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Play on : Clemson -2.5
Clemson is built to win this exact matchup at home: their defense is elite across the board, holding opponents to 39.2% shooting and just 28.1% from three, which directly attacks NC State’s best strength (40.0% 3PT on offense).
Clemson also has a real second-chance path with a 32.9% offensive rebounding rate and a strong free throw attempt rate, giving them extra possessions and points at the line if the game turns physical.
The key piece is RJ Godfrey, a senior finisher who can punish the glass and live at the rim. I’m backing Clemson to control efficiency, win the possession battle, and pull away late.
Projection: 76-69
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