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    All Forums | Boxing

    Weekend Picks (12/6-12/8)

    A2C
    Fullbrights
    bigeiii
    Participants:
    Search
    Views: 480
    Posts: 11
     
    A2C
    A2C
    Captain
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Aug, 2007
    Posts: 5053
    Posted: Dec. 6, 2007 - 11:40 AM ET #1

    Andrey Tsurkan vs. Yuri Foreman

    Tsurkan +170

    1 unit

     

    Light middleweights Andrey Tsurkan and Yuri Foreman square off Thursday night in the Bronx as part of Top Rank’s Fight Night series shown live on the Versus network.  I got a first hand look at Foreman (23-0, 8 KO’s) during his last fight against Anthony Thompson on the Cotto-Judah under card and was generally unimpressed with his performance that night.  Foreman eked out a split decision by scores of 97-93, 94-96 and 96-94 and although both men were guilty of excessive clinching and holding that night, Foreman did very little to actually win aside from staying out of the wild Thompson’s way.  I don’t think that strategy will work tonight against the tough Russian, who is known for his punching power and accuracy.  Tsurkan, 25-2, 16 KO’s, seems to be getting stronger, evidenced by the fact that he’s sent his last 4 opponents home inside the distance.  His win against Hector Camacho, Jr. in June of 2006 was a close fight until Tsurkan’s power finally caught up with the dodgy Puerto Rican in the 8th round.  I expect a similar result tonight with the initial rounds being close or even in Foreman’s favor.  However, I think Foreman’s lack of offense will be his undoing against the more explosive Tsurkan, who should be able to take control of the fight somewhere in the middle to late rounds.  Although a KO would be impressive result for the Russian (and profitable – a prop on Tsurkan inside the distance is available at a plump +472), I think the most likely result is a mild upset of a win by decision. 

    Reply
    To remove first post, remove entire topic.

    Andrey Tsurkan vs. Yuri Foreman

    Tsurkan +170

    1 unit

     

    Light middleweights Andrey Tsurkan and Yuri Foreman square off Thursday night in the Bronx as part of Top Rank’s Fight Night series shown live on the Versus network.  I got a first hand look at Foreman (23-0, 8 KO’s) during his last fight against Anthony Thompson on the Cotto-Judah under card and was generally unimpressed with his performance that night.  Foreman eked out a split decision by scores of 97-93, 94-96 and 96-94 and although both men were guilty of excessive clinching and holding that night, Foreman did very little to actually win aside from staying out of the wild Thompson’s way.  I don’t think that strategy will work tonight against the tough Russian, who is known for his punching power and accuracy.  Tsurkan, 25-2, 16 KO’s, seems to be getting stronger, evidenced by the fact that he’s sent his last 4 opponents home inside the distance.  His win against Hector Camacho, Jr. in June of 2006 was a close fight until Tsurkan’s power finally caught up with the dodgy Puerto Rican in the 8th round.  I expect a similar result tonight with the initial rounds being close or even in Foreman’s favor.  However, I think Foreman’s lack of offense will be his undoing against the more explosive Tsurkan, who should be able to take control of the fight somewhere in the middle to late rounds.  Although a KO would be impressive result for the Russian (and profitable – a prop on Tsurkan inside the distance is available at a plump +472), I think the most likely result is a mild upset of a win by decision. 

     
    Fullbrights
    Fullbrights
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Feb, 2006
    Posts: 4377
    Posted: Dec. 6, 2007 - 6:43 PM ET #2

    Against you tonight, but good luck this weekend.
    Reply
    Against you tonight, but good luck this weekend.
     
    A2C
    A2C
    Captain
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Aug, 2007
    Posts: 5053
    Posted: Dec. 7, 2007 - 12:25 AM ET #3

    Andrey Tsurkan vs. Yuri Foreman

    Tsurkan +170

    -1 unit 


    YTD: 48.76 units risked, +10.82 units


    Thought I had this one after the 4th round, but Yuri got on his bicycle and confused Tsurkan by constantly changing directions.  Yuri easily won the last half of the fight as Tsurkan could no longer find him.  Yuri's in trouble if he gets pressured like that against an opponent with boxing skills.
    Reply

    Andrey Tsurkan vs. Yuri Foreman

    Tsurkan +170

    -1 unit 


    YTD: 48.76 units risked, +10.82 units


    Thought I had this one after the 4th round, but Yuri got on his bicycle and confused Tsurkan by constantly changing directions.  Yuri easily won the last half of the fight as Tsurkan could no longer find him.  Yuri's in trouble if he gets pressured like that against an opponent with boxing skills.
     
