Great stuff buddy! I watched the Portland St v Idaho St game and you couldn't have been more right about the game. Watching ISU just let Portland St shoot 25 three point shots (almost all uncontested) and they hit 56%!!!!!
Idaho St was actualy really aggressive attacking the rim and did a good job rebounding, but turnovers and the fact they WATCH Portland St sinks 3 pointers all game was the difference. Good stuff and always appreciate the work you put into this!
0
Great stuff buddy! I watched the Portland St v Idaho St game and you couldn't have been more right about the game. Watching ISU just let Portland St shoot 25 three point shots (almost all uncontested) and they hit 56%!!!!!
Idaho St was actualy really aggressive attacking the rim and did a good job rebounding, but turnovers and the fact they WATCH Portland St sinks 3 pointers all game was the difference. Good stuff and always appreciate the work you put into this!
Nropp, Just wanted to express my appreciation of what you do!! I'm not for kissing a__ so don't take this that way. I just like to see someone like yourself excell at your game, your knowledge of so many teams and thier players is truely remarkable. I neither have the time or the effort to do what you do. Just wanted to say thanks for sharing your thoughts and WINNERS with this whole site. I know their are alot of people waiting every day on your picks! SO HURRY THE HECK UP!!!
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Nropp, Just wanted to express my appreciation of what you do!! I'm not for kissing a__ so don't take this that way. I just like to see someone like yourself excell at your game, your knowledge of so many teams and thier players is truely remarkable. I neither have the time or the effort to do what you do. Just wanted to say thanks for sharing your thoughts and WINNERS with this whole site. I know their are alot of people waiting every day on your picks! SO HURRY THE HECK UP!!!
Sorry to invade your thread but was just wondering if you could help out and let me know which team you think will win the following conferences:
ACC
Big 12
Big East
Big 10
Pac 10
SEC
Mountain West
WAC
Conference USA
A 10
Missouri Valley
Any input would be greatly appreciated! Thank you in advance!
To go off my rankings prior to the season even started, here they are (i don't adjust anything throughout the year). Home/Away, injuries, situational spot not taken into account.
ACC: Duke
Big 12: Kansas
Big East: Pitt
Big 10: Ohio State
Pac 10: Washington
SEC: Florida/Kentucky/Tennessee
Mountain West: BYU
WAC: Utah State
Conference USA: Memphis/UTEP
A 10: Temple
Missouri Valley: Wichita/Missouri State
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Quote Originally Posted by scoochnew:
nropp11,
Sorry to invade your thread but was just wondering if you could help out and let me know which team you think will win the following conferences:
ACC
Big 12
Big East
Big 10
Pac 10
SEC
Mountain West
WAC
Conference USA
A 10
Missouri Valley
Any input would be greatly appreciated! Thank you in advance!
To go off my rankings prior to the season even started, here they are (i don't adjust anything throughout the year). Home/Away, injuries, situational spot not taken into account.
neil...like the conference picks...a liitle amazed you think florida should be in it...as well as pitt...i like pitt but what about syracuse? i think they can play anyone tough in that conference. just my thoughts.....
always follow you and your picks...nice write ups and good job.look forward to more....go redbirds/illini :)
ryno
0
neil...like the conference picks...a liitle amazed you think florida should be in it...as well as pitt...i like pitt but what about syracuse? i think they can play anyone tough in that conference. just my thoughts.....
always follow you and your picks...nice write ups and good job.look forward to more....go redbirds/illini :)
1/2 Results: 10-3 for 10+ units of profit last week. 0-1 Yesterday, rough showing for Midd Tenn State. I got February 5th marked on my notes for a revenge game.
