Big Play for UFC 73, and a few small plays

Sherk/Franca UNDER 4.5 rounds (+130)....In the fights I've watched, Franca seems to get tired out easily.  He's still a dangerous fighter when he gasses, but I don't see how he could go 25 minutes with Sherk's relentless style.  I think Hermes has a shot at the upset but he would have to get it done early.  The bottom line is I just don't see how Franca could go all five rounds.  If Sherk is able to take Franca down and control the fight from the ground, I don't see how Franca will be able to defend Sherks ground n' pound.  I don't see this one going over three rounds.  (but I have been wrong before)

 

 

Small plays on:

 

You've got a good shot at the UNDER here.

 

Sure Sherk can go 25 rounds with his cardio training.

 

Sherk can very easily ground and pound Franca as you mentioned, but Franca can just as easily submit Sherk.

 

GOOD LUCK

I watched the weigh-ins and Franca was in the best shape I have seen him in.  Just because your abs are ripped doesnt necesarily translate into good cardio, but nonetheless, Franca looked better than he ever has.

 

Good luck!

Adding:

 

Saraieva +180....This is more of a play against Gurgel.