Indigo lines

Some light entertainment for the CFL bettor and fan.

In the history of the CFL database that goes back 10+ years, home field was worth 2.5 points.  Since 2020, it has been worth 1.8 points....we'll assign 2 points as the handicap for home field.

And hey, don't shoot the messenger...this forum is on life support and we're ramping things up a bit....in no way am I predicting what the linemaker is putting out as first week lines.

Week 1 Indigo lines..........

         Home team                     Away team

  1)  Saskatchewan    -2            Ottawa      46

  2)  Montreal            pik          Toronto      45

  3)  Calgary              pik          Hamilton   48

  4)  BC Lions             -4           Edmonton 47

AD and week=1 and opS(playoffs)<3 and n:line<7

24-9 ATS and 22-11 unders 

I still think tread lightly on the unders. Every other sport if finding ways to attract more scoring and excitement for the fans.  CFL improved last season and could keep going.  

In week 2 BC will be an away dog at Wpg. 

Al’s probably favorite to Ott

Argos a strong home favorite to calgy 

Hammy a favorite over Sask. 

Think Ottawa will be a small favorite week 2 versus the Alouettes, depending on game 1 results.

The power will definitely be in the East this year, after a decade+ of it being in the West Division.....considering playing the East teams in all games versus the West except for when Winnipeg and Saskatchewan are at home.

Dru Brown, quarterback for the Redblacks, at +1100 to win the Most Outstanding player in the CFL looks very enticing.

Underdogs should rule again in the good ol' CFL, where the last 3 minutes of a game seems like it lasts over an hour....can be hellish for a bettor sometimes.....lol.

So, reading some CFL material.......Hamilton hired the former Calgary defensive coordinator, Monson.....Calgary's defense has been HORRIBLE and poorly coached the last couple of years.  I have been slightly bullish on the Tiger Cats...their offensive scheme has been good, and they have added  some receivers and Greg Bell is a very good running back....they'll score points, a lot of them.  However I have my doubts whether they're going to stop anyone.

Ottawa, on the other hand hired the former Argos, co-defensive coordinator.....that seems to me to be a very good hire, Toronto has created quite a bit of turnovers on defense and of course, they won the Grey Cup last year......much more bullish on the Redblacks.

Toronto has replaced their whole defensive staff and a lot of their defense personnel left....that along with their GC hangover makes me think they'll be a money burner this season.

Montreal has got a quarterback that flashed last year....he could be the next big thing in the CFL, or not.  We'll see.  Same very good defensive coordinator....they should play low scoring games this season.

@Indigo999

 yes on dogs

yes on overs before the 3 minute warning in game 

yes on Brown

@Indigo999

NCAA FB

6>week>2 and tpS(W)>8 and rank=None and p:rank=None and season>2020 and ats streak>-2 and line>-20 and total<57 and line<=-6

 here is the query on non ranked teams with over 8 wins 

Very nice.....

Draftkings has put out week 1 lines.....as usual there are a couple of surprises.

1)  Roughriders -2'  49'       Redblacks

2)  Alouettes      -4' 47'       Argonauts

3)  Stamps        +1'  52'      Tiger Cats

4)  BC               -5'  48'       Elks 

We'll see if these lines hold when the other sportsbooks put out their first week's lines.

Plays:

1)  Calgary +1', -120, 2 units

I am not as down on the Stamps as most this season, as they got rid of the two chief issues from the last couple of years, the quarterback and the defensive coordinator.

Home non-divisional dogs have historically been good in the first few weeks, and up to the Jake years, Calgary was a tough place to win at.  We have on our side someone who was considered a candidate for MOP last season, playing quarterback playing in his first game for the Stampeders.

As mentioned Hamilton inexplicably hired the coach who oversaw by far, the worst defense in the league the last couple of years.  As well, if Calgary doesn't greatly improve  this season, their long-time coach will probably be fired. 

Home non-divisional dogs that score more than 20 points in that game have gone  77-27-1 ATS, 19-6 ATS in the first three weeks, 7-1 ATS game 1s.  If Calgary shows me they can't score more than 20 against Hamilton's defense, it'll tell me they're in for a long, long season.

We'll see what happens with the rest of the lines as the things move forward later in the week.

Play:

2)  Edmonton +5', 2 units

Edmonton's only returning coach from last season is their run game coordinator, which is great because they were awesome on the ground last season.  Away divisional dogs that outrush yard their opponent have gone 135-40-2 ATS, including 12-2 ATS in June.  Running quarterbacks have typically been great on the road in pro football from an against the spread covering prospective.

We'll take the points.

_____________________________

1)  Calgary +1', -120, 2 units.

A and D and week=1 and day=Thursday

Fanduel has week 2 lines out.....Hamilton is projected to be a home underdog to Saskatchewan in week 2.

Away non-divisional favorites that will be underdogs their next game have gone 15-33 ATS, including 0-4 SUATS in week 1......VERSUS Hamilton

Query text.....AF and n:D and not DIV and n:playoffs=0 and playoffs=0 and nn:playoffs=0

Plays:

3)  Ottawa on the moneyline +135, 1 unit.....26% of KOC contest plays are on Redblacks.....Redblacks could win the Eastern Division this year

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2)  Calgary +1', -120, 2 units

1)  Edmonton +5', 2 units