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Teams favored by 20 and 30 points

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Posted: #1
Do you  see any value  laying these kind of numbers with Virginia North Carolina  Kentucky  Duke 

None  of these teams are playing for style points for rankings or seeding  these teams already accomplished that  so they can coast in these games cupcake games 

isn't it about expending the least amount of energy with starters and star players and getting through free of injuries 

What motivation is for any of these team ?  i can see maybe Virginia after just losing a chance for conference championship and being embarrassed last year  in NCAA tournament by UMBC 

Why would Duke need to win by 36 ?  it probably don't happen because Coach K  don't rub it in to mid majors   a 25-30 point win is more than enough.

Teams that were embarrassed last game that all got of to horrible starts and never recovered  Texas Tech Tennessee Houston Virginia Purdue  these all might be good 1st half plays 

Good Luck   






 
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Posted: #2
Gonzaga beat teams in the WCC by 40-50 points...the bench players for these #1-2 seeds are better than the starters for the #15/16 seeds... I would rather lay the big spread than take the points....
Mayweather bet 450000 on
 
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Posted: #3
Quote Originally Posted by davemsh:

Gonzaga beat teams in the WCC by 40-50 points...the bench players for these #1-2 seeds are better than the starters for the #15/16 seeds... I would rather lay the big spread than take the points....

Don't  you understand teams win these games during the regular season for style points for ranking and seeding purposes that was the point of the post 

Especially a team like Gonzaga who's playing in the crappy WCC they must win by 30 to 40 points against that crap in WCC  but now there is no need to impress anyone anymore , these teams will play for a easy win and get out ,

Remember  the lines built into the game and the line makers aren't stupid the public plays favorites 
 
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Posted: #4
Think about it :  Why is 5 Dimes offering Duke - 35 vs either NC Central or North Dakota St   The Public don't take the +35 Dog going against Duke the public plays Duke , there are people who haven't bet all year that know nothing  they bet now and they will  bet Duke Vegas knows this 

Who bets against Duke in the NCAA tournament taking teams like NC Central or North Dakota St  ?  Nobody lol 

There is years of statistical data Vegas uses with Duke and how these cupcake games in 1st round play out   they will get all the country Bumpkins  public money out there 



 
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Posted: #5
Duke Favored by over 30 points twice in regular season 0-2 

-39.5  vs Army won by 22 points 

-38.5  vs Hartford won by 30  

No motivation in Coach K's  DNA to rub it in and embarrass these kids or coaches from these small schools,  especially in an NCAA  Tournament games

 In the past  he's  gone in the other teams locker room after the game to congratulate them on their season , he understands it's a big deal for these kids 

Vegas does there homework on this they know Duke will never cover the number they give .
 
1st round Duke beat Hartford by 22  beat Iona 22 Troy by 22    Arkansas pine bluff by 29  Robert Morris 29  Binghamton  22  Colorado st 10 Delaware state 11 

Hampton 42  was the only one i found covering this number  of 35    and Alabama  St  by 35 a push  both  were long ago 

If you noticed  Duke won a lot of these games by either 22 or 29 kinda like he wants to win by over 20 but not hit the 30  point mark  he's basically naming the score 

I'm taking +35  for a unit  

 
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Posted: #6

Demi I do agree with you on this!! I was actually going to start a thread on what every ones thoughts on taking ALL of dogs the 1ST round.... Some years this does well and I believe this will be one of those years possibly? 

 

 
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Posted: #7
Va won't win by 24.5.


 
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Posted: #8

I will tease up those 4 dogs an additional 9 pts for fun!  Reality is they either cover or they don’t.  Better off betting every dog prob hit 63%.

I like it! I like it alot!
 
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Posted: #9
Quote Originally Posted by umgmu:

Va won't win by 24.5.



