This is where I started in modeling and working with analytics and statistics in 2009 or 2010, that time frame.
It was my goal to develop a model that could hit 50% Winners on plus money plays. I've put more work, time and effort into this, than everything else combined.
I've tried numerous times and have come close to success in the past.
I consider this the safest thing I do, with the least amount of risk.
I want to direct you to 4 different Win percentages.
1. 40% Winners. This is what I call the floor. I've never finished any runs under this number. As long as u stay at or above this number, any loss would be minimal. With a floor this high, it makes for a great investment. Low risk is what we all should look for
2. 42% Winners. This is the breakeven point. With an average payback on winners of (+138), u will break even right here.
3. 46% Winners. This is my goal, my target, my projected win percentage. U will do very nice at this win rate with our avg payback on Winners.
4. 50% Winners. This is the pie in the sky number. A personal ATM awaits you at this mark.
In the past I've managed to stay around 45% Winners over several hundred plays.
I invite everyone to follow along with my Power Numbers model. Win or lose, ill be posting in this thread for the remainder of 2023.
This is completely different from The Grand Challenge but I see no reason they cannot be used side by side.
Good luck guys
Falcon Sports
1
This is where I started in modeling and working with analytics and statistics in 2009 or 2010, that time frame.
It was my goal to develop a model that could hit 50% Winners on plus money plays. I've put more work, time and effort into this, than everything else combined.
I've tried numerous times and have come close to success in the past.
I consider this the safest thing I do, with the least amount of risk.
I want to direct you to 4 different Win percentages.
1. 40% Winners. This is what I call the floor. I've never finished any runs under this number. As long as u stay at or above this number, any loss would be minimal. With a floor this high, it makes for a great investment. Low risk is what we all should look for
2. 42% Winners. This is the breakeven point. With an average payback on winners of (+138), u will break even right here.
3. 46% Winners. This is my goal, my target, my projected win percentage. U will do very nice at this win rate with our avg payback on Winners.
4. 50% Winners. This is the pie in the sky number. A personal ATM awaits you at this mark.
In the past I've managed to stay around 45% Winners over several hundred plays.
I invite everyone to follow along with my Power Numbers model. Win or lose, ill be posting in this thread for the remainder of 2023.
This is completely different from The Grand Challenge but I see no reason they cannot be used side by side.
So if these two lose, you just start a new thread for fresh start? The 2 loses from yesterday they don't count on this run? You are becoming a real joke and covers should be on your arse,,, you post records and percents but they are becoming fake
3
So if these two lose, you just start a new thread for fresh start? The 2 loses from yesterday they don't count on this run? You are becoming a real joke and covers should be on your arse,,, you post records and percents but they are becoming fake
Its always nice to win the first one in anything you do.
I had Denver power rated higher than the Chargers, its that simple. Not to mention the (+140) payback that i received.
I have the Montreal /Nashville game as a coin flip in my ratings. However if I have a 50% chance to win and you are paying me (+140) in this situation, ill flip you all day long.
If your following this thread, u better embrace losing. My goal is to win 46% of the time. That means losing 54% of the time.
Also plsys in this thread will be released later in the day. Normally it should be 2 hours before the first selection starts. I believe in the old adage to play the underdogs later.
I told you boys that u might like this one. Hell anyone that likes a bargain should like it.
Newbies should love it, its about as low risk as you will find.
I'm going to bring it to you every day in December.
If I could be successful in any one aspect of sports betting, it would be this one above anything. This is truly my white whale. Maybe I catch him this time.
Falcon Sports
4
Its always nice to win the first one in anything you do.
I had Denver power rated higher than the Chargers, its that simple. Not to mention the (+140) payback that i received.
I have the Montreal /Nashville game as a coin flip in my ratings. However if I have a 50% chance to win and you are paying me (+140) in this situation, ill flip you all day long.
If your following this thread, u better embrace losing. My goal is to win 46% of the time. That means losing 54% of the time.
Also plsys in this thread will be released later in the day. Normally it should be 2 hours before the first selection starts. I believe in the old adage to play the underdogs later.
I told you boys that u might like this one. Hell anyone that likes a bargain should like it.
Newbies should love it, its about as low risk as you will find.
I'm going to bring it to you every day in December.
If I could be successful in any one aspect of sports betting, it would be this one above anything. This is truly my white whale. Maybe I catch him this time.
The Falcon is releasing a Daily Double for Monday December 11.
Arizona (+110) NHL
I have the underdog with a higher power rating.
Brooklyn (+160) NBA
The books have Brooklyn with a 37.5% chance to win this game. I have it at 48% which is quite the edge. This one is for u value shoppers that like a good bargain.
Risking one unit on each
Falcon Sports
1
The Falcon is releasing a Daily Double for Monday December 11.
Arizona (+110) NHL
I have the underdog with a higher power rating.
Brooklyn (+160) NBA
The books have Brooklyn with a 37.5% chance to win this game. I have it at 48% which is quite the edge. This one is for u value shoppers that like a good bargain.
Good Lord ya'll, we all go thru regression! It happens all the time! All of his threads are available on here, and he has kept no secrets!! He was hitting way more than the 55% he said should happen, and now your shocked he lost some???? Geez guys, get a clue!
5
Good Lord ya'll, we all go thru regression! It happens all the time! All of his threads are available on here, and he has kept no secrets!! He was hitting way more than the 55% he said should happen, and now your shocked he lost some???? Geez guys, get a clue!
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