Sides: 37-21, +23.60
Totals: 23-12, +9.50
DNP: 45-36
1/3 Notes: Hard to avoid looking at any Auburn game lined in the 130’s as they put up putrid performances thus far and they have yet to play any team ranked in the top 100 of college basketball having the worst strength of schedule in the country. Against top 100 defenses this year, they have posted final scores of 55, 54, and 49. Florida State is one of the best defenses in the country, just have to hope that they might have an off night from the offensive side of things for the under to hit here, and they might with Virginia Tech and ACC play on deck. Rhode Island in a tough spot with an away game sandwiched between two home games (Boston College and Xavier). This could be a pretty good ballgame if Rhody shows up. Northeastern should be more competitive through the course of the CAA season than in their non-conference schedule they’ve played thus far and there will be some good spots but this is not one of them. They have been travelling across the country for most of the season, playing in a few tournaments and having the toughest strength of schedule in the conference because of it. They’ve also played some pretty drastic games that included either getting up and down at a quick pace, or playing a snail pace where possessions are a key. Either way you look at it, this team should perform a ton better than it did out of conference with the familiarity within the conference and the teams it competes with. Lavin will probably slow the pace with Georgetown. He did it against Providence and seeing that St. John’s competed with Georgetown last year and only scored 66, it’s probably in his best interest to slow it down this year. Georgetown’s played four top 100 defenses who play a slow pace this year, and they’ve scored 62, 68, 65, and 55. The first team to 60 should win this game if Lavin does what I think he will do. I lean Hofstra as I have them being a better CAA team by year’s end than Drexel, but that includes Lester in the lineup. Right now, there is too much pressure on Jenkins to perform. Drexel has played good, but these mid-level CAA teams are not ten points apart home or away. Should be a pretty good game between Michigan State and Northwestern. UNC Wilmington and William & Mary are pretty even teams, I would give a slight nod to UNC Wilmington due to coaching. Butler’s got Cleveland State on deck here, so a bit of value with Wisconsin Milwaukee. Butler has struggled in games at Milwaukee over the past ten years as they are just 3-7. The three years they won, MKE shot 40% from the free throw line in a five point loss (in 2006), MKE fell behind from a quick start by Butler and still took them into overtime (in 2008), and had a chance to win in the closing minute in the latest matchup (in 2010). With that said, one would think this is going to be a close game and might have some value. I can’t back MKE without an inside presence and with Boyle not being assertive. When he has played great, they have won ballgames, and won some big ones, but when he hasn’t this offense has struggled and they might struggle with Nored on him tonight. I just don’t see where MKE is going to get their points from tonight, and with a slight flat spot for Butler, I’ll go ahead and lean under. Wisconsin MKE’s offensive output against a top 100 defense this year shows totals of 65, 59, 40, and 44. I bet this at 138 this morning, but it’s since dropped, so I posted it at the 135.5 it is currently. I think the Nevada/Fresno line is pretty spot on for both teams. Nevada hasn’t been playing well on the road at all, and Fresno can’t really be trusted laying anything over a possession. With the return of Shepp, Fresno’s a bit deeper and a bit better offensively as a whole. Manhattan is dead to me until Sommerfeldt gets back on the court as he was their best recruit to come in and probably their best player on the squad. There is too many questions concerning some injuries to key players, and some players not playing to even spend enough time on the Canisius/St. Peter’s game...
0
1/2 Results: 10-3 for 10+ units of profit last week. 0-1 Yesterday, rough showing for Midd Tenn State. I got February 5th marked on my notes for a revenge game.
Sides: 37-21, +23.60
Totals: 23-12, +9.50
DNP: 45-36
1/3 Notes: Hard to avoid looking at any Auburn game lined in the 130’s as they put up putrid performances thus far and they have yet to play any team ranked in the top 100 of college basketball having the worst strength of schedule in the country. Against top 100 defenses this year, they have posted final scores of 55, 54, and 49. Florida State is one of the best defenses in the country, just have to hope that they might have an off night from the offensive side of things for the under to hit here, and they might with Virginia Tech and ACC play on deck. Rhode Island in a tough spot with an away game sandwiched between two home games (Boston College and Xavier). This could be a pretty good ballgame if Rhody shows up. Northeastern should be more competitive through the course of the CAA season than in their non-conference schedule they’ve played thus far and there will be some good spots but this is not one of them. They have been travelling across the country for most of the season, playing in a few tournaments and having the toughest strength of schedule in the conference because of it. They’ve also played some pretty drastic games that included either getting up and down at a quick pace, or playing a snail pace where possessions are a key. Either way you look at it, this team should