CAMPBELL + 1.5 vs MONMOUTH Large Write Up

Just an FYI...

McClain arrived via the transfer portal from Texas Southern this past offseason but missed Monmouth's first 23 games while being probed for a rules violation by the NCAA. Having spent 2023-24 at Abilene Christian, a program that was listed in the Department of Justice’s Jan. 15 point shaving indictment, he was forced to sit out while the inquiry was conducted. Though the investigation remains ongoing, Monmouth was informed during the first week of February that McClain was cleared for a return.

i love taking these early live bets. got campbell ML at +210 at Betriver

bol to all

@Rolexsports

 You also lost 250 bucks by taking Seton Hall on the ML,but i guess you forgot about that and won it back over the weekend with your "forgot to post" writeups.   I've seen many guys like you come and go over the years and i hope no one falls for your deceptive shenanigans. 

Campbell are not winning this game   When you shoot 50% and losing by 6  you suck 

Tough to win a game when you're averaging almost a turnover a minute. How the fuck you get 15 turnovers in a half?   Of course I had them live +5.5 for the 1st half

Sounded good like seton hall.Maybe campbell will come back 

Campbell has damn near the same amount of turnovers that they have points 

They have to limit that to even have a chance 

@OneADayJ

 12 steals - that Monmouth back court can pick up.

That’s hurt 

@SportsIntuition

Sorry, I can't hear your bullshit. I see your picks a lot. You are not very good, and you seem like a dick.

Monmouth wins easily, so much for Campbell. 

How the fuck did this team beat UNCW yesterday? 

@SportsIntuition

 Exactly who do you think shops at Circa? It isn't the average Joe, bro. When the bet splits are 50% bets on one team with 90% money it is definitely sharp money. You should read Josh Applebaum and his books on sharp betting before you run your face. 

I’m familiar with Applebaum and the sharp/public concepts he talks about. But in a game like Monmouth-Campbell, the bet split alone doesn’t tell the full story.

Smaller conference games like this typically have much lower limits and handle, especially compared to major conference matchups. Because of that, it doesn’t take much to skew the money percentage. A couple of larger wagers can easily push the split to something like 50% of bets and 90% of the money.

In those markets, the money percentage can move dramatically even when the actual dollar volume is relatively small. So a 90% money figure isn’t automatically evidence of sharp action, it can simply reflect the low liquidity of the market.

I don't post picks, just games a I like in interactions with other threads.

Am gonna give you some great gambling advice after doing this shit for 46 years. If you believe all those betting percentages you see all over the internet, do yourself a huge favor and quit gambling today. All those numbers are pure trash. First off ask yourself 1 question, if you owned a sports book, would you release your most important info in your business to help gamblers be smarter and win your money. You have to be insane to think any book is gonna give us info to help us win. If anything those numbers are tainted to help them balance the money on their bets they take in. They know that this is all most gamblers on the internet look at and so they basically use bamblers like stooges.

Secondly you have zero idea which bettors are betting which side in those percentages. So those numbers are even more useless. Unless you know a big shot in one of the sports books, you will never know what the real numbers are and you will never know which sharps bettors who win long term, what side they are actually betting. So keep looking at those numbers and all you will end up doing is wasting your time and money way.

Am already prepared for your response, saying i dont know what am talking about. And all those gambling books you read, just know the authors are in it for the money they make.

good luck

@SportsIntuition

 I didn't bash his pick. I actually started by saying I like and follow his posts. You need to read better. All I did was share my side of the game. I thought that's what we do here. In fact, he commented back and said I like posts like this. He wasn't offended but somehow you were. 

Lastly, Applebaum even said on his podcast that sharp money was on Monmouth. He must be clueless also. Lol

Lighten up bro. Go outside. Get one with nature. Quit being a hater all your life. 

I've been saying exactly this during my time here!

Glad to see others understand.

@cd329

 Applebaum, the author, does not sell picks. He never has. How do you make money off of picks that you don't sell? Congrats on being old, but there is something called the "internets" and it is full of great information. There are also apps now such as "Juice Reel" that is a sports tracker for all sports. If you don't want to believe in betting splits and money percentages no one is making you. I spend a lot of my day reading and listening to podcasts. It's odd that SGPN, Applebaum, The College Basketball Experience, and a few others all talk about betting splits and percentages. The conspiracy is that they must all be in it together. Bigfoot is real.

Thank you for coaching me up though.

@SportsIntuition

 It's your burden buddy. It's hard always being the smartest dude in the room.

I don't know if I should laugh at you or cry for you.

Clearly your projecting something that doesn't involve me.

Whatever it is I hope you heal it.

First off you have never read my posts, am so far away from conspiracies its comical to think i believe in any of that.

You my friend are clue less to think all those pod casters dont get paid. The real sharps making money dont waste their time awy making pod casts, but hey keep listening. Was just trying to save you years of your time on money on useless shit

Another fade