CAMPBELL + 1.5 vs MONMOUTH Large Write Up

Just an FYI...

McClain arrived via the transfer portal from Texas Southern this past offseason but missed Monmouth's first 23 games while being probed for a rules violation by the NCAA. Having spent 2023-24 at Abilene Christian, a program that was listed in the Department of Justice’s Jan. 15 point shaving indictment, he was forced to sit out while the inquiry was conducted. Though the investigation remains ongoing, Monmouth was informed during the first week of February that McClain was cleared for a return.

i love taking these early live bets. got campbell ML at +210 at Betriver

bol to all

@Rolexsports

 You also lost 250 bucks by taking Seton Hall on the ML,but i guess you forgot about that and won it back over the weekend with your "forgot to post" writeups.   I've seen many guys like you come and go over the years and i hope no one falls for your deceptive shenanigans. 

Campbell are not winning this game   When you shoot 50% and losing by 6  you suck 

Tough to win a game when you're averaging almost a turnover a minute. How the fuck you get 15 turnovers in a half?   Of course I had them live +5.5 for the 1st half

Sounded good like seton hall.Maybe campbell will come back 

Campbell has damn near the same amount of turnovers that they have points 

They have to limit that to even have a chance 

@OneADayJ

 12 steals - that Monmouth back court can pick up.

That’s hurt 

@SportsIntuition

Sorry, I can't hear your bullshit. I see your picks a lot. You are not very good, and you seem like a dick.

Monmouth wins easily, so much for Campbell. 

How the fuck did this team beat UNCW yesterday? 

@SportsIntuition

 Exactly who do you think shops at Circa? It isn't the average Joe, bro. When the bet splits are 50% bets on one team with 90% money it is definitely sharp money. You should read Josh Applebaum and his books on sharp betting before you run your face. 

I’m familiar with Applebaum and the sharp/public concepts he talks about. But in a game like Monmouth-Campbell, the bet split alone doesn’t tell the full story.

Smaller conference games like this typically have much lower limits and handle, especially compared to major conference matchups. Because of that, it doesn’t take much to skew the money percentage. A couple of larger wagers can easily push the split to something like 50% of bets and 90% of the money.

In those markets, the money percentage can move dramatically even when the actual dollar volume is relatively small. So a 90% money figure isn’t automatically evidence of sharp action, it can simply reflect the low liquidity of the market.