Plays for the Week

Last 3 years posted at Covers: +61.53 units (+$6,153)
2009: -4.02 units (-$402)

Bad week last week, I don't even think the plaster of Paris wrap would have made a difference.  Marg should be blackballed from the sport if it's true.  Onto this weekend.  At first glace I liked Herman in his backyard but he has been hurt before and I thought Randall Bailey was able to hurt him and I feel deserved the decision.  I think Urango's body work catches up with Herman and he sinks him in deep water.

1 unit on Urango ITD (+233)
1 unit on Urango by KO/TKO/DQ (+250)
.30 of a unit on Urango by KO in 11th (+2400)

.35 of a unit on Spivey ITD (+818)
I think it's worth a flier, he has fought some much better opposition then Decarie and while he has lost he has always proven durable.  I think it's worth a throwaway bet that he catches him with something.

1.5 units on under 9.5 rounds (+250) in Spivey-Decarie
Decarie is the bigger guy even though he isn't that big of a puncher and I'm sure Spivey knows he knows he has to go for the KO early on or risk being boxed and counter punched to death,  He may decide to pack it in at 35 if his blitzkrieg doesn't work and he tires due to his inactivity.

1.5 units on under 9.5 rounds (+250) in Spivey-Decarie
.35 of a unit on Spivey ITD (+818)

Well that sucks big time, if you would have given me just even odds on the under after second point deduction I would have taken it.  It was not to be though, still think there was value with the circumstances.  No value in a loser though.

Call it group think love.  More on Urango ITD.  Had to.

1 more unit on Urango ITD (+220)

I think the body work does it.

.50 of a unit on the DRAW (+1700) in Ngoudjo-Urango
Just in case Urango "wins" a decision.

Well I've finally calmed down from the main event tonight, I loved the play before hand, I loved the ITD plays after 3 rounds, I loved the ITD plays after 6 rounds, I liked the ITD plays after 9 rounds, but I hated them when the final bell rang.  This one stung; if you would have told me pre-fight that Urango drops Herman more than once, works Herman's body over, and has Herman on the ropes for a significant amount of the fight I would have said know way does it see the final bell.  Very rough FNF.

1 unit on Urango ITD (+233)
1 unit on Urango by KO/TKO/DQ (+250)
1 more unit on Urango ITD (+220)
.30 of a unit on Urango by KO in 11th (+2400)
.50 of a unit on the DRAW (+1700) in Ngoudjo-Urango

A clean sweep of losers tonight.   Rough start to 09' so far.

Well last night sucked hard.  Congrats to those who cashed on Urango straight, tough one to swallow.

Took a flyer on the home town guy in Argentina tomorrow.
1.65 units on Sergio Jose Sanders (-110) vs Lopez

Also added a long shot parlay and Maidana for next week.
.45 of a unit to win 9.85
Solis (-260)
Ramirez-Kats under 7.5 (-155)
Jose Sanders (-110)
Maidana (+155)
Narvaez (-500)
Vic D (-370)
Pavlik ITD (-283)

2.5 units on Maidana (+145) vs Kotelnik

Tough FNF, but that Maidana play looks very good.