perform a ton better than it did out of conference with the familiarity within the conference and the teams it competes with. Lavin will probably slow the pace with Georgetown. He did it against Providence and seeing that St. John’s competed with Georgetown last year and only scored 66, it’s probably in his best interest to slow it down this year. Georgetown’s played four top 100 defenses who play a slow pace this year, and they’ve scored 62, 68, 65, and 55. The first team to 60 should win this game if Lavin does what I think he will do. I lean Hofstra as I have them being a better CAA team by year’s end than Drexel, but that includes Lester in the lineup. Right now, there is too much pressure on Jenkins to perform. Drexel has played good, but these mid-level CAA teams are not ten points apart home or away. Should be a pretty good game between Michigan State and Northwestern. UNC Wilmington and William & Mary are pretty even teams, I would give a slight nod to UNC Wilmington due to coaching. Butler’s got Cleveland State on deck here, so a bit of value with Wisconsin Milwaukee. Butler has struggled in games at Milwaukee over the past ten years as they are just 3-7. The three years they won, MKE shot 40% from the free throw line in a five point loss (in 2006), MKE fell behind from a quick start by Butler and still took them into overtime (in 2008), and had a chance to win in the closing minute in the latest matchup (in 2010). With that said, one would think this is going to be a close game and might have some value. I can’t back MKE without an inside presence and with Boyle not being assertive. When he has played great, they have won ballgames, and won some big ones, but when he hasn’t this offense has struggled and they might struggle with Nored on him tonight. I just don’t see where MKE is going to get their points from tonight, and with a slight flat spot for Butler, I’ll go ahead and lean under. Wisconsin MKE’s offensive output against a top 100 defense this year shows totals of 65, 59, 40, and 44. I bet this at 138 this morning, but it’s since dropped, so I posted it at the 135.5 it is currently. I think the Nevada/Fresno line is pretty spot on for both teams. Nevada hasn’t been playing well on the road at all, and Fresno can’t really be trusted laying anything over a possession. With the return of Shepp, Fresno’s a bit deeper and a bit better offensively as a whole. Manhattan is dead to me until Sommerfeldt gets back on the court as he was their best recruit to come in and probably their best player on the squad. There is too many questions concerning some injuries to key players, and some players not playing to even spend enough time on the Canisius/St. Peter’s game...
...I like Iona, especially if Jackson doesn’t play for Siena. I’m not really high on laying road chalk in this conference, so I’m gonna pass. Iona should have the better offense, and the game will more than likely be up-and-down, which benefits Siena’s style of play a little bit more. No interest in Niagara games until Mason is healthy. Fairfield’s held opponents in conference to 55 points both games and that was against slightly better offenses. Niagara just lost to 0-13 Maryland-Baltimore, and that loss came after a 45 point loss at Drexel. While Marist is 3-10 on the year, they are 2-0 in the conference with wins over Niagara and Canisius with both games coming at home. They go on the road now to Loyola Maryland, who comes in at 0-2 in the conference with losses to St. Peter’s and Fairfield. They have four wins on the year and three of their wins have come against Maryland-Baltimore CO (1-13), Dartmouth (4-8), Mount St. Mary’s (3-12), and those three victories came before December. Neither of these teams should probably be laying this many points in this conference to anyone. I’m not really sure I understand Loyola coach Patsos, and the way he works his lineups, but this helps. He rarely has thrown an offensive lineup out there that includes both Rudolph and Barney at the same time, and because of that, I’ll go with the group of three guards that have been playing together for a while. I’m a little worried about the inside presence of Loyola MD, but consistently in this conference over the past few years, the guards have determined the outcome of a majority of the games. These were my cellar’s coming into the year, and nothing has changed that, and I’m not sure they are 13 points apart. We’re getting a couple points of value here due to the Marist road record, but I think the confidence of winning the first two conference games should help. Marist returns everyone from a team with double revenge. I had these two teams pretty equal at the beginning of the year, and without Barney and Rudolph seeing minutes at the same time, I think there might be a slight advantage. Just have to hope the strength in the post comes back to average for Loyola. Units risked will count against +/- on record, but game will only count once on the W/L so I can track a few things correctly. I hesitated throwing just three units at the game, but 7/1 is flat out ridiculous. I could be way off here, but can’t pass it up. I circled Peay and Chattanooga back in November when I played the over 142 and lost. Both teams attempted 60+ shots and shot awful all-around percentages, including some horrid FT shooting. I’ve commented on Chattanooga enough this year with their ugly style of get out and go for this game to be a slow pace. The Austin Peay look-ahead to Murray State sort of scares me, but it might actually help this go over with some scoring from Chattanooga.