    A2C
    A2C
    Captain
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Aug, 2007
    Posts: 5053
    Posted: Dec. 8, 2007 - 2:12 PM ET #4

    Jose Carlos Reveco vs. Brahim Asolum
    Under 10.5 Rounds (+190)
    .5 units

    Late pick. Asolum moving down in weight to fight the unbeaten Argentenian Reveco. The younger Reveco has won his last 4 inside the distance and even though Asolum has never been KO'd, he was knocked down in the early rounds in both of his losses.  I think there's enough value on the under here to take a chance on Asolum going down again early, possibly for good this time.
    Reply
    Jose Carlos Reveco vs. Brahim Asolum
    Under 10.5 Rounds (+190)
    .5 units

    Late pick. Asolum moving down in weight to fight the unbeaten Argentenian Reveco. The younger Reveco has won his last 4 inside the distance and even though Asolum has never been KO'd, he was knocked down in the early rounds in both of his losses.  I think there's enough value on the under here to take a chance on Asolum going down again early, possibly for good this time.
     
    A2C
    A2C
    Captain
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Aug, 2007
    Posts: 5053
    Posted: Dec. 8, 2007 - 2:15 PM ET #5

    CORRECTION:

    JUAN CARLOS REVECO VS. BRAHIM ASOLUM,
    NOT JOSE CARLOS REVECO.


    Reply
    CORRECTION:

    JUAN CARLOS REVECO VS. BRAHIM ASOLUM,
    NOT JOSE CARLOS REVECO.


     
    A2C
    A2C
    Captain
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Aug, 2007
    Posts: 5053
    Posted: Dec. 8, 2007 - 3:35 PM ET #6

    Jeff Lacy vs. Peter Manfredo
    Under 9.5 (-110)
    .55 unit

    There are questions surrounding both fighters in this one.  Despite being trained by Freddie Roach, Manfredo remains an unintelligent boxer who seems to lack a passion for the ring.  His third-round stoppage loss against Calzaghe may have been premature, but Manfredo seemed completely lost in that fight, so I think it was just a matter of time before the ref intervened.  If Lacy's recovered from his shoulder injury, then he could deliver some hard power shots that break down Manfredo's will to continue.  And there's also a chance of Lacy getting stopped if he reinjures his shoulder.  This is Lacy's first fight since barely beating Vitali Tsypko last December, so he's still a bit of a question mark.  This matchup has lots of the necessary ingredients for an early stoppage, so I think it's worth a small risk.
    Reply
    Jeff Lacy vs. Peter Manfredo
    Under 9.5 (-110)
    .55 unit

    There are questions surrounding both fighters in this one.  Despite being trained by Freddie Roach, Manfredo remains an unintelligent boxer who seems to lack a passion for the ring.  His third-round stoppage loss against Calzaghe may have been premature, but Manfredo seemed completely lost in that fight, so I think it was just a matter of time before the ref intervened.  If Lacy's recovered from his shoulder injury, then he could deliver some hard power shots that break down Manfredo's will to continue.  And there's also a chance of Lacy getting stopped if he reinjures his shoulder.  This is Lacy's first fight since barely beating Vitali Tsypko last December, so he's still a bit of a question mark.  This matchup has lots of the necessary ingredients for an early stoppage, so I think it's worth a small risk.
     
    A2C
    A2C
    Captain
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Aug, 2007
    Posts: 5053
    Posted: Dec. 8, 2007 - 3:44 PM ET #7

    Daniel Ponce De Leon vs. Eduardo Escobedo
    Over 7.5 (+145)
    .5 unit


    DPDL has devastating power, as evidenced by his first-round KO of Rey Bautista in August.  But Bautista has no defense, and Golden Boy Promotions threw him to the figurative wolves a bit too quickly considering that Bautista didn't look ready to step up in class during his Cinco de Mayo exhibition prior to the DLH-PBF extravaganza.  DPDL struggled to earn a controversial decision win over Gerry Penalosa earlier this year, and that shows that skilled, defensive boxers can give him problems.  Escobedo is a very live dog in this fight given his excellent training and recent success.  Although I won't call for the upset (Fullbrights handled that one), I do think that this will be a competitive fight that goes into the later rounds.  DPDL may be able to catch up with a tiring Escobedo late in the fight, or Escobedo could challenge Nonito Donaire for "upset of the year" by outboxing DPDL.  Regardless, I think this has a good chance of going over 7.5 rounds, and the +145 provides value.  Of course, DPDL has one-punch KO power, so that prevents me from going heavy on this wager.  Then again, Escobedo is moving down to super bantamweight, so he's naturally bigger than most of the fighters that DPDL has feasted on during his rise to the top of the division.
    Reply
    Daniel Ponce De Leon vs. Eduardo Escobedo
    Over 7.5 (+145)
    .5 unit


