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    All Forums | College Basketball

    January Hoops

    «First Previous 313233 ... 515253 Next Last»
    MENACE
    JeffLebowski
    MLSE
    beaverfan23
    Montezuma
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    «First Previous 313233 ... 515253 Next Last»
     
    MENACE
    MENACE
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    Posted: Jan. 11, 2011 - 9:37 PM ET #751

    Quote Originally Posted by STLCards2914:

    Michigan St. has an inside presence he just thinks he's a guard. Thats Green I speak of.  They are very overrated.  Don't shoot free throws well.  Don't rebound on the defensive end as well as they should.  Summers shot selection is ill-advised.  They just don't do much right.

     

    If 6'6", 230 is in inside presence then I guess they do. 

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    Quote Originally Posted by STLCards2914:

    Michigan St. has an inside presence he just thinks he's a guard. Thats Green I speak of.  They are very overrated.  Don't shoot free throws well.  Don't rebound on the defensive end as well as they should.  Summers shot selection is ill-advised.  They just don't do much right.

     

    If 6'6", 230 is in inside presence then I guess they do. 

     
    JeffLebowski
    JeffLebowski
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    Posted: Jan. 11, 2011 - 9:53 PM ET #752

    Middle in the NC St game? 2H # is 75
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    Middle in the NC St game? 2H # is 75
     
    MLSE
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    Posted: Jan. 11, 2011 - 9:56 PM ET #753

    Thinking the same thing. Got ourselves a 15 point middle here (130-145 win both, 129 &146 win one, push one).
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    Thinking the same thing. Got ourselves a 15 point middle here (130-145 win both, 129 &146 win one, push one).
     
    JeffLebowski
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    Posted: Jan. 11, 2011 - 9:58 PM ET #754

    I have 2 units on the under, not gonna mess with it too much, putting a .5 on the 2h over
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    I have 2 units on the under, not gonna mess with it too much, putting a .5 on the 2h over
     
    MLSE
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    Posted: Jan. 11, 2011 - 10:03 PM ET #755

    yeah same here. Gonna go one unit 2H over.

    nropp, quick question if you don't mind. Do you ever try to middle a game like this or do you think its not a viable long term investment?
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    yeah same here. Gonna go one unit 2H over.

    nropp, quick question if you don't mind. Do you ever try to middle a game like this or do you think its not a viable long term investment?
     
    beaverfan23
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    Posted: Jan. 11, 2011 - 10:55 PM ET #756

    Nice call on the middle.  We almost had a there.  CJ Leslie deserves some flowers for missing those free throws.
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    Nice call on the middle.  We almost had a there.  CJ Leslie deserves some flowers for missing those free throws.
     
    JeffLebowski
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    Posted: Jan. 11, 2011 - 10:56 PM ET #757

    Quote Originally Posted by MLSE:

    yeah same here. Gonna go one unit 2H over.

    nropp, quick question if you don't mind. Do you ever try to middle a game like this or do you think its not a viable long term investment?

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    Quote Originally Posted by MLSE:

    yeah same here. Gonna go one unit 2H over.

    nropp, quick question if you don't mind. Do you ever try to middle a game like this or do you think its not a viable long term investment?

     
    Montezuma
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    Posted: Jan. 11, 2011 - 11:28 PM ET #758

    Thanks nropp, 9-1 day largely because of your calls today!
    Keep up the great work

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    Thanks nropp, 9-1 day largely because of your calls today!
    Keep up the great work

     
    nropp11
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    Posted: Jan. 11, 2011 - 11:34 PM ET #759

    Quote Originally Posted by Sugarhouse:

    Why is BYU dead to you, if you don't mind me asking?

    Dead to me unless they're matched up against UNLV or San Diego State. Same goes for those teams I just mentioned.

    Men against Boys in this conference, and I see no value laying any amount of chalk with these three teams against the lessers in this conference.
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sugarhouse:

    Why is BYU dead to you, if you don't mind me asking?

    Dead to me unless they're matched up against UNLV or San Diego State. Same goes for those teams I just mentioned.

    Men against Boys in this conference, and I see no value laying any amount of chalk with these three teams against the lessers in this conference.
     
    nropp11
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    Posted: Jan. 11, 2011 - 11:44 PM ET #760

    Quote Originally Posted by MLSE:

    yeah same here. Gonna go one unit 2H over.

    nropp, quick question if you don't mind. Do you ever try to middle a game like this or do you think its not a viable long term investment?