I agree it's tough to win by margin when you run the 30 second shot clock down like Virginia does 

Gardner Webb won SU out of conference vs Wake and Georgia Tech which is not Virginia but respectable ,

Virginia isn't a team i would bet against  only because they are coming of a loss and have a lot to prove , year after year best team in country during season only to flop in post season  ,so they will be focused , expect an effort even as a 24.5 favorite 

 Gardner Web is top 1/3 in O pace  so they don't play slow maybe Virginia  gets quick baskets off Turnovers  

 
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Posted: #10

I usually stay away from this first round games, they are a true definition of crapshoot to try to figure out if Duke, Virginia or Gonzaga want to put the effort to cover this huge lines. 

 
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Posted: #11

Its about time you started posting plays instead of shooting your mouth off in mine. Now we will see what kind of capper you are. Can you hit better than .500... il be watching.

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Posted: #12
Quote Originally Posted by Wizerguy:

Its about time you started posting plays instead of shooting your mouth off in mine. Now we will see what kind of capper you are. Can you hit better than .500... il be watching.


If i have an opinion  or thought on something  ill post i won't post for the sake of posting like you do .

The only one that cares about my capping and how much i win or lose  is me ,

 And   nobody cares about your mindless dart throwing and  teasing  of basketball games which shows you're an amateur 
 
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Posted: #13
Quote Originally Posted by Demi23:


If i have an opinion  or thought on something  ill post i won't post for the sake of posting like you do .

The only one that cares about my capping and how much i win or lose  is me ,

 And   nobody cares about your mindless dart throwing and  teasing  of basketball games which shows you're an amateur 

- The storms will come, the storms will pass -
 
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Posted: #14

'The only one that that cares about my capping and how much I win or lose is me" "

That's an excuse trolls have been making for years. Put your money where your mouth is. Post your plays and units in the tournament...then we will see who the amateur is. The real reason you won't is because you're a troll, and will not be able to show a win% higher than .500. and more than 5 units. Now you're going to feel my wrath for coming into my thread and posting your nonsense. Im glad you finally posted, because now I am going to keep it going..... 

 

  ....from here to eternity. Buckle up bro..you're going for a ride  bigsmile

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Posted: #15
Quote Originally Posted by Shooshoo:

Demi I do agree with you on this!! I was actually going to start a thread on what every ones thoughts on taking ALL of dogs the 1ST round.... Some years this does well and I believe this will be one of those years possibly? 

 Over the long haul this is about 50/50 so you end up down with the juice. Have to pick your spots. Under the total has been a solid pick the last few years

 
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Posted: #16
So I expect you to be unloading on whomever plays Duke in the first round and posting it here
 
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Posted: #17
Quote Originally Posted by the1toturn2:

So I expect you to be unloading on whomever plays Duke in the first round and posting it here

Did you read the post ?  i already said i bet 1 unit on +35 at five dimes .  based on a trend and a theory 

No Dramatic phony posts or statements  from me .
 
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Posted: #18

Quote Originally Posted by Demi23:

Quote Originally Posted by Wizerguy:

Its about time you started posting plays instead of shooting your mouth off in mine. Now we will see what kind of capper you are. Can you hit better than .500... il be watching.
If i have an opinion  or thought on something  ill post i won't post for the sake of posting like you do .The only one that cares about my capping and how much i win or lose  is me , And   nobody cares about your mindless dart throwing and  teasing  of basketball games which shows you're an amateur
LOL! He has PROVEN he is heads and shoulders above you. Man, you make yourself look beyond stupid in this thread

Covers clown show

Histrionic personality disorder. It's sad
 
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Posted: #19
Quote Originally Posted by wmi799:

If i have an opinion  or thought on something  ill post i won't post for the sake of posting like you do .The only one that cares about my capping and how much i win or lose  is me , And   nobody cares about your mindless dart throwing and  teasing  of basketball games which shows you're an amateur LOL! He has PROVEN he is heads and shoulders above you. Man, you make yourself look beyond stupid in this thread

Covers clown show



makes you happy  lol 
 
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Posted: #20
Quote Originally Posted by Demi23:

Duke Favored by over 30 points twice in regular season 0-2 

-39.5  vs Army won by 22 points 

-38.5  vs Hartford won by 30  

No motivation in Coach K's  DNA to rub it in and embarrass these kids or coaches from these small schools,  especially in an NCAA  Tournament games

 In the past  he's  gone in the other teams locker room after the game to congratulate them on their season , he understands it's a big deal for these kids 

Vegas does there homework on this they know Duke will never cover the number they give .
 