    DPDL has devastating power, as evidenced by his first-round KO of Rey Bautista in August.  But Bautista has no defense, and Golden Boy Promotions threw him to the figurative wolves a bit too quickly considering that Bautista didn't look ready to step up in class during his Cinco de Mayo exhibition prior to the DLH-PBF extravaganza.  DPDL struggled to earn a controversial decision win over Gerry Penalosa earlier this year, and that shows that skilled, defensive boxers can give him problems.  Escobedo is a very live dog in this fight given his excellent training and recent success.  Although I won't call for the upset (Fullbrights handled that one), I do think that this will be a competitive fight that goes into the later rounds.  DPDL may be able to catch up with a tiring Escobedo late in the fight, or Escobedo could challenge Nonito Donaire for "upset of the year" by outboxing DPDL.  Regardless, I think this has a good chance of going over 7.5 rounds, and the +145 provides value.  Of course, DPDL has one-punch KO power, so that prevents me from going heavy on this wager.  Then again, Escobedo is moving down to super bantamweight, so he's naturally bigger than most of the fighters that DPDL has feasted on during his rise to the top of the division.
     
    bigeiii
    bigeiii
    Captain
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jan, 2003
    Posts: 5870
    Posted: Dec. 8, 2007 - 4:31 PM ET #8

    I agry on the LOW for JL vs. PMJr. A2C. Lacy may be damaged goods physically, mentally, or both. But Lacy is one thing. A wide as H, looping, bomber of a Power-Puncher. Lacy reminds me of a downed power-line. You should call the Electric Co. to come deal with it, but it's safe enough if you keep you Distance. If you get Inside it can end badly should you try to handle Lacy's Voltage. PManJr. is beatable, to be sure, but I'm unsold as to just how healthy Jeff "I'm no longer bigeiii's boy." Lacy is between the ears & in 1 shoulder. So I like this to end early no matter who ends whom.

    GLA!
    bigeiii
    Reply
    I agry on the LOW for JL vs. PMJr. A2C. Lacy may be damaged goods physically, mentally, or both. But Lacy is one thing. A wide as H, looping, bomber of a Power-Puncher. Lacy reminds me of a downed power-line. You should call the Electric Co. to come deal with it, but it's safe enough if you keep you Distance. If you get Inside it can end badly should you try to handle Lacy's Voltage. PManJr. is beatable, to be sure, but I'm unsold as to just how healthy Jeff "I'm no longer bigeiii's boy." Lacy is between the ears & in 1 shoulder. So I like this to end early no matter who ends whom.

    GLA!
    bigeiii
     
    A2C
    A2C
    Captain
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Aug, 2007
    Posts: 5053
    Posted: Dec. 10, 2007 - 12:04 PM ET #9

    Juan Carlos Reveco vs. Brahim Asolum
    Under 10.5 Rounds (+190)
    -.5 unit
     
    This ended up going the length, with Asolum scoring the UD.
     
    Jeff Lacy vs. Peter Manfredo
    Under 9.5 (-110)
    - .55 units
     
    Left-Hook Lacy, despite not throwing a single left hook, earned a UD over the Pride of Providence.
     
    Daniel Ponce De Leon vs. Eduardo Escobedo
    Over 7.5 (+145)
    .725 units
     
    Escobedo's training with Beristain payed off in the sense that it caused DPDL to plow his way to a UD win. 

    YTD: 50.31 units risked, +10.495 units

     



     
     
    Reply
    Juan Carlos Reveco vs. Brahim Asolum
    Under 10.5 Rounds (+190)
    -.5 unit
     
    This ended up going the length, with Asolum scoring the UD.
     
    Jeff Lacy vs. Peter Manfredo
    Under 9.5 (-110)
    - .55 units
     
    Left-Hook Lacy, despite not throwing a single left hook, earned a UD over the Pride of Providence.
     
    Daniel Ponce De Leon vs. Eduardo Escobedo
    Over 7.5 (+145)
    .725 units
     
    Escobedo's training with Beristain payed off in the sense that it caused DPDL to plow his way to a UD win. 

    YTD: 50.31 units risked, +10.495 units

     



     
     
     
    Fullbrights
    Fullbrights
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Feb, 2006
    Posts: 4377
    Posted: Dec. 12, 2007 - 12:57 AM ET #10

    Keep plugging away A2C, you'll get it back soon enough.
    Reply
    Keep plugging away A2C, you'll get it back soon enough.
     
     
    A2C
    A2C
    Captain
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Aug, 2007
    Posts: 5053
    Posted: Dec. 12, 2007 - 10:56 AM ET #11

    Quote Originally Posted by Fullbrights:

    Keep plugging away A2C, you'll get it back soon enough.

     

    Thanks Fullbrights.  Hell of a job on your parlay last weekend.  

    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by Fullbrights:

    Keep plugging away A2C, you'll get it back soon enough.

     

    Thanks Fullbrights.  Hell of a job on your parlay last weekend.  

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