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    All Forums | College Basketball

    If there is one thing I know....FSU/Duke

    Dredsox10
    Megamaniak
    thesox031185
    TRAIN69
    jennado
    ...
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    Posts: 14
     
    Dredsox10
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    Posted: Mar. 3, 2009 - 1:39 PM ET #1

    If there is one thing that I know, it's to be careful of the "popular underdogs". The general public loves favorites so when you see an overwhelming majority on an underdog, you should tread lightly. The instance I am speaking of today is Florida State. I took a look at the line and immediately thought (as did most people) 12 seems like way too many. Now that I see plenty of people jumping on FSU, ill be taking the Dukies tonight, as much as it pains me to do so.
    Reply
    To remove first post, remove entire topic.
    If there is one thing that I know, it's to be careful of the "popular underdogs". The general public loves favorites so when you see an overwhelming majority on an underdog, you should tread lightly. The instance I am speaking of today is Florida State. I took a look at the line and immediately thought (as did most people) 12 seems like way too many. Now that I see plenty of people jumping on FSU, ill be taking the Dukies tonight, as much as it pains me to do so.
     
    Megamaniak
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    Posted: Mar. 3, 2009 - 1:41 PM ET #2

    It's a no-play before I lay the DD's with the Dukies.
    Reply
    It's a no-play before I lay the DD's with the Dukies.
     
    thesox031185
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    Posted: Mar. 3, 2009 - 2:27 PM ET #3

    Freshman PG vs Toney Douglas...

    ill take the noles
    Reply
    Freshman PG vs Toney Douglas...

    ill take the noles
     
    TRAIN69
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    Posted: Mar. 3, 2009 - 3:10 PM ET #4

    if vegas does trap lines, they are capable of reverse traps
    Reply
    if vegas does trap lines, they are capable of reverse traps
     
    jennado
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    Posted: Mar. 3, 2009 - 3:17 PM ET #5

    The line was to be expected.  When these teams played earlier this year at FSU, Duke was favored by 9.5. (Duke won by 8)  The scary part for me is that Vegas only gave the Dukies 2.5pts for HC advantage as compared to the line they set in Tallahassee about 7 weeks ago. 
    Reply
    The line was to be expected.  When these teams played earlier this year at FSU, Duke was favored by 9.5. (Duke won by 8)  The scary part for me is that Vegas only gave the Dukies 2.5pts for HC advantage as compared to the line they set in Tallahassee about 7 weeks ago. 
     
    CatchNRun
    CatchNRun
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    Posted: Mar. 3, 2009 - 3:33 PM ET #6

    lets look at it this way...what does a win for FSU 2nite do for them in terms of the big dance?
    Reply
    lets look at it this way...what does a win for FSU 2nite do for them in terms of the big dance?
     
    thesox031185
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    Posted: Mar. 3, 2009 - 3:55 PM ET #7

    they are in the big dance, gets them up to a 3 seed with a win
    Reply
    they are in the big dance, gets them up to a 3 seed with a win
     
    UNDERdogin
    UNDERdogin
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    Posted: Mar. 3, 2009 - 5:17 PM ET #8

    I agree with your general thought,
    tracked it for awhile and just like everything else, it is no sure fire way to figure out a game, it's just one part in the whole
     
    Reply
    I agree with your general thought,
    tracked it for awhile and just like everything else, it is no sure fire way to figure out a game, it's just one part in the whole
     
     
    UNDERdogin
    UNDERdogin
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    Posted: Mar. 3, 2009 - 5:19 PM ET #9

    CatchNRun 
     
    that avatar is hypnotizing
    Reply
    CatchNRun 
     
    that avatar is hypnotizing
     
    bracks
    bracks
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    Posted: Mar. 3, 2009 - 5:24 PM ET #10

    This yr popular dogs on Puke games:
     
    BC= win
    Clemson= win
    Mia (pre NC game) =win
    Fla = ?
     
    I don't know, I pretty much had them pegged. I hate them, and more important, hate having to watch them. But, sometimes, you know when to play against them. Like a defensive team, that is the game before NC. I save said this stat all day, they are 3-4 SU the past 4 yr pre NC games. So, if they win by 20, everyone can tell me they were right and now they are 4-4 SU and 3-5 ATS, but I like the match up and the place of the game in the schedule.
     
    Also, Smith being out has a great reason for their to be extra $ on FSU. GL
    Reply
    This yr popular dogs on Puke games:
     
    BC= win
    Clemson= win
    Mia (pre NC game) =win
    Fla = ?
     
    I don't know, I pretty much had them pegged. I hate them, and more important, hate having to watch them. But, sometimes, you know when to play against them. Like a defensive team, that is the game before NC. I save said this stat all day, they are 3-4 SU the past 4 yr pre NC games. So, if they win by 20, everyone can tell me they were right and now they are 4-4 SU and 3-5 ATS, but I like the match up and the place of the game in the schedule.
     
    Also, Smith being out has a great reason for their to be extra $ on FSU. GL
     
    Dredsox10
    Dredsox10
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    Posted: Mar. 3, 2009 - 5:47 PM ET #11

    Compelling arguments. By no means am i declaring Duke a "lock" and of course FSU could come in tonight and keep it close if not win, thats why they play the games. 

    For one, i dont buy the "look-ahead" spot tonight mainly because it's Coach K's team and i cant see him allowing his players to fall victim of that. Secondly, it's senior night. Third, this is an important game for Duke in the sense of ACC/NCAA tourney seeding. This game could get away from FSU early if Douglas is not on his game. With all this being said, good luck to everyone tonight.
    Reply
    Compelling arguments. By no means am i declaring Duke a "lock" and of course FSU could come in tonight and keep it close if not win, thats why they play the games. 

    For one, i dont buy the "look-ahead" spot tonight mainly because it's Coach K's team and i cant see him allowing his players to fall victim of that. Secondly, it's senior night. Third, this is an important game for Duke in the sense of ACC/NCAA tourney seeding. This game could get away from FSU early if Douglas is not on his game. With all this being said, good luck to everyone tonight.
     
    GWarner27
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    Posted: Mar. 3, 2009 - 6:54 PM ET #12

    agree with you on this one d-red.

    Dr. Bracks you're also forgetting Maryland just last week.

    ...instead of taking Duke i'm thinking they cover and the UNDER hits so i'll be looking hard at u139
    Reply
    agree with you on this one d-red.

    Dr. Bracks you're also forgetting Maryland just last week.

    ...instead of taking Duke i'm thinking they cover and the UNDER hits so i'll be looking hard at u139
     
    marksb79
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    Posted: Mar. 3, 2009 - 6:58 PM ET #13

    Reply
     
     
    raptors
    raptors
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    Posted: Mar. 3, 2009 - 7:05 PM ET #14

    Duke is not a public bet people. FSU is being hammered by the public.
    Reply
    Duke is not a public bet people. FSU is being hammered by the public.
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