It’s farewell for Danny Garcia as the former champion winds down his career for his last fight at the Barclays Center against journeyman Daniel Gonzalez on October 18.
My Garcia vs. Gonzalez predictions expect him to pick up the win in his Brooklyn farewell.
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Garcia vs Gonzalez prediction and pick
- My fight prediction: Garcia ML (-550 at FanDuel)
- My best bet: Garcia ML (-550)
Fight analysis
Former two-division champion Danny Garcia returns to Brooklyn for what could be one of the final chapters of a Hall of Fame career. At 37, Garcia appears more interested in closure than conquest, and Daniel Gonzalez is the kind of durable journeyman who gives him exactly that opportunity.
At his best, Garcia was one of the sport’s most complete counter-punchers. His signature left hook was a wrecking ball, and his sense of timing dismantled world-class opponents like Amir Khan, Erik Morales, and Paulie Malignaggi.
Never the fastest or flashiest fighter, Garcia’s success came from precision, ring IQ, and an unshakeable chin. But the years have dulled his reflexes and drive.
His failed middleweight title bid against Erislandy Lara ended with his first stoppage loss, and a year later, he dropped back to 154 pounds in hopes of ending his career on his terms.
Gonzalez, 35, brings effort but limited danger. His most recognizable bout remains a 2019 loss to Chris Algieri, and he’s spent recent years fighting regionally with mixed success against unknowns.
A busy, light-punching boxer, he relies on volume and durability more than skill or power. He’s coming up in weight and, like Garcia, has been inactive for a year since a win over fellow journeyman Michael Anderson.
Garcia’s foot speed and punch output were already slow, and ring rust could make it harder for him to get his motor going, but Gonzalez lacks the power or craft to capitalize. Garcia remains sharp enough to control range, pick his counters, and coast through.
The key to beating Garcia was to not give him a target and have him come forward, where he’s historically ineffective. However, it still took tactically sharp boxers like Lara and a prime Errol Spence to handily beat him.
Unless Garcia’s motivation completely collapses, he should outclass Gonzalez comfortably on skill and experience alone.
Best best analysis
Garcia isn’t the type to force knockouts, especially at this stage of his career. His power remains respectable under the right circumstances, but his killer instinct faded long ago, and Gonzalez is durable enough to last the trip.
Expect a by-the-book performance from Garcia. My best bet is Garcia straight up, and best used as a reliable parlay for your weekend betting.
Danny Garcia vs Daniel Gonzalez odds
Method of victory | Danny Garcia | Daniel Gonzalez |
---|---|---|
Win outright | -550 | +360 |
Win by KO/TKO | OTB | OTB |
Win by points or decision | OTB | OTB |
Draw | +1800 | +1800 |
Odds courtesy of FanDuel as of 10-14.
Danny Garcia vs Daniel Gonzalez tale of the tape
Garcia | Gonzalez | |
---|---|---|
37 | Age | 35 |
5-foot-8 | Height | 5-foot-8 |
Super welterweight | Weight Class | Super welterweight |
68.5 inches | Reach | 68 inches |
37-4 | Record | 22-4-1 |
21 | Wins by KO | 7 |
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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