Plays for the Week

2006 Results (March-July): +19.2 units (+$1,920)
2007 Results: +42.25 units (+$4,225)
Last Week: -2.30 units (-$230)
2008 to Date: -21.18 units (-$2,118)

Another step back last week.  Looks like we got a consensus on the board with the under in the Alvarado fight.  I am on that also, both can punch and both aren't hard to find.   I'm also on the Tyner-Mike under; hopefully, Mighty Mike does a little less posing tonight and Tyner's aggressive style forces a fight out of this one which leads to a stoppage either way.

1.60 units on under 9.5 rounds (+175) in Alvarado-Rosales
.80 of a unit on under 9.5 rounds (+210) in Mike-Tyner

Good luck to all.

Futures....

Added some more action on Branco and took a piece of the Hatton under.

1 unit on Branco (+310) vs Lynes
1 unit on Branco (+270) vs Lynes
1 unit on Branco (+280) vs Lynes
1.25 units on Hatton-Juan under 10.5 rounds (+105)

The first Branco bet should read +350.  Couldn't remember at first what opener I got at the dimes.

Yeah that guy that wrote that for fightnews could not have been ringside. Alvarado was landing all the big shots, they weren't really trading at all. I thought the stoppage was OK, it certainly would have ended very soon.

Why so tall on Branco (or anti Lynes) Fullbrights?

TIA
bigeiii

Appreciate it guys.  Definitely agree on the fightnews recap being wrong, I watched the fight this morning and thought Rosales looked to be in bad shape.  Agree Mayweather, Rosales never looked to be in the fight at all really.

Just WAY too much value to ignore on this play and I think it's worth going larger than normal on.  I think -300 Lynes would be a bit of a reach even if the fight were in the UK.  I see this as no more than an even money matchup in Italy.  It's not that Branco is great or anything, but Lynes is just as average and as ordinary as they come though he is pretty active with his punches.  Lynes isn't a puncher by any means and Branco should get every benefit of the doubt on the cards in Italy which has had a good many dubious decisions in the past.

1.60 units under 9.5 rounds (+175) in Alvarado-Rosales
That was pretty one sided.  I guess now it won't be long before one of the major networks puts Alvarado on, it's time for him to move on from these Telefutura cards.
.80 of a unit on under 9.5 rounds (+210) in Mike-Tyner
Thought it had a chance in the 7th I think it was when Tyner really wasn't throwing back.  A lot better Mighty Mike last night then the mannequin we saw in the ring against Holt.

Added a Witter decision play.....
.80 of a unit on Witter by 12 round decision (+164)
I saw where a couple of guys on the board were backing Bradley.  I agree that the odds may be a little wide, but Witter's style should lead to a semi-competitive UD victory imo.  Bradley has decent quicks, but he really isn't a puncher and his conventional style should bode well for Junior.

.80 of a unit on Witter by 12 round decision (+164)
Props to all Bradley backers.  He dealt well with Witter's sometimes tricky style.  Gotta say I was impressed with Timothy, he had appeared quick but pretty ordinary the 3-4 times that I had seen him, but he seemed to take it to another level Saturday night.  In hindsight I should have probably played both by decision.

  Won 1.2 units for the week.