This HUGE Weekend

+10.15 units posted plays

Lets start a big weekend. . .

Jesus Soto Karass/David Estrada Under 11.5 (+200) 1 unit to win 2
Soto Karass (-140) 1.4 units to win 1

I'm not really impressed with either of these guys. B level fighters without any elite skill. I know JSK is pretty sturdy but I don't see anything that suggests there isn't a good chance this doesn't go the full 12. Estrada is available to hit and I'm thinking he can do enough to batter his way to a late round stoppage. Either way, if he shows up, he should be able to score enough to win a decision if it does go to the cards.

Ray Joval (+105) over James McGirt Jr. 1 unit to win 1.05

This is an anti-McGirt play. I agree with A2C that Joval is old, inactive and light hitting. But I really feel like any live body has a chance to beat McGirt and Joval still has enough left to be more than that. If McGirt was my son, he would be fighting in a club. I don't think there's much to his game and Joval is experienced enough to outclass a guy who was just KTFO'd by a 4-1 journeyman type opponent.

Leaning towards the under and Antonio for Saturday but still not sure.

Margarito/Cotto Won't Go Distance (+115) 2 units to win 2.30
Margarito ITD (+200) 2 units to win 4
Margarito by 12 rd decision (+980) .5 to win 4.9
Cotto is knocked down or out (+210) .5 to win 1.05
Margarito wins in 10th (+3100) .2 units to win 6.2
wins in 11th (+3300) .2 units to win 6.6
wins in 12th (+4000) .2 units to win 8

I like the value in Margarito coming forward and landing more than Cotto. That simple. I think he can wear him down and either stop him in the late rounds or win a close decision.

Canchila/Segurra Under 7.5 (-145) 2.9 units to win 2
Canchilla (+600) .5 units to win 3

Don't know anything about Canchilla but I assume hes a Colombian puncher and someone will be out of there early.

Up a cool 15 units for the weekend. Stashing it away for the upcoming football season.

Hell of a fight , lived up the the billing. Margarito is an absolute monster. Cotto fought the perfect fight over the first 6 rounds and it just wasn't good enough. The eleventh round stoppage helped as my card still had Cotto ahead entering the 11th, although the official judges had it different. Nevertheless great fight and Id pay to see the II.

Back later for this week's action.

Awesome stuff, you da man Hak with those calls.