1* 36-29
2* 9-9
3* 1-2
4* 1-1
5* 0-0
1*Michigan St/Kentucky Under 153.5
Sparty is not shooting the ball from the outside well to start the year, to the tune of 352nd in 3pt% @ KenPom. They are 267th in pace, and 256th in eff. fg%. Nearly 26% of their points thus far, have come from the foul line. But they shouldn't be able to get to the charity stripe as often against this Kentucky defense, that has length at every position.
2* Vermont/Buffalo Over 140.5
KenPom has this game 75-74, Bulls win. You don't typically see that big of a gap between KenPom and Vegas. Both offenses shoot the 3 at a very good clip, and both defend it rather poorly. Buffalo gets to the line at a very high rate too. Pace certainly isn't going to be fast, but it doesn't have to be to get to this number, and two 3pt shooting teams.
1* Old Dominion Monarchs +10.5
I don't know how Xavier is a double digit favorite over anyone, but this is worth a unit. They've beat Marist by 4, and Le Moyne by 5. Those are their wins. That's it. They probably leave tomorrow for the Charleston Classic too, so do they even care about this game tonight? ODU hasn't really been impressive by any means, but Xavier has just been so bad under baby Pitino.
3* Tenn-Martin/Florida St Over 163.5
We know Florida St is gonna run, and get a lay up or a 3 within the first 15 seconds of the shot clock. It's a wild brand of basketball, very NBA-esq, but that was expected given the coaching hire. Noles couldn't get the 3s to go vs Florida, but they've had a week off and will come out flying I'd imagine. Tenn Martin doesn't have an issue with pace, or scoring the basketball either, but they turn it over a lot, and that is gonna lead to many, many layups at the other end.
1* South Carolina Gamecocks -9.5
Radford is very bad. On offense and defense. They've won a single DI game thus far, and it was 342nd ranked Western Illinois. They lost by 30+ to Wright St. The athletes will be too much. I watched Radford play against UNC and the Heels had no interest in that game, coming off the Kansas win, so put very little stock into Radford staying with 15.
2* Eastern Kentucky/Kent St Over 161.5
I love Kent St at home under Senderoff. They just hit a different level on offense on their home floor. But they still don't defend, giving up 95+ on three separate occasions. EKUs offensive numbers don't jump off the screen, but they shouldn't have to do all that much. If they can get to 65-70 points, that should be enough.
1* New Haven Chargers +25.5
I don't know much about New Haven, but I don't for Seton Hall to cover 25.5 points, they are going to have to score around 80 points, and I'm fading that. They've only gotten to 78+ once so far this year. Their defense is good, but their offense is not, and I just don't think they have the fire power to cover such a large number.
1* Army/Cornell Under 165.5
This is a LARGE number for an Army team that ranks in the 300s of just about every offensive category you can find. They rely only on the 3pt shot, and they only make 1 of every 4 they take. They offensive possessions are among the longest in the country as well. Cornell does like to run, but even if they get to 100, I don't know that Army can get to 66.
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