    I use to a few years back in tournament situations in early morning tipoffs, but I couldn't draw the line of when to do it and when not to. If I was in a situation where I would be looking for value at every minute of the day, then I would invest. But, I've settled down, and don't have the time to invest in such opportunities that may arise. Something fun for me, don't want to get too carried away.

    GL
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    Quote Originally Posted by MLSE:

    yeah same here. Gonna go one unit 2H over.

    nropp, quick question if you don't mind. Do you ever try to middle a game like this or do you think its not a viable long term investment?

    I use to a few years back in tournament situations in early morning tipoffs, but I couldn't draw the line of when to do it and when not to. If I was in a situation where I would be looking for value at every minute of the day, then I would invest. But, I've settled down, and don't have the time to invest in such opportunities that may arise. Something fun for me, don't want to get too carried away.

    GL
     
    wmycw
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    Posted: Jan. 12, 2011 - 12:32 AM ET #761

    Thanks Nropp

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    Thanks Nropp

     
    winner2
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    Posted: Jan. 12, 2011 - 9:01 AM ET #762

    nice work
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    nice work
     
    thornridge1972
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    Posted: Jan. 12, 2011 - 10:08 AM ET #763

    neil,

    I'm looking at 5 or 6 games that excite me. Would truly relish your thoughts on these games.

    Mizzu--8, st.johns +3,gtown-3,tamu-7,unlv+4,vandy-9

     

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    neil,

    I'm looking at 5 or 6 games that excite me. Would truly relish your thoughts on these games.

    Mizzu--8, st.johns +3,gtown-3,tamu-7,unlv+4,vandy-9

     

     
    Pipe-Light
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    Posted: Jan. 12, 2011 - 11:54 AM ET #764

    Quote Originally Posted by Montezuma:

    Thanks nropp, 9-1 day largely because of your calls today!
    Keep up the great work

    MSU was a loser, the main pick and only side. So how did you get 9-1 out of his 3 picks. Or do you mean the other 2 were winners and you picked 7-0 on your own outside of his picks. just curious....??? If you want to share

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    Quote Originally Posted by Montezuma:

    Thanks nropp, 9-1 day largely because of your calls today!
    Keep up the great work

    MSU was a loser, the main pick and only side. So how did you get 9-1 out of his 3 picks. Or do you mean the other 2 were winners and you picked 7-0 on your own outside of his picks. just curious....??? If you want to share

     
    winoNV
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    Posted: Jan. 12, 2011 - 12:02 PM ET #765

    Lot of touts on Hofstra Neil...any thoughts?
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    Lot of touts on Hofstra Neil...any thoughts?
     
    wizkid30
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    Posted: Jan. 12, 2011 - 12:18 PM ET #766

    Looking 4ward to the picks Nropp

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    Looking 4ward to the picks Nropp

     
    nl5kb
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    Posted: Jan. 12, 2011 - 12:21 PM ET #767

    I believe he means 9-1 from the long writeups.  If you read his entire writeup each day you will see he has leans and lots of insight into games he is not playing.  Thats where I assume he gets 9-1.  I have also used some of his notes to help me cap games that nropp decided not to pull the trigger on.
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    I believe he means 9-1 from the long writeups.  If you read his entire writeup each day you will see he has leans and lots of insight into games he is not playing.  Thats where I assume he gets 9-1.  I have also used some of his notes to help me cap games that nropp decided not to pull the trigger on.
     
    zz19191919
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    Posted: Jan. 12, 2011 - 1:12 PM ET #768

    if he likes this card which i think he will... then i wouldnt be surprised to see 8-10 plays tonight with several 2-5 units. we are in conference play and the ones he follows the most all play tonight
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    if he likes this card which i think he will... then i wouldnt be surprised to see 8-10 plays tonight with several 2-5 units. we are in conference play and the ones he follows the most all play tonight
     
    nropp11
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    Posted: Jan. 12, 2011 - 1:19 PM ET #769

    1/11 Results: Close ballgames results in 2-1. Scary 2-1 at that.

