1* 338-304
2* 29-31
3* 7-8
4* 1-1
5* 1-1
1* St. Johns Johnnies +6.5
Call me crazy, but I think the Johnnies win this game. Duke is usually the team that sets the tone physically against their opponent, but that won't be the case this evening. Dukes guards are all underclassmen. Hell the whole team aside from Maliq Brown is a underclassmen, but young guards can be a real problem in big time games vs big time pressure like the Johnnies bring. They have experience everywhere you turn, and especially on the sideline.
1* UCONN Huskies -1.5
Sparty usually is going to win the rebound war, but tonight I don't think they do. Tarris Reed has been a man on a mission. He has 40 rebounds through two tournament games. Alex Karaban is a match up problem for Izzo too. Do they guard him with Carr and be undersized, or Scott, and risk the youngster being taken to the woodshed by the two time national champion? I like the guards of UCONN better here too. Demary will be tasked with keeping Fears out of the lane, where he is so good at finding teammates from, and I think he can do it. Lastly, aside from Reed, late in a close game, you can send anyone else to the line and have no fear.
1* Iowa St Cyclones -3.5
If you've been following all year, you know how much I love this Cyclones team. Sounds like Jefferson is going to give it a go, I'm not sure in what capacity, but again, I don't think it matters much. Ament is going to have size on him, whether its Momcilovic, Jefferson, or Buchanan. If you can stop him, you can stop the Vols. Lipsey matches up perfectly with Gillespie too. Rick Barnes is well known for not being able to win big games, and hasn't taken Tennessee to an Elite Eight. He's outcoached, but his team is also out matched.
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