Week 6 I will be on these :
Riders +
Lions +
Argo's +
Alouettes +
I lean to ALL the Over's. Six weeks into the season some of these lines are going to reflect the lack of scoring so far. Last week was pretty bad so I do expect a correction. Maybe not 4-0 but a few and enought to make me money. For me It all comes down to the line.
Looking ahead to this week and a few 2018 season thoughts:
I think the Alouettes are going to make me money long term. Obviously they stink , but I think the odds makers are tired of bettors killing them. They finally show signs of being competitive and the rest of the league isn't great. I think they will be getting a lot of points and I am confident some of these teams are not capable of whipping them every week. I guess after a few more games will provide me the data I need.
Alouettes are 15-32 ATS here >>>
t:team = Alouettes and date>=20150927
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I think the Bombers are trending backwards. I like the Bombers and they have been excelent cashing tickets. On the other hand they are now 25-11 ATS in their last 36 games. The lines maker adjusted their spread to the highest ever on the road last week and I think a lot more Bomber failures are heading their way.
t:team = Blue Bombers and date>=20160728
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The Redblacks have issues when the odds makers tag them as favorites of -3 or higher. As I see it there is no reason to trust this team as a favorite.
t:team = Redblacks and line <=-3 and season >=2016
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Green Riders
There is a lot to like about them, but they still have QB issues. On the flip side QB issues are everywhere. Decent coaching decent running game and nice defense. They could lose a few ATS in a row but there is only one team (Stamps) that I would be timid on taking them against. It will be interesting to me what they make this line. Its a back to back after both teams had a bye week.
Riders were +6 home dogs but won the game. If the line stay the same it should be Riders +12 but I doubt that. Somewhere +7 or higher but not as high as +12. Either way if the line is this high its a nice spot to take the points.
Have a good week everyone