1st round Duke beat Hartford by 22  beat Iona 22 Troy by 22    Arkansas pine bluff by 29  Robert Morris 29  Binghamton  22  Colorado st 10 Delaware state 11 

Hampton 42  was the only one i found covering this number  of 35    and Alabama  St  by 35 a push  both  were long ago 

If you noticed  Duke won a lot of these games by either 22 or 29 kinda like he wants to win by over 20 but not hit the 30  point mark  he's basically naming the score 

I'm taking +35  for a unit  


Interesting  i like it   
 
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Posted: #21

Quote Originally Posted by wmi799:

Quote Originally Posted by Demi23:

Quote Originally Posted by Wizerguy:

Its about time you started posting plays instead of shooting your mouth off in mine. Now we will see what kind of capper you are. Can you hit better than .500... il be watching.
If i have an opinion  or thought on something  ill post i won't post for the sake of posting like you do .The only one that cares about my capping and how much i win or lose  is me , And   nobody cares about your mindless dart throwing and  teasing  of basketball games which shows you're an amateur
LOL! He has PROVEN he is heads and shoulders above you. Man, you make yourself look beyond stupid in this thread Covers clown show

 

wmii799. Im going to keep his thread alive from here to the Superbowl. peace_5

- The storms will come, the storms will pass -
 
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Posted: #22

Quote Originally Posted by Demi23:

Quote Originally Posted by wmi799:

If i have an opinion  or thought on something  ill post i won't post for the sake of posting like you do .The only one that cares about my capping and how much i win or lose  is me , And   nobody cares about your mindless dart throwing and  teasing  of basketball games which shows you're an amateur LOL! He has PROVEN he is heads and shoulders above you. Man, you make yourself look beyond stupid in this thread Covers clown show
makes you happy  lol

 

seems to make you happy jumping into peoples threads talking smack. 

- The storms will come, the storms will pass -
 
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Posted: #23
Quote Originally Posted by Wizerguy:

makes you happy  lol

 

seems to make you happy jumping into peoples threads talking smack. 


 Listen Guy just telling you have a lot to learn about Sports Gambling the fact that you bet teasers in Basketball gives you away as being a novice.

The only purpose of teasers is betting football games  and getting on or under the key numbers  of 3  4  7 or 10   . 3 and 7  being the big ones .

There are no key numbers in basketball  using teasers is useless you are solely relying on the ability of the lines makers to be close to a final score . playing 2 and 3 team teasers in basketball is just increasing your chances of losing 

Any pro gambler or knowledgeable bettor that bets basketball knows this and would laugh in your face ,but this is all lost on you . 

You must be relatively new to this ,  that's alright you'll learn   

 
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Posted: #24

Quote Originally Posted by Demi23:

Quote Originally Posted by Wizerguy:

makes you happy  lol   seems to make you happy jumping into peoples threads talking smack. 
 Listen Guy just telling you have a lot to learn about Sports Gambling the fact that you bet teasers in Basketball gives you away as being a novice.The only purpose of teasers is betting football games  and getting on or under the key numbers  of 3  4  7 or 10   . 3 and 7  being the big ones .There are no key numbers in basketball  using teasers is useless you are solely relying on the ability of the lines makers to be close to a final score . playing 2 and 3 team teasers in basketball is just increasing your chances of losing Any pro gambler or knowledgeable bettor that bets basketball knows this and would laugh in your face ,but this is all lost on you . You must be relatively new to this ,  that's alright you'll learn

 

 

 

 

Sorry, but you're wrong on teasers in basketball. It's by far my most profitable betting strategy in college basketball. You just don't know these teams well enough to understand why teasers make sense. Or you don't have a mind creative enough to utilize them properly. 

 
 
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Posted: #25
Quote Originally Posted by umgmu:

Va won't win by 24.5.


Riiiight, and then Virginia wins 73-46 and you go how in the fukk did they manage to win by 27 and still stay under 120?
It's nice to have a president with balls and a first lady without them.
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