Bets
Marist +13.5 (2 Units)
Marist ML +760 (1 Unit)
Tenn Chattanooga/Austin Peay Over 146 (1 Unit)
Butler/Wisconsin MKE Under 135.5 (1 Unit)
DNP: Florida State/Auburn Under 131
GL
0
...I like Iona, especially if Jackson doesn’t play for Siena. I’m not really high on laying road chalk in this conference, so I’m gonna pass. Iona should have the better offense, and the game will more than likely be up-and-down, which benefits Siena’s style of play a little bit more. No interest in Niagara games until Mason is healthy. Fairfield’s held opponents in conference to 55 points both games and that was against slightly better offenses. Niagara just lost to 0-13 Maryland-Baltimore, and that loss came after a 45 point loss at Drexel. While Marist is 3-10 on the year, they are 2-0 in the conference with wins over Niagara and Canisius with both games coming at home. They go on the road now to Loyola Maryland, who comes in at 0-2 in the conference with losses to St. Peter’s and Fairfield. They have four wins on the year and three of their wins have come against Maryland-Baltimore CO (1-13), Dartmouth (4-8), Mount St. Mary’s (3-12), and those three victories came before December. Neither of these teams should probably be laying this many points in this conference to anyone. I’m not really sure I understand Loyola coach Patsos, and the way he works his lineups, but this helps. He rarely has thrown an offensive lineup out there that includes both Rudolph and Barney at the same time, and because of that, I’ll go with the group of three guards that have been playing together for a while. I’m a little worried about the inside presence of Loyola MD, but consistently in this conference over the past few years, the guards have determined the outcome of a majority of the games. These were my cellar’s coming into the year, and nothing has changed that, and I’m not sure they are 13 points apart. We’re getting a couple points of value here due to the Marist road record, but I think the confidence of winning the first two conference games should help. Marist returns everyone from a team with double revenge. I had these two teams pretty equal at the beginning of the year, and without Barney and Rudolph seeing minutes at the same time, I think there might be a slight advantage. Just have to hope the strength in the post comes back to average for Loyola. Units risked will count against +/- on record, but game will only count once on the W/L so I can track a few things correctly. I hesitated throwing just three units at the game, but 7/1 is flat out ridiculous. I could be way off here, but can’t pass it up. I circled Peay and Chattanooga back in November when I played the over 142 and lost. Both teams attempted 60+ shots and shot awful all-around percentages, including some horrid FT shooting. I’ve commented on Chattanooga enough this year with their ugly style of get out and go for this game to be a slow pace. The Austin Peay look-ahead to Murray State sort of scares me, but it might actually help this go over with some scoring from Chattanooga.
Great stuff buddy! I watched the Portland St v Idaho St game and you couldn't have been more right about the game. Watching ISU just let Portland St shoot 25 three point shots (almost all uncontested) and they hit 56%!!!!!
Idaho St was actualy really aggressive attacking the rim and did a good job rebounding, but turnovers and the fact they WATCH Portland St sinks 3 pointers all game was the difference. Good stuff and always appreciate the work you put into this!
Yah, I was pretty pissed I passed on this opportunity
0
Quote Originally Posted by cgonzo84:
Great stuff buddy! I watched the Portland St v Idaho St game and you couldn't have been more right about the game. Watching ISU just let Portland St shoot 25 three point shots (almost all uncontested) and they hit 56%!!!!!
Idaho St was actualy really aggressive attacking the rim and did a good job rebounding, but turnovers and the fact they WATCH Portland St sinks 3 pointers all game was the difference. Good stuff and always appreciate the work you put into this!
Yah, I was pretty pissed I passed on this opportunity
neil...like the conference picks...a liitle amazed you think florida should be in it...as well as pitt...i like pitt but what about syracuse? i think they can play anyone tough in that conference. just my thoughts.....
always follow you and your picks...nice write ups and good job.look forward to more....go redbirds/illini :)
ryno
Their zone is extremely tough, but I can't expect a team that young to compete for 100% of the year. Pitt's offense/defense is unreal in terms of what they can do and experience should help.
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Quote Originally Posted by ryno23:
neil...like the conference picks...a liitle amazed you think florida should be in it...as well as pitt...i like pitt but what about syracuse? i think they can play anyone tough in that conference. just my thoughts.....
always follow you and your picks...nice write ups and good job.look forward to more....go redbirds/illini :)
ryno
Their zone is extremely tough, but I can't expect a team that young to compete for 100% of the year. Pitt's offense/defense is unreal in terms of what they can do and experience should help.
nropp, thanks for your insight on Evansville. I followed you for the first time yesterday and it paid off....thank you.
looking at the lines since the pickem i noticed the lines have moved more in favor of south alabama. and they are also very good at home according to other post....do you consider line movements or just go with what you originally thought.
