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LeagueCapper
LeagueCapper
NFL Betting / 2nd half / View Post
Kyle Shanahan just owned mike McCarthy in the 1h with CJ Breathard, in Lambeau, and despite a -2 turnover margin.

I usually don't play 2nd halfs, but i'm going to bite on this.

49ers +7 2nd half (2x)
LeagueCapper
LeagueCapper

NFL YTD: 47-20 ATS +61.90 Units

Nothing for me tonight, week 6 is behind us and we look forward to next Sunday. 

Boy did the Ravens look dominant yesterday. Preseason I mentioned the only two teams that have a chance of winning in New England in the playoffs would be Baltimore and KC and I still feel the same way today. Wondering what the Pats futures look like when they get released tomorrow. Anyone else take them when they were +300 AFC +900 Superbowl when they were 1-2 and the 'sky was falling'?

LeagueCapper
LeagueCapper
Quote Originally Posted by Jailbait7127:

long term profit is the goal. these kids don't understand. GL LC!

Agreed, people look too much into 1 play here or there. I only care about what we finish at at the end of the year.

Thx mate 
St2ee
St2ee
Good hits brotha
LeagueCapper
LeagueCapper
Terrible pick on Oakland, but Tampa was the right side. 2 turnovers inside the 10 yard line, a missed extra point, and a 57 yarder that killed it. 9 unit swing there which hurts, but gotta move on.

4-5   -3.97  with 4x on the Patriots pending.

Like the Pats to come out strong tonight, sticking with the 4 units. Not playing MNF or TNF this week. Hopefully we hit New England and look forward to a stronger Sunday next week.

Locking in Oakland early in the week was a bad decision, as I liked them less and less as the week went on. Noted and will be corrected moving forward

Enjoy the game 2nite every1, go Pats


LeagueCapper
LeagueCapper
Still can't believe they tried a 57 yard field goal instead of going for it on 4th and 2 or punting 
LeagueCapper
LeagueCapper
FFS Atlanta
LeagueCapper
LeagueCapper
Extremely upset with the Oakland pick, I liked their matchup but got hesitant later in the week after thinking about travel situations and the London factor. Gruden a complete no show what a fool, shoulda backed out completely, absolutely my fault. Frustrated with that decision but okay with the rest so far

Bucs covering despite 2 turnovers inside the 10 yard line. Hoping they hold on 
vanzack
vanzack
Mock
18-5-2
Last Week: 4-1

Bucs +3.5
Jets -2.5
Jags -3
Ravens -2.5
Pats -3.5
LeagueCapper
LeagueCapper
Quote Originally Posted by asmth14:

LC...what is your opinion on the Steeler / Bengal game if you had to give a lean? 

Was thinking Steelers may win easy and hoping that would be one of your plays.

Thanks for your time.


I don't think the Steelers fixed their problems just from 1 week beating a bad Atlanta team. I think they will be better after the bye next week. Normally I'd back Cincinnati here, but I can't trust Dalton in a big game either and they are pretty injured. Pass for me as I can see either team winning
LeagueCapper
LeagueCapper
Quote Originally Posted by Ikid2groove035:

I don’t think New England is a good team - got crush vs Jacksonville/Detroit - could of easily lost week 1 vs Houston - they beat up on 2 average team at home -  I just don’t see how New England defense can stop KC offense Sunday night - I’m sure patriots score plenty- but there not out-scoring this KC offense - Bottom line Bill Belichick lost the super bowl because of defense - and he really didn’t do anything in the offseason - 2 fix this problem - Maybe the worst pass rush in the NFL- 


lol what? You can't use the "they haven't beat anyone" argument with a team that's in the Superbowl basically every year. It's not like the team is much different than it was last year. Did they not beat anyone in 2017? What about 2016?

Plus, their top pass rusher and top linebacker wasn't even on the team last year. So yes, they did improve their defense
LeagueCapper
LeagueCapper
Quote Originally Posted by Johnny_Covers:

Great run sir...good luck this weekend.
Did you buy back Seahawks at -3 since you downgraded your Raiders play from 5units to 3units? 

Correct
LeagueCapper
LeagueCapper
Quote Originally Posted by tchamps:

So many reasons for me to tag along LC's Bucs pick.   Freeman out for Falcons, Winston in for Bucs.  He got some air under his legs during that Bears blowout against top 2 defense.  Now he gets to play the horrific Falcons team in a dome.  A divisional game that he is used to playing tight with, not to mention he has the most to prove right now going forward if he wants to cherish his career on the Bucs or elsewhere.   Say what you want but he looked great in preseason, better than Fitz looked.  Yes Fitz caught fire but Winston should be way more stable.  On top of that I feel like The Falcons offense will get some fatigue now.  They've had to battle it out each and every week and seldom walked away with a win.  Only a matter of time when that engine doesn't start anymore due to no more gas in the tank.   On the opposite end Bucs got embarrassed against the Bears and even Mike Smith is caught up in the pressure now.  If anyone has a bounce back game its the Bucs here.  The falcons have had multiple chances for bounce back games and failed over and over.


