Plays for the Week

All plays and units wagered posted
2006 Results (March-July): +19.2 units (+$1,920)
2007 Results: +42.25 units (+$4,225)
Last Week: -.20 of a unit (-$20)
2008 to Date: -4 units (-$400)

Pretty large slate of action, too be honest with you I have been looking more at the future odds that came out then what we have going this weekend.

Here is what I am down on for this weekend.

Tonight
.75 of a unit on Clay by 10rd decision (+195)
I think Aiken's moment in the sun is up and he is back to journeyman status.  In my mind he's lost three in a row. I thought he lost to Carbajal.

.10 of a unit on the Draw in Meza Clay-Aiken(+2000)
Just in case Clay loses. 

3 Fight Parlay
.75 to win 1.79 units
Angulo (-410)
Bruseles (-550)
Gorres (+130)

Back with the rest of the weekend later, gotta run.

I agry on Angulo & Bruseles. Kan't find a side on the Z vs. Vic deal.

Also have "Shhhhhh..." Silence. No guns, Jennings & the Wlad killer CS.

GLA!
bigeiii

Interesting to see that MMC is the bigger guy 2nite (Toledo Scales). Maybe this move down will fix him up? As I've gotten a lotta stuff on his less that perfect eating & training habits.

GLA!
bigeiii

I'm probably on Clay to win. I'd be scared to fade the KO on a guy coming off of one.

Angulo (-410)

Excellent u.card fight on FNF's.

& in other boxing news: Yory Boy Campus got beat in his 8 millionth fight in Helsinki.

& Burseles just won via TKO on his hometurf.


bigeiii

Not Bigeiii, but Fightnews.com.

Yeah, very good undercard fight there.  I thought the protected Midwesterner's 0 was about to go, but he showed guts.  It won't be long though, he got hit a lot.

Meza clay looks sharp to me - maybe it's more of a factor of Aiken just looking lethargic and boring, like a FNF version of Smoke Gainer.  I used to hate seeing him on undercards.

Saturday Plays

.50 of a unit on over 9.5 rounds (+168) in Mabuza-Sonsona
Admittedly I know nothing about Sonsona except what his record suggests, for one that he's never been stopped.  Sonsona appears to be a boxer based off of his KO ratio and although he is VERY young he's been 12 three times and 10 six times.  Based off of records alone he appears that he is one of these Asian fighters that is thrown into the fire early and asked to prove himself.  This is more a play against Mabuza not being able to stop someone who has never been stopped.  I think Mabuza is getting old and those Marquez fights took a lot out of him, I didn't even think he looked that good against Ricardo Vargas in between those two.

.20 of a unit on Minter (+600) vs Jennings
A throwaway value bet here.  I lost on Minter vs Curiel on the Contender card when he was stopped in the last round ahead on the cards.  I think Alan's son has some decent talent and Jennings is staying on a domestic British level for a reason.  These odds are too wide in my opinion, but my opinion hasn't been too good of late.  Hopefully Ross will look a bit like his Pops tomorrow night.

Good call on not taking the decision prop, that wasn't the same Meza Clay I had seen before, dropping down in weight appears to have been good for his power and I was very impressed in how much he has improved.

MMC was much better than expected. Busted 2 parlays for me as well. Aiken looked a bit shot as well; as those chopping body shots did some real work as that one wore on.

I'm dubious that MMC is cut of Title timber; but I am sure that's the best I've seen him.

bigeiii

.75 of a unit on Clay by 10rd decision (+195)
.10 of a unit on the Draw in Meza Clay-Aiken(+2000)

Well he sent Aiken back to journeyman status like I said, just earlier than I thought.  Should have taken Clay SU, but of course hindsight is always 20/20.  Clay was much improved tonight and I really thought Aiken would do more work than he did from the outside.  Though not to take away from Clay's performance he showed more authority on his punches, better head movement, and his body work was very nice tonight.

Forgot to run down all the futures that I'm on now..

1.85 units on Pavlik (-185) vs Taylor (Waiting to see what the odds do before adding more)
3 units on Castillo (+130) vs Montiel
2.8 units on over 10.5 rounds (-140) in Valuev-White Wolf
1 unit on Hopkins (+250) vs Calzaghe

A long shot future parlay that will last a while (I hit both of these last year that I did, so we will see what 2008 brings)
.50 of a unit to win 5.14
Barrett (-700)
Williams (-650)
Pavlik (-185)
Klitschko (-600)
Guerrero (-780)
Marquez (+160)
Peter (-460)
Margarito (-300)

3 Fight Parlay
.75 to win 1.79 units
Angulo (-410)
Bruseles (-550)
Gorres (+130)

Angulo just doesn't like going rounds on Shobox does he?  A fun fighter to watch, but I'd like to see him extended a bit for a better look.  I'll take getting nearly 2.5-1 on Gorres.

Ya sorry man, you definitely had the right idea on this fight. I thought Aiken was a greater risk to quit than actually be overwhelmed. I definitely can't bet against a hometown fighter on FNF though.

I'm getting down again huge on Pavlik, the KO prop could be interesting. What are your thoughts on Peter and JMM?

Fullbrights: Nice call on Pavlik and Castillo.  I'm gonna be at the fight, and I'm planning on a three-leg parlay of Mijares, Pavlik, and Castillo, which pays at +350.  I love Castillo at dog odds (as you know, I'm not a fan of Montiel).

Forgot to get back over here on Sunday with all of the Super Bowl excitement and update.

.50 of a unit on over 9.5 rounds (+168) in Mabuza-Sonsona
.20 of a unit on Minter (+600) vs Jennings

3 Fight Parlay
.75 to win 1.79 units (Ended up winning .35 with the draw)
Angulo (-410)
Bruseles (-550)
Gorres (+130)

.50 of a unit to win 5.14
Barrett (-700)
Williams (-650)
Pavlik (-185)
Klitschko (-600)
Guerrero (-780)
Marquez (+160)
Peter (-460)
Margarito (-300)

Lost 1.2 units for the week.