    Sides: 42-28, +20.40
    Totals: 34-16, +18.30
    DNP: 55-45


    1/12 Notes: As I stated yesterday, not much value in the Big 10 games this year from my point of view, so passing on Ohio State/Michigan. It will be interesting to see the pace of that game though and how each team adapts. VCU and Bill & Mary are playing for the second time this year, the first being a 59-55 victory by VCU at home where VCU shot a lackluster 38%. This game still probably gets the same or near # of shots attempted which is in the 90 range, but VCU should shoot better against a pretty bad defense in Bill & Mary. Bill & Mary’s four wins this year have come against Gardner Webb, Mercer, Howard, and Shenandoh and they’ve lost six straight giving up 71, 85, 83, 61, 61, and 84 points in the process. This is the second straight roady for VCU but we should see a better offensive performance from them than the first game. Against bad defenses this year, they’ve put up 90, 59, 86, 78, and 82. And, of course, that 59 was the first meeting between these two. It’s scary laying that type of chalk on the road, in conference, but I see some value. I like Villanova, but not willing to lay more than a possession at that. Louisville is pretty overrated due to a weak schedule and having only played two away games against lesser competition. This will be their first road game against at top 100 team and Nova has the guards to beat the pressure. No interest in Hofstra having won two road games in the CAA and a home game against George Mason, and having Old Dominion on deck at home. It’s a possible flat spot, and a pretty big one at that with a high tempo team in Towson who is likely to get up a maximum # of shots. Northeastern has thoroughly disappointed me this year. They’re playing extremely slow, but they have the offensive talent to get out and run. You can’t play slow when you can’t defend in the half court and that’s what happening. They’re also going through the toughest stretch of any team in the conference playing my projected top four teams all in a row in VCU, Hofstra, ODU, and George Mason. This is the third game of that four game stretch. They have an extremely LARGE flat spot on Saturday when they travel to VCU to close out that four game stretch, which also begins a three game roady. I’ll root for a VCU loss tonight to hopefully catch some more value, but will still consider laying the chalk on Saturday (and it could be scary at double digit chalk). Buzz Peterson has done an excellent job at UNC Wilmington this year having taken a 9-22 team from a year ago to a winning record thus far and a .500 conference mark. The only two games they have lost in the conference have come to George Mason and VCU, so it’s not a black eye at this point and they have taken care of business against the teams they were supposed to beat. This is a matchup of weakness overcoming strength. Delaware plays a sit back baseline defense in which they rarely look to get out of position or attempt a steal at the risk of giving up an open shot, while UNC Wilmington plays a zone largely due in part to lack of shooters in the conference. This is the kind of matchup Peterson thrives on. His teams turn the ball over at an alarming rate, but I don’t have to worry about that tonight, and Delaware has little to no outside shooting, so I don’t have to worry about that either...
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    1/11 Results: Close ballgames results in 2-1. Scary 2-1 at that.

    Sides: 42-28, +20.40
    Totals: 34-16, +18.30
    DNP: 55-45


    1/12 Notes: As I stated yesterday, not much value in the Big 10 games this year from my point of view, so passing on Ohio State/Michigan. It will be interesting to see the pace of that game though and how each team adapts. VCU and Bill & Mary are playing for the second time this year, the first being a 59-55 victory by VCU at home where VCU shot a lackluster 38%. This game still probably gets the same or near # of shots attempted which is in the 90 range, but VCU should shoot better against a pretty bad defense in Bill & Mary. Bill & Mary’s four wins this year have come against Gardner Webb, Mercer, Howard, and Shenandoh and they’ve lost six straight giving up 71, 85, 83, 61, 61, and 84 points in the process. This is the second straight roady for VCU but we should see a better offensive performance from them than the first game. Against bad defenses this year, they’ve put up 90, 59, 86, 78, and 82. And, of course, that 59 was the first meeting between these two. It’s scary laying that type of chalk on the road, in conference, but I see some value. I like Villanova, but not willing to lay more than a possession at that. Louisville is pretty overrated due to a weak schedule and having only played two away games against lesser competition. This will be their first road game against at top 100 team and Nova has the guards to beat the pressure. No interest in Hofstra having won two road games in the CAA and a home game against George Mason, and having Old Dominion on deck at home. It’s a possible flat spot, and a pretty big one at that with a high tempo team in Towson who is likely to get up a maximum # of shots. Northeastern has thoroughly disappointed me this year. They’re playing extremely slow, but they have the offensive talent to get out and run. You can’t play slow when you can’t defend in the half court and that’s what happening. They’re also going through the toughest stretch of any team in the conference playing my projected top four teams all in a row in VCU, Hofstra, ODU, and George Mason. This is the third game of that four game stretch. They have an extremely LARGE flat spot on Saturday when they travel to VCU to close out that four game stretch, which also begins a three game roady. I’ll root for a VCU loss tonight to hopefully catch some more value, but will still consider laying the chalk on Saturday (and it could be scary at double digit chalk). Buzz Peterson has done an excellent job at UNC Wilmington this year having taken a 9-22 team from a year ago to a winning record thus far and a .500 conference mark. The only two games they have lost in the conference have come to George Mason and VCU, so it’s not a black eye at this point and they have taken care of business against the teams they were supposed to beat. This is a matchup of weakness overcoming strength. Delaware plays a sit back baseline defense in which they rarely look to get out of position or attempt a steal at the risk of giving up an open shot, while UNC Wilmington plays a zone largely due in part to lack of shooters in the conference. This is the kind of matchup Peterson thrives on. His teams turn the ball over at an alarming rate, but I don’t have to worry about that tonight, and Delaware has little to no outside shooting, so I don’t have to worry about that either...
     