Yep, good thoughts
LeagueCapper
LeagueCapper
Quote Originally Posted by In2it:

League Capper thanks for posting.

Anyone that has backed all of the home dogs in the NFL this year would have almost as good of a record and you do.

Do you have any statistics on road favorites playing their 3rd straight road game?  The Titans getting points at home where they are 2-0 from a Ravens team that is 1-2 on the road that is traveling for their 3rd straight game would seem to be a good spot for the Titans, but not when you make it a (4X) play on the Ravens.  Do you have an concerns about this being the Ravens 3rd straight road game.

BOL this week!!!

ATS:24-24-1 (-0.81, 50.0%)

I don't, considering Harbaugh will not be happy with a 1-2 record on this road trip. Lots of other intangibles favoring Baltimore in this matchup as well
LeagueCapper
LeagueCapper
Quote Originally Posted by bpickin:

First off let me say: I would love to see the Bucs win this week becuase ihave them over 6.5 RSW.... however, how come you aren’t worried about an Atlanta bounce back off a major blowout? I have noticed in recent years that “good” teams tend to bounce back the following week after getting blown out.... steelers dropped 40+ on them...

I won’t be be betting this game becuase of my futures circumstance, but a little feedback would be greatly appreciated as to why you like them so much. If you all ready discussed this somewhere else I am sorry for repetition, and if you could please direct me to that thread I thank you. Thanks again for all of your hard work and dedication to this forum. 

Atlanta has been in a bounce back spot all season and they are 1-4. Anyways, this is more of a play on the Bucs then it is fading Atlanta. 

Is there a team more motivated to get a win this Sunday then Tampa? Last two games Bucs lost on national TV, and lost 48-10 to Trubisky. They go in to their bye week with the worst defense in the league, and they've had 2 weeks to think about it. They get their starting QB back in the lineup.. Plus, I was already high on the Bucs heading into the season as is.

I expect to see a strong showing from them, and more effort on the defensive side.
LeagueCapper
LeagueCapper
Quote Originally Posted by tchamps:

Hey LC, BOL this week, though I doubt ya need it.   Just wondering how come ya never bet on the game totals?  


I follow each team very closely so my edge is on how they come out ATS
LeagueCapper
LeagueCapper
Quote Originally Posted by Digitalkarma:

not sure why but feels like a prime week for fave's to cover. only game im hesitant about is Texans. seems like a sandwich spot and dont trust Bill O Brien's lousy playcalling. 

nice card this week, liking Ravens and Pats. 
BOL LC

Thanks DK, you as well 
LeagueCapper
LeagueCapper

Oakland Raiders @ Seattle Seahawks

Don’t be fooled by the Seahawks close loss last week. The Seahawks, and the Seahawks without Earl Thomas are 2 completely different teams. The Rams, despite losing their top 2 WR’s in the first half, and despite throwing an interception at Seattle’s 2 yard line – still put up 468 yards, 30 first downs, and scored 33 points. 

This new Seahawks team will struggle mightily against high-powered offenses. I wasn’t super down on the Seahawks entering the year after most their D left because their defense is a system similar to the Patriots, and players have excelled as they are put in schemes and positions to play well. And with Earl Thomas still orchestrating the system , they were still a formidable opponent despite losing a ton of other key defenders. Through 4 games they even held a record of 2-2 despite three of those games being on the road. As we saw last week, that all goes out the window with ET out. The Rams were 1 play away from scoring 39 points on them despite Brandin Cooks and Cooper Kupp getting knocked out early. The Raiders don’t have a great defense, but they should have an easy time going up and down the field against Seattle. Note: Decided to cut this play from 5x to 3x due to the uncertainty of the game being played in London, as there’s just too many extra variables. Either way I still like Oakland, but for slightly less.

  • Raiders +3 -120 (3x) +130 (1x)
  • Bucs +4 -123 (4x)
  • Jets -1.5 (3x) 
  • Chargers PK (2x)
  • Texans -10 (1.5x)
  • Ravens -2.5 (4x)
  • Jags -3 (2x)
  • Jags TT Over 22 (1x)
  • Patriots -3 -125 (4x)
  • Bucs +10 / Jets +7 -120 (1.5x)

NFL YTD: 43-15 ATS +65.87 Units

LeagueCapper
LeagueCapper
Quote Originally Posted by LeagueCapper:

Will get it back this Sunday, congrats to those on Eagles 

0-3 -4.5

NFL YTD: 43-15 ATS +65.87 Units

We fine boys, we have winners coming 
LeagueCapper
LeagueCapper
Quote Originally Posted by WilliamMunny:


How’s your losing strategy working out for you and your giants D .. they have given up another 31 so far tonight. 

It’s actually doing quite well this year. Thanks for asking