Plays for the Week

2006 Results (March-July): +19.2 units (+$1,920)
2007 Results: +42.25 units (+$4,225)
Last two weeks: -.35 of a unit (-$35)
2008 to Date: -11.57 units (-$1,157)

I've had some internet problems the past day and a half.  Feels good to be on-line again.  Some tough matchups this weekend.  So far I am only down on tonight's FNF main event, but I have a couple of outcomes I am leaning towards that I haven't pulled the trigger on.  One being playing DPDL ITD along with Juan-Ma by decision with the higher profits hanging on Lopez.   Any strong takes on anything? Anybody else loving Lockett as a big dog?  JK. 

1.10 units on Ngoudjo by 12 round decision (-110)
.25 units on DRAW (+2700) in Ngoudjo-M'baye
I think we see a close distance fight tonight and Ngoudjo should get some nice treatment tonight from the scorecards.

 Ngoudjo.

I don't know where the M'Baye action is coming from today but I'll take it.

GL this weekend

1.10 units on Ngoudjo by 12 round decision (-110)
.25 units on DRAW (+2700) in Ngoudjo-M'baye

Thanks Canadian Doc.  That eye definitely got bad fast and it didn't get any better throughout, appreciate your leniency.  I guess all Herman needed was one eye anyway, he out hustled M'baye to win 116-112 on my card.

Saturday
.25 of a unit on Sinclair (+850) vs Petrucci
Sinclair does have KO power and a large height edge here.  I don't think he should be this big of a dog in this spot against the unproven Petrucci.  Though the last time I saw him he was stopped by that weird shot on FNF.

.25 of a unit on the DRAW (+2600) in Mora-Forrest
Maybe I hit my Draw jackpot after some close calls.

1 unit on Juan Manuel Lopez by decision (+300)
I decided to just go solo with Juan Ma by decision.  I think he squeaks out a close one as long as he doesn't let DPDL take it off of activity alone.  DPDL will be very dangerous early, hopefully Lopez will get into his rhythm quickly.  I went with thegreek decision play at the lower line because I think butts pose a decent chance of opening something up in this one.

Good luck on all of your plays.

I don't know what to think of Quintana-Williams.  Tough fight to call IMO.  I can see why both sides are being backed, maybe a bit more for Quintana backers.  I think it's very close again.

Don't know much about those UFC guys you mentioned, but I did see where Alves came in overweight.

Good luck to you on all but DPDL.  I agree his chin is top notch, that wasn't what I was banking on being the reason he loses.  I think Juan Ma has the power to keep him honest and the quicks to outscore him.  I have absolutely no feel for the Williams-Quintana fight, it just depends on if you think that Williams completely underestimated him and if so can he adjust because Quintana was landing cleanly all night.

Sounds like a plan.  I love having the problem of to much boxing on TV.

.25 of a unit on Sinclair (+850) vs Petrucci 
Reads like Sinclair lost a UD of the competitive variety.  I knew he wouldn't be winning a decision there anyway,  I wonder if he ever hurt Petrucci.

Nice 2-1 UFC card.  I guess Hughes should probably hang them up now.

Good luck tonight.

WOW!!!!

Props to Williams backers.  What a demolition.



Needless to say the Punisher came to make a statement tonight.

What a statement by Juan Ma.  I thought he would win, but not like that.  One thing I thought DPDL did have was a solid chin.

Forrest was a dead man walking late.  My draw has a chance here.

Son of a.........

I thought I had the draw for a second there.  Man, I have had some tough draw beats this year.

Congrats to Mora and Mora backers.

He still had more energy that Big Brown

Yep turned out to be a short night of boxing.  Pretty wild that three fights didn't get past the 3rd with two ending in the 1st tonight.

Yeah, we all knew Pavlik would dominate, but I did think he may at least see the 5th.  Lockett got beatdown bad.

Forest was just dead, from about the 8th round he was running on fumes.

I didn't see his intro.  Was it that kung-fu motion that he always does?

Yep, the draw beats have been rough this year.

i ended up watching the 2 SHO fights then pavlik then the 1st hbo fight...not too many rounds of action for 4 fights

 

the 2 1st rd KOs were exciting though