    nropp11
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    Posted: Jan. 12, 2011 - 1:20 PM ET #770

    ...I’ve commented on UNC Wilmington and Coach Peterson before. This offense was horrendous last year and they continued to turn the ball over at will and it was expected that they would get much better at it. This guy completely transformed offenses at Coastal Carolina and Appalachian State before taking on this task. At times this year, Delaware has gone to a two guard set in their rotation due to a lack of scoring, and both guards are under six feet tall. Two best players on the court are less than six feet tall in Tomko and Carter, and they’re the two best scorers as well. Problem is the defensive matchups, Buzz Peterson has to be licking his chops to play against this style of a team. Pitt and Georgetown should be a really good game to watch. No value from a betting perspective on the top two teams in the conference at less than a possession. Syracuse and St. John’s is a pretty good matchup. Numbers point to the under, but my gut says Lavin gets out and runs as much as he can to avoid settling his offense down and going with the zone. That’s about as far as I got on that game. Syracuse wants to slow you down with their zone, and Lavin’s done about the exact opposite of what every team wants to do thus far this season. This is only Syracuse’s second true roady, and the first one was a dismal performance at Seton Hall. Lean Nebraska, not really sure why, another gut feel with too many games on the card to break it down any further. Me and Toledo aren’t going to see each other all year. Both Ohio and Akron are two teams on paper that appear to be going in different directions, but I’ll take a stab at Ohio. This has been a pretty good rivalry setting in recent years in the MAC East and they’ve taken part in some close ballgames. Akron (my #3) is coming off a pretty big home win against Kent State (my #2), and now has to play my #1 in Ohio in the conference. Ohio has played two straight overtime ballgames, so I’m a bit hesitant but I can’t pass up the value at over a single possession. Ohio has more talent than any team in the MAC, but they haven’t played like it. The sophomore guard Cooper can not only score, but he can pass with the best of them, and he is regarded as one of the better defenders in the conference. They have two senior forwards who are defense first mentalities, but can score when looked upon. At the wing positions, they bring out two long lengthy kids who are asked to defend and slash on offense when need be. I like the makeup, and they have some great freshman that came in for much needed depth which will probably play an important part tonight coming off some marathon OT games and going against a team and coach who likes to play ten players on a consistent basis. Coming in, the focal point of Akron would be in the paint with McNight and Marshall down low. McNight has played decently, but not enough to be the force that he was supposed to be coming in. The guards are lengthy, but do not really pose any type of threat. I really want to play Ohio as I think they’re the better team, but the two overtime games are going to keep me off, along with the fact that Akron has revenge on being knocked off in the conference tournament final last year. Aside from the two overtime games last year, both of these teams have played close defensive battles, and the parts are in place to continue that trend. Both coaches are defense-minded, and I point to the under. The only thing I am concerned with is Dembrot playing the ten players he usually does and getting out and running a bit more to try and wear down Ohio coming off the marathon games, but if he does that then there is a good chance that Ohio takes advantage with it’s offense. Saint Louis and Majerus continue to get no respect, but they have dropped five in a row and this is the end of a roady before they return home. They just gave away a game at Temple, so I’d imagine it’d be tough to get up for this game...
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    ...I’ve commented on UNC Wilmington and Coach Peterson before. This offense was horrendous last year and they continued to turn the ball over at will and it was expected that they would get much better at it. This guy completely transformed offenses at Coastal Carolina and Appalachian State before taking on this task. At times this year, Delaware has gone to a two guard set in their rotation due to a lack of scoring, and both guards are under six feet tall. Two best players on the court are less than six feet tall in Tomko and Carter, and they’re the two best scorers as well. Problem is the defensive matchups, Buzz Peterson has to be licking his chops to play against this style of a team. Pitt and Georgetown should be a really good game to watch. No value from a betting perspective on the top two teams in the conference at less than a possession. Syracuse and St. John’s is a pretty good matchup. Numbers point to the under, but my gut says Lavin gets out and runs as much as he can to avoid settling his offense down and going with the zone. That’s about as far as I got on that game. Syracuse wants to slow you down with their zone, and Lavin’s done about the exact opposite of what every team wants to do thus far this season. This is only Syracuse’s second true roady, and the first one was a dismal performance at Seton Hall. Lean Nebraska, not really sure why, another gut feel with too many games on the card to break it down any further. Me and Toledo aren’t going to see each other all year. Both Ohio and Akron are two teams on paper that appear to be going in different directions, but I’ll take a stab at Ohio. This has been a pretty good rivalry setting in recent years in the MAC East and they’ve taken part in some close ballgames. Akron (my #3) is coming off a pretty big home win against Kent State (my #2), and now has to play my #1 in Ohio in the conference. Ohio has played two straight overtime ballgames, so I’m a bit hesitant but I can’t pass up the value at over a single possession. Ohio has more talent than any team in the MAC, but they haven’t played like it. The sophomore guard Cooper can not only score, but he can pass with the best of them, and he is regarded as one of the better defenders in the conference. They have two senior forwards who are defense first mentalities, but can score when looked upon. At the wing positions, they bring out two long lengthy kids who are asked to defend and slash on offense when need be. I like the makeup, and they have some great freshman that came in for much needed depth which will probably play an important part tonight coming off some marathon OT games and going against a team and coach who likes to play ten players on a consistent basis. Coming in, the focal point of Akron would be in the paint with McNight and Marshall down low. McNight has played decently, but not enough to be the force that he was supposed to be coming in. The guards are lengthy, but do not really pose any type of threat. I really want to play Ohio as I think they’re the better team, but the two overtime games are going to keep me off, along with the fact that Akron has revenge on being knocked off in the conference tournament final last year. Aside from the two overtime games last year, both of these teams have played close defensive battles, and the parts are in place to continue that trend. Both coaches are defense-minded, and I point to the under. The only thing I am concerned with is Dembrot playing the ten players he usually does and getting out and running a bit more to try and wear down Ohio coming off the marathon games, but if he does that then there is a good chance that Ohio takes advantage with it’s offense. Saint Louis and Majerus continue to get no respect, but they have dropped five in a row and this is the end of a roady before they return home. They just gave away a game at Temple, so I’d imagine it’d be tough to get up for this game...
     
    nropp11
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    Posted: Jan. 12, 2011 - 1:21 PM ET #771

