Valentine's Weekend Picks --- A2C Massacres the Books

2007: +12.45 units
2008: +25.3 units

2009: -3.61 units

Jose Reyes vs. Efren Hinojosa
Under 9.5 (+185) (Sportsbook)
1 unit

I don't think Reyes is getting enough credit for how strong he's looked in his last two fights, against Ivan Valle and Antonio DeMarco.  Reyes knocked Valle down three times, including a punishing hook that ended matters in the 4th round.  And that KO is even more impressive considering that Valle went ten competitive rounds against the talented Rolando Reyes in his next fight.  Jose Reyes also impressed me against DeMarco, as he came back from a lackluster beginning of the fight, and I thought he did enough in the last half of the fight to earn a decision.  DeMarco was hurt in the last rounds, and I don't think he would've survived if the bout had been 12 rounds instead of 10.  DeMarco's a very good boxer-puncher, so Reyes deserves a lot of credit for this performance.  Meanwhile, Hinojosa is on his last legs, as he's coming off a 4th round KO loss to Javier Castro.  I watched Hinojosa against Miguel Huerta last year,and I thought he was lucky to go the distance after being floored in the second round.  Tonight, I think that Reyes will take the fight to Hinojosa, who won't be willing to take 10 rounds of punishment. 

What bullshit. More of the same circus act. Great selection, tough beat.

Tough luck on the Reyes under last night.  I guess the only consolation is that it really did go under 9.5.   (me sticking my tongue out to the bookies' boxing rules)

 

I'm feeling so good about that Martinez-Cintron over that I'm adding:

 

Martinez vs. Cintron

 

So, that's 4 units total riding on this over.  One of my biggest plays since the DLH fiasco.  Hopefully, this one turns out a little better for me.

 

Am I the only one celebrating?  (As Juan Gonzalez said: "Baseball -- sometime it good, sometime not so good."  Applies to boxing, too.  That's why you search for value and never have too much riding on the chalk).