Danny Garcia vs Daniel Gonzalez Predictions, Picks & Odds for October 18

Danny Garcia's historic career is coming to an end, and he'll have little trouble dismantling Gonzalez.

Danny Howard - Contributor at Covers.com
Danny Howard • Betting Analyst
Oct 18, 2025 • 09:00 ET • 4 min read
Danny Garcia (red trunks) and Brandon Rios (white trunks) box during a boxing match at Mandalay Bay Events Center. Garcia won via ninth round TKO.
Photo By - Imagn Images. Danny Garcia (red trunks) and Brandon Rios (white trunks) box during a boxing match at Mandalay Bay Events Center. Garcia won via ninth round TKO.

It’s farewell for Danny Garcia as the former champion winds down his career for his last fight at the Barclays Center against journeyman Daniel Gonzalez on October 18.

My Garcia vs. Gonzalez predictions expect him to pick up the win in his Brooklyn farewell.

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Garcia vs Gonzalez prediction and pick

Fight analysis
Former two-division champion Danny Garcia returns to Brooklyn for what could be one of the final chapters of a Hall of Fame career. At 37, Garcia appears more interested in closure than conquest, and Daniel Gonzalez is the kind of durable journeyman who gives him exactly that opportunity.

At his best, Garcia was one of the sport’s most complete counter-punchers. His signature left hook was a wrecking ball, and his sense of timing dismantled world-class opponents like Amir Khan, Erik Morales, and Paulie Malignaggi.

Never the fastest or flashiest fighter, Garcia’s success came from precision, ring IQ, and an unshakeable chin. But the years have dulled his reflexes and drive.

His failed middleweight title bid against Erislandy Lara ended with his first stoppage loss, and a year later, he dropped back to 154 pounds in hopes of ending his career on his terms.

Gonzalez, 35, brings effort but limited danger. His most recognizable bout remains a 2019 loss to Chris Algieri, and he’s spent recent years fighting regionally with mixed success against unknowns.

A busy, light-punching boxer, he relies on volume and durability more than skill or power. He’s coming up in weight and, like Garcia, has been inactive for a year since a win over fellow journeyman Michael Anderson.

Garcia’s foot speed and punch output were already slow, and ring rust could make it harder for him to get his motor going, but Gonzalez lacks the power or craft to capitalize. Garcia remains sharp enough to control range, pick his counters, and coast through.

The key to beating Garcia was to not give him a target and have him come forward, where he’s historically ineffective. However, it still took tactically sharp boxers like Lara and a prime Errol Spence to handily beat him.

Unless Garcia’s motivation completely collapses, he should outclass Gonzalez comfortably on skill and experience alone.

Best best analysis
Garcia isn’t the type to force knockouts, especially at this stage of his career. His power remains respectable under the right circumstances, but his killer instinct faded long ago, and Gonzalez is durable enough to last the trip.

Expect a by-the-book performance from Garcia. My best bet is Garcia straight up, and best used as a reliable parlay for your weekend betting. 

Danny Garcia vs Daniel Gonzalez odds

Method of victory Danny Garcia Daniel Gonzalez
Win outright -550 +360
Win by KO/TKO OTB OTB
Win by points or decision OTB OTB
Draw +1800 +1800

Odds courtesy of FanDuel as of 10-14.

Danny Garcia vs Daniel Gonzalez tale of the tape

Garcia   Gonzalez
37 Age 35
5-foot-8 Height 5-foot-8
Super welterweight Weight Class Super welterweight
68.5 inches Reach 68 inches
37-4 Record 22-4-1
21 Wins by KO 7

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Danny Howard - Covers.com
Betting Analyst

After a decade of covering all things boxing, from recapping the sport’s biggest fights to sharing behind-the-scenes details of the sweet science, Danny found himself immersed in sports betting, focusing on the sports he knows best. As a boxing and MMA contributor with seasoned experience from growing up around each sport, he can uncover the nuances and intangibles that can make the difference between victory and defeat.

Danny’s work has been mentioned on ESPN and USA Today, and he was a featured guest on The Esportz Network podcast, where he shared his combat sports insights. He is also a published author, with his novel And Stay Down! Boxing’s Worst Comebacks available on Amazon.

Danny is always on the lookout for the best odds and props when it comes to fight night, with Draft Kings and BetMGM being his go-to sites. Danny’s approach to finding value in the theater of the unexpected hinges on the fighters' recent form, especially when considering props.

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