    ...Duquesne welcomes Temple on Saturday, so no value in the chalk. South Florida has lost six straight, but they’ve been playing decent basketball and at least competing. You’d just have to wonder when all the wheels fall off the bus and they flat out collapse, which is possible with this offense. Could that be tonight? Does Umass carry the confidence from beating Dayton over to today, or do they fall flat on their back? I couldn’t decipher. Which leads me to my next question, does Dayton rebound from a horrible shooting performance? Beats me. Pretty big game with Western Michigan and Ball State as I project both of those teams to contend for the MAC West title. Both teams are the only squads to probably have winning records at the end of the year from this half of the conference, and both teams have won three straight. Both teams have decent defenses, and Ball State is coming off three really fast paced teams. With the defensive intensity and the fact that the conference title is probably on the line, Ball State isn’t going to be up and down here. This game should be extremely slow. In their home games this year, the opponent has scored 46, 60, 43, 68, and 46 and WMU’s offense on the road has been disgusting. I point to the over in the Wyoming/TCU game. TCU plays a pretty fast tempo that has taken a hit lately coming off games where they were completely overmatched in San Diego State and UNLV, so they’ll be more than happy to get out and go here against a Wyoming team that doesn’t necessarily like to run, but they have the qualities in a team that will run if necessary. Wyoming doesn’t really pose an outside threat, but they do have a bunch of slashers and scorers that like to finish in or near the bucket and that is the key here to pointing to the over. TCU has no interior presence on the inside to stop this from occurring and Wyoming is one of the best teams at getting to the foul line which puts added value on this pointing to the over. Their last six games they have attempted 22, 20, 32, 35, and 31 foul shots. Many clock stoppages, and added opportunities for TCU to get out and go, which is what they like to do. TCU’s offense is generated through Ronnie Moss who controls the offense and he’ll have many opportunities to get out and run here. On the wing, they have Thorns who is capable of scoring as I believe he transferred in from Virginia Tech (primarily b/c he could not defend). I’m not really expecting a light it up performance from outside, which is usually needed to push a total to the over, but there should be ample opportunities for points tonight. I’m not sure how Illinois State scores on Northern Iowa’s defense. With that said, I can’t trust Northern Iowa’s offense, although I would peg the value on that side. First team to 30 wins and you couldn’t pay me to watch this game. I like Bradley, but I’m not even going to break it down or look at it and just make it a lean. Bradley has revenge from the earlier meeting and they out-played them for all but a 5 minute stretch in the first half where Indiana State put a run together. Indiana State’s on the road for a second straight roady and they haven’t played an offense that can put this team away yet. They’re 4-1 in the conference and I had them projected in the cellar. Bradley showed some nice fight the other night in coming back from a 21 point deficit at half, so the team hasn’t given up yet. If Indiana State can win tonight, it still doesn’t change my impression. They draw Creighton, Missouri State, Wichita State, revenge game with Evansville, and then play Creighton, Missouri State, and Wichita State again all in a row for the second time in a season? Borderline insane and impossible. Wichita State/Creighton should be a pretty good ballgame. Southern Illinois is probably going to have a tough time scoring at Missouri State. Drake and Evansville are two fairly decent young and up and coming squads in the Valley. I think we get some good offense in this game, but it’s too risky. Memphis goes into a slow pace team which is not the style they want to play...
