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Pavlik vs Hopkins

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Posted: #1
I don't know, but I "think" the public will continue to pile on the points handicap.
 
Currently at 5 Dimes, HC is Ghost -13.5 -115, down from -15.5 a few days ago.
 
Personally, I think Ghost wins tonight and wins decisively enough to get over the points line.  Hopkins is a farking master at keeping in any fight, but his age has caught up with him.  Pavlik is no Winky Wright.
 
-400 chalk on Ghost is just too much for boxing, but I may use that chalk to buy points in some college football today and write down the chalk.
 
Should be a lot of fun.
 
Cheers
 
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Posted: #2
WRONG!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
 
Public piling all over Pavlik's HC now.
 
Damnable, damnable, absolutely hellish.
 
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Posted: #3
I show -14.5 at 5D
 
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Posted: #4
Yep, Hat, it's climbling, too.
 
"Thought" the trend was down this AM, so held off on taking it, cause I was "hoping" to get a lower spread.
 
If public is laying these points against someone like Hopkins, it is a no bet for me.
 
I see Vegas clowning the public, as usual, in the end with this handicap as "B-Hop" somehow keeps this thing close.
 
As for now, no bet for me.  No way in hell am I laying -400 in a gd boxing match, and I don't want to be on the same side as the public.
 
Yeah, I think "Ghost" wins, but it will be ugly, ugly, ugly.
 
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Posted: #5
Even 14.5 is crazy if it's a straight -110 prop.. that better be +250ish to even think about it. Even though it covers a ko win, if it goes to the cards you don't see a Golden Boy fighter getting at least one good card in Vegas? A 117-11 win across the board wouldn't happen even if he shut him out for 12 rounds....

 
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Posted: #6
Quote Originally Posted by walktheline:

Even 14.5 is crazy if it's a straight -110 prop.. that better be +250ish to even think about it. Even though it covers a ko win, if it goes to the cards you don't see a Golden Boy fighter getting at least one good card in Vegas? A 117-11 win across the board wouldn't happen even if he shut him out for 12 rounds....



The fights not in Vegas.  Atlantic City tonight.
 
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Posted: #7
Quote Originally Posted by claycourtlesson:

Yep, Hat, it's climbling, too.
 
"Thought" the trend was down this AM, so held off on taking it, cause I was "hoping" to get a lower spread.
 
If public is laying these points against someone like Hopkins, it is a no bet for me.
 
I see Vegas clowning the public, as usual, in the end with this handicap as "B-Hop" somehow keeps this thing close.
 
As for now, no bet for me.  No way in hell am I laying -400 in a gd boxing match, and I don't want to be on the same side as the public.
 
Yeah, I think "Ghost" wins, but it will be ugly, ugly, ugly.

Man oh man did the public get clowned tonight.

Public plays in NFL week 7 probably also get clowned at a 2 to 1.

 
 
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Posted: #8
WOW!!!!    Congrats Hopkins!!
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