.

I meant no disrespect. At the end of the day, I appreciate anyone that shares his picks.

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416bet

Veteran

Joined: Jul, 2011

Posts: 1581

Posted: Nov. 5, 2011 - 8:49 AM ET #161

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glefkb01

Veteran

Joined: Oct, 2008

Posts: 2554

Posted: Nov. 5, 2011 - 8:59 AM ET #162

Quote Originally Posted by Partenopei:

In games 2-9, teams that won last week as 3.5-23 points underdogs and scored more than 38 points are 24-49 ATS and 19-56 SU. If their win came in overtime, they are 4-18 SU and ATS. And finally, if their win came in multiple overtime, they are 0-11 SU and ATS, losing by 19 ppg SU and 16.2 ppg ATS. In all game numbers, those that won in multiple overtime are 0-16 ATS.

Taking a risk with Colorado +21.5

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magic120

Prospect

Joined: Nov, 2008

Posts: 48

Posted: Nov. 5, 2011 - 11:37 AM ET #163

Any system for Alabama vs LSU....?

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lonkat

Prospect

Joined: Nov, 2009

Posts: 339

Posted: Nov. 5, 2011 - 1:36 PM ET #164

i hope he has a system for cbb!

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lonkat

Prospect

Joined: Nov, 2009

Posts: 339

Posted: Nov. 5, 2011 - 1:40 PM ET #165

[Quote: Originally Posted by Partenopei] Almost forgot this one:

In games 5+, home teams with winning percentage .750 or better are 1-17 ATS after beating a team with winning percentage .910 or better on the road as a -7 to -33.5 favorite, against teams with winning percentage >.200.

Since last season these teams went 0-4 SU and ATS (This season FLA vs ALA and TEX vs OKL and last season NEB vs TEX and MICH vs MCHST). In 2009 FLA beat Arkansas by 3 as 24.5 pts chalk. All in all, since 2009 these teams went 0-5 ATS losing ATS by an amazing margin of 22 pts per game.

Texas A&M +14.5 (I am buying full pt here)

Once again, good luck all. Talk to you late tonight or Sunday.
[

money line here is too good to pass up +415,gonna split my bet up half on ml

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Chimpo

Veteran

Joined: Jan, 2011

Posts: 2260

Posted: Nov. 5, 2011 - 1:42 PM ET #166

Quote Originally Posted by magic120:

Any system for Alabama vs LSU....?

Alabama's Nick Saban is 18-3 SU and 16-4 ATS in games against undefeated college football opponents when his team is also undefeated.

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maverick23

Veteran

Joined: May, 2003

Posts: 2378

Posted: Nov. 5, 2011 - 1:43 PM ET #167

keep posting buddy. It happens everytime with these guys, always bashing without providing anything useful for capping.

Appreciate if you continue doing so....

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lonkat

Prospect

Joined: Nov, 2009

Posts: 339

Posted: Nov. 5, 2011 - 2:37 PM ET #168

[Quote: Originally Posted by Encore] Classy, informative posts regarding matchups...

Classy, informative responses to the negative...

Refreshing

Nice to find a capper with manners, class and a long list of winners

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lonkat

Prospect

Joined: Nov, 2009

Posts: 339

Posted: Nov. 5, 2011 - 2:53 PM ET #169

Indiana

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lonkat

Prospect

Joined: Nov, 2009

Posts: 339

Posted: Nov. 5, 2011 - 3:12 PM ET #170

Iowa

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Encore

Rookie

Joined: Oct, 2011

Posts: 596

Posted: Nov. 5, 2011 - 3:12 PM ET #171

Indiana

Iowa

Partenopei

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glefkb01

Veteran

Joined: Oct, 2008

Posts: 2554

Posted: Nov. 5, 2011 - 3:15 PM ET #172

NICE! down to the last second with IOWA! what a nail biter LUV THAT SHEEEEEIT!

WAY TO GO PARTENOPEI!

Col

Iowa

Indy

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glefkb01

Veteran

Joined: Oct, 2008

Posts: 2554

Posted: Nov. 5, 2011 - 3:21 PM ET #173

Oregon State +21

Iowa +4.5

Florida Atlantic +17

Colorado +21.5

UCLA +10

Indiana +28

UAB +28

UNLV

Wyoming +18 (HANGIN WITH TCU)

West Kentucky

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buntyketti

Rookie

Joined: Apr, 2009

Posts: 627

Posted: Nov. 5, 2011 - 3:38 PM ET #174

glefkb , we need to convince this guy to open a thread at the systems & strategies side, the most co-operative and no nonsense side of covers.

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glefkb01

Veteran

Joined: Oct, 2008

Posts: 2554

Posted: Nov. 5, 2011 - 3:46 PM ET #175

Quote Originally Posted by buntyketti:

glefkb , we need to convince this guy to open a thread at the systems & strategies side, the most co-operative and no nonsense side of covers.

Agreed.... far less bashers in there.

He sounds like Big Al on Wayne allen root in deciding his plays but what can you say when he is winning....

Partenopei...you should consider posting these plays in systems ...far less haters and more helpful tips for contributors. Just a suggestion.