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    ...Duquesne welcomes Temple on Saturday, so no value in the chalk. South Florida has lost six straight, but they’ve been playing decent basketball and at least competing. You’d just have to wonder when all the wheels fall off the bus and they flat out collapse, which is possible with this offense. Could that be tonight? Does Umass carry the confidence from beating Dayton over to today, or do they fall flat on their back? I couldn’t decipher. Which leads me to my next question, does Dayton rebound from a horrible shooting performance? Beats me. Pretty big game with Western Michigan and Ball State as I project both of those teams to contend for the MAC West title. Both teams are the only squads to probably have winning records at the end of the year from this half of the conference, and both teams have won three straight. Both teams have decent defenses, and Ball State is coming off three really fast paced teams. With the defensive intensity and the fact that the conference title is probably on the line, Ball State isn’t going to be up and down here. This game should be extremely slow. In their home games this year, the opponent has scored 46, 60, 43, 68, and 46 and WMU’s offense on the road has been disgusting. I point to the over in the Wyoming/TCU game. TCU plays a pretty fast tempo that has taken a hit lately coming off games where they were completely overmatched in San Diego State and UNLV, so they’ll be more than happy to get out and go here against a Wyoming team that doesn’t necessarily like to run, but they have the qualities in a team that will run if necessary. Wyoming doesn’t really pose an outside threat, but they do have a bunch of slashers and scorers that like to finish in or near the bucket and that is the key here to pointing to the over. TCU has no interior presence on the inside to stop this from occurring and Wyoming is one of the best teams at getting to the foul line which puts added value on this pointing to the over. Their last six games they have attempted 22, 20, 32, 35, and 31 foul shots. Many clock stoppages, and added opportunities for TCU to get out and go, which is what they like to do. TCU’s offense is generated through Ronnie Moss who controls the offense and he’ll have many opportunities to get out and run here. On the wing, they have Thorns who is capable of scoring as I believe he transferred in from Virginia Tech (primarily b/c he could not defend). I’m not really expecting a light it up performance from outside, which is usually needed to push a total to the over, but there should be ample opportunities for points tonight. I’m not sure how Illinois State scores on Northern Iowa’s defense. With that said, I can’t trust Northern Iowa’s offense, although I would peg the value on that side. First team to 30 wins and you couldn’t pay me to watch this game. I like Bradley, but I’m not even going to break it down or look at it and just make it a lean. Bradley has revenge from the earlier meeting and they out-played them for all but a 5 minute stretch in the first half where Indiana State put a run together. Indiana State’s on the road for a second straight roady and they haven’t played an offense that can put this team away yet. They’re 4-1 in the conference and I had them projected in the cellar. Bradley showed some nice fight the other night in coming back from a 21 point deficit at half, so the team hasn’t given up yet. If Indiana State can win tonight, it still doesn’t change my impression. They draw Creighton, Missouri State, Wichita State, revenge game with Evansville, and then play Creighton, Missouri State, and Wichita State again all in a row for the second time in a season? Borderline insane and impossible. Wichita State/Creighton should be a pretty good ballgame. Southern Illinois is probably going to have a tough time scoring at Missouri State. Drake and Evansville are two fairly decent young and up and coming squads in the Valley. I think we get some good offense in this game, but it’s too risky. Memphis goes into a slow pace team which is not the style they want to play...
     
