Saturday Night Boxing UK

Sadly this card has gone down south since the Matthew Macklin v Darren Barker fight got postponed. That would have been a classic. I will be playing on 3 fights tonight. I am confident 2 will hit.

1) Derek Chisora v Sam Sexton over 9.5 @evens. This will be my biggest play of the evening and I feel quite confident about. These two are very evenly matched and temptation is to play the underdog Sexton. These two will never be world class but both are in good shape and I don't see a war here at all. I am very confident this won't warm up until the second half of the fight. I don't believe either guy has enormous power and I think this could go very close to the full 12 rounds. Really like the over her guys. Will put a small saver on Chisora to win between rounds 10-12 @ +800. It's amazing how close some of these go so cover yourself with the big price.

2) Alexander Frenkel to KO Enzo Macrenelli @ +160. I have seen this a few times. Young, hungry, relatively untested fighter is meant to lose to new improved Enzo, but it's Enzo that ends up on his ass. I don't care how many trainers you use, when your punch resistance is gone it's gone. Mac can't take a punch and Frenkel can bang. Ok we know nothing about Frenkel and he could be a bum, but I can't resist these odds on a guy that can bang against Enzo Mac's fragile chin.

3) Nathan Cleverely to beat Karo Murat on points @ +150. I have also played on Murat @ +250 (That price is way too big). I think this goes the distance and Cleverely gets the hometown decision.

No play for me on Mosley v Mora. Just too many intangibles....

I will be Playing on Saul Alvarez to win inside the distance. I am a HUGE Alvarez fan (in that I think this kid has SERIOUS Talent). This will be a beatdown and I see a ref stoppage sometime after round 6

You didn't mention it, but I'm sure your well aware these guys have met before(Chisora TKO6) and neither has ever seen the ninth round....    I like your Alvarez inside or similar props.   Watched lots of footage of Frenkel and wasn't blown away. Macca could crunch him. 

I do mate but I think both fighters have evolved since then. If you remeber that fight it was very close and Chisora pulled out a peach of a punch. Of course that can happen again very easily. This is the biggest fight of both their careers. The winner will get a shot at the European belt and look who holds that now! My gut feeling is that these two respect each other alot more then they let on. I expect a seriously cagey fight, cat and mouse and I think after 8 there will be nothing in it. The over is screaming out at me here...

 

Cleverly looks damn good ..

Man that over was CLOSE!!!!!!It shouldnt have been. Fight was exactly as I called it. Phew!

That over lost. I was stopped in round 9. The fight would have had to go 130 into round 10.

I'm feeling the Alvarez play. 100% certain it is nothing more than a statement fight as you've said in another post.

when your chin is gone its gone..........

Walk the books pay different here. The rules must be different here. I will post them later. either way it should have gone well over

   Yes, please indulge us.  Of the 8 or so books I use betting over 9.5 would have lost as it's clearly over 9 and half way thru the 10th round so any stoppage before the 1:30 mark in round 10 is a loser.  I want to know about some books that pay that as a winner.   

I know Mack uses Paddy power or whatever it is called, this happened last year too many lost bets on the over but he said they graded it as a winner.. too bad they don't accept U.S players it's a good edge to have.

                                               

Huh?!?


I think Mack must have been referring to the Frenkel-Enzo fight going "exactly as he called it".

He hit on that one at a nice plus number. 

But no book, Euro or American, would have graded OVER 9.5 as a winner in the Chisora fight.