Posted:
#1
Let's just start off by saying what a MATCHUP. Glad to see this fight happening....Okay this matchup has been dissected to bits and Canelo almost looks like he is the bigger man now.
It's unknown how this effects his stamina but he tends to fight in spurts and throws flashy judge friendly combinations. And lets also make it clear that GGG is fighting on Canelo's "home" turf. The fans will go nuts for anything Canelo does and it may affect the judges. Most people are talking about KOs but I only see this fight going to the scorecards. 2 out of 3 judges have also given Canelo questionable scorecards (vs mayweather, lara, cotto).
I think GGG will choose to box early and use his superior jab to control the fight. I also think Canelo will fade a bit in the 2nd half and GGG will win the later rounds clearly.
That being said I think the safer play is to play the OVER 11.5 and throwing some on GGG by decisions at +400 (the judges scare me so putting more on the over 11.5)
Over 11.5
GGG by Decision +400
BOL
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