Posted:
#1
YTD: 7 plays, +5.7 units
Junior Witter vs. Vivian Harris
Harris (+190)
1.5 units
Before getting knocked out by Carlos Maussa in June 2005, Harris had been on a roll, winning nine straight fights, and many considered him one of the best fighters in the 140-pound division. Since the loss to Maussa, Harris has won three straight, including a KO victory over Stevie Johnston and a unanimous decision over Juan Lazcano. The loss to Maussa could be attributed to Harris tiring after going for an early KO, and he seems to have learned from his mistake. Also, Harris still has a few years left on his career, as he's only 29 years old. Meanwhile, Witter is four years older than Harris, and his boxing skills seem to be on a slight decline. Although a knockout victory over Arturo Morua is very impressive, Witter seemed to struggle at times against Chop-chop Corley in September 2006. And his unanimous decision victory lost some of its shine when Corley got knocked out by unheralded Nicaraguan Jose Alfaro in his next fight. At this point in their respective careers, I like Harris in peak form over an aging Witter. Also, Harris' four-inch height advantage is nice plus, especially when you're getting +190 odds.
Antonio Escalante vs. Feider Viloria
Viloria +300
0.33 unit
Although the Colombian Viloria has fought crappy opponents in his home country, he's knocked out four of the last five. The 24-year-old will be aggressive against 22-year-old Escalante, who showed that he has some chin issues in a KO loss to Mauricio Pastrana. Although Pastrana got knocked down in the fifth and eighth rounds, he came back from the second knockdown to put away the overly aggressive Escalante. Like Viloria, Pastrana is Colombian, so the Colombian come-forward, free-swinging style obviously can give Escalante problems. If Viloria catches Escalante, he could get stopped. Although Escalante has to be the favorite in the fight, I see a Viloria play at +300 being worth a small risk.
Lamont Peterson vs. Frankie Santos
Under 9.5 (+130)
1 unit
Even though Peterson only has 9 KO's in 21 bouts, he overwhelmed an outclassed John Brown for a stoppage in his last fight. Because Santos is a similarly outclassed opponent, a TKO victory is likely tonight. Santos is 1-3-1 in his last five fights, with two of those losses being stoppages. Also, Santos has only fought twice since being knocked out by Francisco Bojado in 2003, and he scored a draw against an opponent with a 4-2-2 record in his last fight. Moreover, Santos got knocked out in the fourth round by Rogelio Castaneda, Jr., in 2001, and Castaneda isn't known as a knockout artist (8 KOs in 23 bouts). Peterson's not a huge puncher, but he's such a superior boxer that I'd be very surprised if Santos goes the distance.
Junior Witter vs. Vivian Harris
Harris (+190)
1.5 units
Before getting knocked out by Carlos Maussa in June 2005, Harris had been on a roll, winning nine straight fights, and many considered him one of the best fighters in the 140-pound division. Since the loss to Maussa, Harris has won three straight, including a KO victory over Stevie Johnston and a unanimous decision over Juan Lazcano. The loss to Maussa could be attributed to Harris tiring after going for an early KO, and he seems to have learned from his mistake. Also, Harris still has a few years left on his career, as he's only 29 years old. Meanwhile, Witter is four years older than Harris, and his boxing skills seem to be on a slight decline. Although a knockout victory over Arturo Morua is very impressive, Witter seemed to struggle at times against Chop-chop Corley in September 2006. And his unanimous decision victory lost some of its shine when Corley got knocked out by unheralded Nicaraguan Jose Alfaro in his next fight. At this point in their respective careers, I like Harris in peak form over an aging Witter. Also, Harris' four-inch height advantage is nice plus, especially when you're getting +190 odds.
Antonio Escalante vs. Feider Viloria
Viloria +300
0.33 unit
Although the Colombian Viloria has fought crappy opponents in his home country, he's knocked out four of the last five. The 24-year-old will be aggressive against 22-year-old Escalante, who showed that he has some chin issues in a KO loss to Mauricio Pastrana. Although Pastrana got knocked down in the fifth and eighth rounds, he came back from the second knockdown to put away the overly aggressive Escalante. Like Viloria, Pastrana is Colombian, so the Colombian come-forward, free-swinging style obviously can give Escalante problems. If Viloria catches Escalante, he could get stopped. Although Escalante has to be the favorite in the fight, I see a Viloria play at +300 being worth a small risk.
Lamont Peterson vs. Frankie Santos
Under 9.5 (+130)
1 unit
Even though Peterson only has 9 KO's in 21 bouts, he overwhelmed an outclassed John Brown for a stoppage in his last fight. Because Santos is a similarly outclassed opponent, a TKO victory is likely tonight. Santos is 1-3-1 in his last five fights, with two of those losses being stoppages. Also, Santos has only fought twice since being knocked out by Francisco Bojado in 2003, and he scored a draw against an opponent with a 4-2-2 record in his last fight. Moreover, Santos got knocked out in the fourth round by Rogelio Castaneda, Jr., in 2001, and Castaneda isn't known as a knockout artist (8 KOs in 23 bouts). Peterson's not a huge puncher, but he's such a superior boxer that I'd be very surprised if Santos goes the distance.
(+1.3 units)
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