Posted:
#201
Never a doubt right guys?! 
Nebraska wins on the (B) game
Record
Season 70-0
Posted 22-0
Nice win everyone! 
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Chase systems , fluke or not?
Posted:
#210
So to understand all this hype. And yes i read all 200 something posts before commenting here. Your record is 64-1 which is one loss above average, if proven averages say you will go 32-1. Right? The chances of losing 5 in a row are 32-1. So your math system is averaging correctly you just happen to not have hit your second loss YET. Which cost players heavily, upwards of 39 units. GL to all.
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Posted:
#211
I have read through all (most) of this thread. Understand all of it but one thing. Why do you pick the first game of the night (both halves (A & B) and (if lose) then the last game both halves C & D (if lose) then the first game of the next day (E game)? Thinking it would increase the dreaded 5 loses in a row if you picked the 2 games that you THINK have a BETTER chance of hitting. What am I missing here?
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Posted:
#212
Quote Originally Posted by brutaljoe:
I have read through all (most) of this thread. Understand all of it but one thing. Why do you pick the first game of the night (both halves (A & B) and (if lose) then the last game both halves C & D (if lose) then the first game of the next day (E game)? Thinking it would increase the dreaded 5 loses in a row if you picked the 2 games that you THINK have a BETTER chance of hitting. What am I missing here?
system 1 is the first rotation # dog on the 1st half is the A bet. if 1st half loses then the 2nd half on the same team is a B bet. if that one loses the system 1 carries over to the next day to the first rotation # dog on the 1st have making that a C bet and so on........I have read through all (most) of this thread. Understand all of it but one thing. Why do you pick the first game of the night (both halves (A & B) and (if lose) then the last game both halves C & D (if lose) then the first game of the next day (E game)? Thinking it would increase the dreaded 5 loses in a row if you picked the 2 games that you THINK have a BETTER chance of hitting. What am I missing here?
system 2 is the last rotation # dog on the 1st half making that an A bet. if that loses the 2nd half on the same team will be a B bet. if that loses the system 2 carries over to the next day on the last rotation # dog on the 1st half making it a C bet and so on.........
i hope this makes sense
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Posted:
#213
Quote Originally Posted by kingtut:
So to understand all this hype. And yes i read all 200 something posts before commenting here. Your record is 64-1 which is one loss above average, if proven averages say you will go 32-1. Right? The chances of losing 5 in a row are 32-1. So your math system is averaging correctly you just happen to not have hit your second loss YET. Which cost players heavily, upwards of 39 units. GL to all.
So to understand all this hype. And yes i read all 200 something posts before commenting here. Your record is 64-1 which is one loss above average, if proven averages say you will go 32-1. Right? The chances of losing 5 in a row are 32-1. So your math system is averaging correctly you just happen to not have hit your second loss YET. Which cost players heavily, upwards of 39 units. GL to all.
Don't forget system 1 that is 70-0, I'm just pointing out what's working and has worked past couple years. My baseball system that is 3065-0 how do you rationalize that? By laws of probability I'm due for 96 losses, lol we all know that's not happening. Everybody knows the risks involved in chases its there perogative to play or not. good luck to you sir! 
One last thought there are many different betting strategies so I wouldn't assume everybody is using the 39.85 units loss with the Martingale. 
One last thought there are many different betting strategies so I wouldn't assume everybody is using the 39.85 units loss with the Martingale. 0
Posted:
#214
Quote Originally Posted by melossinglet:
hey hat-man,interesting thing you got going here......if i mite ask,in your mlb system how many tiers do you go to??and does each series follow one specific team??cheers man
hey hat-man,interesting thing you got going here......if i mite ask,in your mlb system how many tiers do you go to??and does each series follow one specific team??cheers man
It's a 6 game chase, the first 4 games hit at 96% rate so not many tier 5 & 6 games. It bets every team at one time or another during season. The plays arent known until night before.
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Posted:
#216
Quote Originally Posted by 09ultra:
system 1 is the first rotation # dog on the 1st half is the A bet. if 1st half loses then the 2nd half on the same team is a B bet. if that one loses the system 1 carries over to the next day to the first rotation # dog on the 1st have making that a C bet and so on........
system 2 is the last rotation # dog on the 1st half making that an A bet. if that loses the 2nd half on the same team will be a B bet. if that loses the system 2 carries over to the next day on the last rotation # dog on the 1st half making it a C bet and so on.........
i hope this makes sense
system 1 is the first rotation # dog on the 1st half is the A bet. if 1st half loses then the 2nd half on the same team is a B bet. if that one loses the system 1 carries over to the next day to the first rotation # dog on the 1st have making that a C bet and so on........
system 2 is the last rotation # dog on the 1st half making that an A bet. if that loses the 2nd half on the same team will be a B bet. if that loses the system 2 carries over to the next day on the last rotation # dog on the 1st half making it a C bet and so on.........
i hope this makes sense
Hence.....system 1 (A) is Rhode Island 1st half
system 2 (A) is Long Island 1st half
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Posted:
#218
Ulta
I understand that (and thanks for trying to straighten it all out for me) but I guess my question is WHY does he blindly do the first one and the last one instead of picking ones he BELIEVES have a better chance in coming in? And secondly, why does he 2 systems? It would be the same if he did just one system and went to the 6th no?
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Posted:
#219
[Quote: Originally Posted by brutaljoe]
Ulta
I understand that (and thanks for trying to straighten it all out for me) but I guess my question is WHY does he blindly do the first one and the last one instead of picking ones he BELIEVES have a better chance in coming in? And secondly, why does he 2 systems? It would be the same if he did just one system and went to the 6th no?[/Quohe is not "blindly" picking his games. he simply takes the 1st and last rotation # dogs.......doesnt get any easier than that
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Posted:
#220
I do believe 2 systems are better than 1. if the system has this much validity then why not take a chance to double you money. Remember since this is a chase system, you cannot afford to start with a high unit bet.
I think when you have 3 or more chase systems you will fail somewhere. the games must be tracked carefully so you may be able to place a second half bet in case your first half does not hit.
At any rate good job jeff
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Posted:
#223
Quote Originally Posted by BaggerVANCE:
wait just to clarify Jeff, what are the two plays for today? Both Long Island and Rhode Island start at 7.. rather than Long Island is it supposed to be Idaho 1h?
wait just to clarify Jeff, what are the two plays for today? Both Long Island and Rhode Island start at 7.. rather than Long Island is it supposed to be Idaho 1h?
Bagger, i think he specifies first game on the rotation list for everyday system 1 and last game on the rotation sys 2.
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