    nropp11
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    Posted: Jan. 12, 2011 - 1:22 PM ET #772

    ...They could struggle a bit to get going, but in the end, the SMU defense is flat out awful. I like Southern Miss, but I hate the fact they’re on the road for a second straight game where game #1 was a 30 point loss. Then again, Rice’s defense is no where near the caliber of Marshall’s. Oklahoma State on the road is a pretty good spot to avoid. A team not named Duke is laying double digit road chalk in the ACC, I thought that to be quite odd. Laying out the numbers, Duke could be laying up to 25 or 26 points here late January? I lean under in the Maryland/WF game but it’s too scary to invest. Both teams play about as fast as you can, but WF should struggle against the Maryland defense, and pretty big sandwich game for Maryland (Duke, a nobody, Nova). Maryland’s two away games come in at 135 and 101. Ed Conroy’s working wonders at Tulane, but it’s only a matter of time having seen that they have played the easiest strength of schedule in the country thus far. UTEP’s coming off an overtime heartbreaker at UAB where three starters played 50+ minutes. UTEP (my #2), and Tulane (my #11). I’m either missing out on a fantastic chance on UTEP here, or I completely undervalued Tulane with the new coach. No interest in SEC games Arky/LSU, Georgia/Vandy. Northwestern and Iowa should put up some points, not worth risking a 140 in the Big Ten though. Kansas and Iowa State are two fantastic DEFENSES. Depaul has only won two games against top 50 defenses in the past two years and they come by 1 and 2 points, respectively. Duke’s lone away game was UNC Greensboro. They just struggled with Maryland’s top ten defense in a home game, why wouldn’t they struggle with another top 10 defense on the road? Pretty big game for Florida State, I lean that way, but not worth it. I think it’s realistically one of the very few spots Duke has a chance at walking out with a Loss on the season. I really want to play San Diego State, but I’d like a shorter #. Their length is just too much I think. UNLV posted shooting percentages of 32, 35, and 40% in the three meetings last year. I’m just going to enjoy watching this one, not worth the risk. San Diego State has played an easy schedule, and b/c of that, they’re not getting the respect they deserve. Could see a chip on their shoulder tonight. No interest in UC Davis without Payne suited up. Furman’s still scoring points aside from that tournament where they met a few slower paced tough defensive ballclubs. Davidson welcomes Wofford into town next, so possible slight letdown spot, but not much due to Furman’s surprise of being good this year. I can’t really see Davidson slowing it down, but after three losses, it might be the case. Furman really doesn’t like to push the tempo all that much, but they can shoot the ball as good as any team in the conference. I point over, but not touching it. Almost point under with Davidson’s losing streak.
    Looking at UTEP/Tulane, Bradley/Indiana State, Depaul/Seton Hall for the remainder of the day…will post if I play.

