Montell Griffin v. Glen Johnson

This is the next fight that my book (Matchbook) has listed.

What are people's thoughts on this fight?

Johnson is a big favorite, but is there any value in Griffin.  Admittedly, I haven't seen either of these boxers actually fight.  I've only read recaps of fights.

Anyone?

Fight is on May 16th.

O/U for rounds is 11.5.

I have already played the following.  I fully expect a distance fight here, all signs point to a Johnson win, but I saw a good bit of value in the Griffin decision play.  This is in all likelihood is Griffin's last stand to still be a serious player in the division or call it a day, should be inspired.

.25 of a unit on Griffin by 12rd Decision (+567) vs Johnson
1.6 units on Over 11.5 rounds (-160) in Johnson-Griffin