Thanks
line movements mean nothing to me.
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Quote Originally Posted by bsmooth729:
nropp, thanks for your insight on Evansville. I followed you for the first time yesterday and it paid off....thank you.
looking at the lines since the pickem i noticed the lines have moved more in favor of south alabama. and they are also very good at home according to other post....do you consider line movements or just go with what you originally thought.
hey neil tough loss tonight shake it off n look forward to tomorro. question for ya what sportsbook is good to use that has easy payout requests and easy to use?
If you google "sportsbook ratings" or "sportsbook reviews", you'll find what you need. There are many rated pretty high really. I don't really have a favorite or one spot for payout requests. I got quite a bit spread all over so that I can shop for best lines when necessary.
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Quote Originally Posted by miniman44444:
hey neil tough loss tonight shake it off n look forward to tomorro. question for ya what sportsbook is good to use that has easy payout requests and easy to use?
If you google "sportsbook ratings" or "sportsbook reviews", you'll find what you need. There are many rated pretty high really. I don't really have a favorite or one spot for payout requests. I got quite a bit spread all over so that I can shop for best lines when necessary.
Here's some info on Marist since they're in my backyard. No questions or expectation for you to alter your bet but since you provide such great info, figured it was the least I can do was to reciprocate.
Marist is coming off a 66-57 home win over Penn last Wednesday, a
game in which it welcomed back freshman center Adam Kemp, who had
fractured his hand last month. But redshirt freshman center Menelik
Watson sat out the game with a bruised hand.
After practice Sunday, Martin said Watson is "day to day."
"We don't want to rush anything," Martin said. "If he feels good, he'll play. If not, we'll wait a game."
Watson's
status becomes especially important against a Loyola team (4-8, 0-2)
that averages nearly four more rebounds per game than its opponents and
features forwards Shane Walker (6-foot-10) and Erik Etherly (6-7), who
both average more than seven rebounds per game.
0
Here's some info on Marist since they're in my backyard. No questions or expectation for you to alter your bet but since you provide such great info, figured it was the least I can do was to reciprocate.
Marist is coming off a 66-57 home win over Penn last Wednesday, a
game in which it welcomed back freshman center Adam Kemp, who had
fractured his hand last month. But redshirt freshman center Menelik
Watson sat out the game with a bruised hand.
After practice Sunday, Martin said Watson is "day to day."
"We don't want to rush anything," Martin said. "If he feels good, he'll play. If not, we'll wait a game."
Watson's
status becomes especially important against a Loyola team (4-8, 0-2)
that averages nearly four more rebounds per game than its opponents and
features forwards Shane Walker (6-foot-10) and Erik Etherly (6-7), who
both average more than seven rebounds per game.
If you google "sportsbook ratings" or "sportsbook reviews", you'll find what you need. There are many rated pretty high really. I don't really have a favorite or one spot for payout requests. I got quite a bit spread all over so that I can shop for best lines when necessary.
Hey NRopp!
Regarding sportsbook ratings online, I'd be very careful. 95% of all sportsbook ratings are based upon who pays the company putting out that report the most money. In fact, often a sportsbook puts out sportsbook ratings itself and just puts itself at the top of the list. Then sites that rate sportsbooks, i.e., DonBest, have business relationships with sportsbook so they promote those entities regardless of their quality. It's all based upon the almighty dollar!
0
Quote Originally Posted by nropp11:
If you google "sportsbook ratings" or "sportsbook reviews", you'll find what you need. There are many rated pretty high really. I don't really have a favorite or one spot for payout requests. I got quite a bit spread all over so that I can shop for best lines when necessary.
Hey NRopp!
Regarding sportsbook ratings online, I'd be very careful. 95% of all sportsbook ratings are based upon who pays the company putting out that report the most money. In fact, often a sportsbook puts out sportsbook ratings itself and just puts itself at the top of the list. Then sites that rate sportsbooks, i.e., DonBest, have business relationships with sportsbook so they promote those entities regardless of their quality. It's all based upon the almighty dollar!
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