    Bets
    Wyoming/TCU Over 135 (3 Units)
    UNC Wilmington PK (2 Units)
    Ohio/Akron Under 142.5 (1 Unit)

    DNP: Ohio +5.5, Bradley +1.5, Western Michigan/Ball State Under 131

    GL
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    ...They could struggle a bit to get going, but in the end, the SMU defense is flat out awful. I like Southern Miss, but I hate the fact they’re on the road for a second straight game where game #1 was a 30 point loss. Then again, Rice’s defense is no where near the caliber of Marshall’s. Oklahoma State on the road is a pretty good spot to avoid. A team not named Duke is laying double digit road chalk in the ACC, I thought that to be quite odd. Laying out the numbers, Duke could be laying up to 25 or 26 points here late January? I lean under in the Maryland/WF game but it’s too scary to invest. Both teams play about as fast as you can, but WF should struggle against the Maryland defense, and pretty big sandwich game for Maryland (Duke, a nobody, Nova). Maryland’s two away games come in at 135 and 101. Ed Conroy’s working wonders at Tulane, but it’s only a matter of time having seen that they have played the easiest strength of schedule in the country thus far. UTEP’s coming off an overtime heartbreaker at UAB where three starters played 50+ minutes. UTEP (my #2), and Tulane (my #11). I’m either missing out on a fantastic chance on UTEP here, or I completely undervalued Tulane with the new coach. No interest in SEC games Arky/LSU, Georgia/Vandy. Northwestern and Iowa should put up some points, not worth risking a 140 in the Big Ten though. Kansas and Iowa State are two fantastic DEFENSES. Depaul has only won two games against top 50 defenses in the past two years and they come by 1 and 2 points, respectively. Duke’s lone away game was UNC Greensboro. They just struggled with Maryland’s top ten defense in a home game, why wouldn’t they struggle with another top 10 defense on the road? Pretty big game for Florida State, I lean that way, but not worth it. I think it’s realistically one of the very few spots Duke has a chance at walking out with a Loss on the season. I really want to play San Diego State, but I’d like a shorter #. Their length is just too much I think. UNLV posted shooting percentages of 32, 35, and 40% in the three meetings last year. I’m just going to enjoy watching this one, not worth the risk. San Diego State has played an easy schedule, and b/c of that, they’re not getting the respect they deserve. Could see a chip on their shoulder tonight. No interest in UC Davis without Payne suited up. Furman’s still scoring points aside from that tournament where they met a few slower paced tough defensive ballclubs. Davidson welcomes Wofford into town next, so possible slight letdown spot, but not much due to Furman’s surprise of being good this year. I can’t really see Davidson slowing it down, but after three losses, it might be the case. Furman really doesn’t like to push the tempo all that much, but they can shoot the ball as good as any team in the conference. I point over, but not touching it. Almost point under with Davidson’s losing streak.
    Looking at UTEP/Tulane, Bradley/Indiana State, Depaul/Seton Hall for the remainder of the day…will post if I play.

    Bets
    Wyoming/TCU Over 135 (3 Units)
    UNC Wilmington PK (2 Units)
    Ohio/Akron Under 142.5 (1 Unit)

    DNP: Ohio +5.5, Bradley +1.5, Western Michigan/Ball State Under 131

    GL
     
    abejr
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    Posted: Jan. 12, 2011 - 1:30 PM ET #773

    Nropp, are you snowed in? That write up required a lot of study. Thanks, good luck tonight

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    Nropp, are you snowed in? That write up required a lot of study. Thanks, good luck tonight

     
    CharmCityKing
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    Posted: Jan. 12, 2011 - 1:30 PM ET #774

    BOL tonight Neil
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    BOL tonight Neil
     
     
    JackSmack
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    Posted: Jan. 12, 2011 - 1:30 PM ET #775

    How long has Mcnight been at Akron like 10 years? lol

     

    You really think G-Town is #2 in the big east. I understand your rankings are done before the season , but do you still feel Georgetown is #2 in the Big East? I just dont feel that way because they contuiniuosly underperform imo.

     

    Great stuff as always, got a little extra treat today and your lookaheads to sat ect really stick with me when it gets to saturday. Awesome stuff.

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    How long has Mcnight been at Akron like 10 years? lol

     

    You really think G-Town is #2 in the big east. I understand your rankings are done before the season , but do you still feel Georgetown is #2 in the Big East? I just dont feel that way because they contuiniuosly underperform imo.

     

    Great stuff as always, got a little extra treat today and your lookaheads to sat ect really stick with me when it gets to saturday. Awesome stuff.

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