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Thread Author ewillie169 Post Entries
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BUF +1 (2 units) - I’ll probably wait for the number to rise before placing a real bet. The angle here is the “fade the Thursday night winner the previous week”. That and Ryan’s record vs. the Pats (8-5 ATS). I also like that the public is pounding the Pats, i’ll side with the books who need to recover from the beating they took last week. SCORE: Patriots 21 - Bills 27 
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Quote Originally Posted by jwadd:

No Suh, Detroit bad on road, Romo playing at a new level.  Cowboys all day long -7.  You can thank me later.

Who can we thank for Suh winning his appeal?
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DET +7 - i like Detroit’s defense, again i’ll wait til game time to see if the number rises. SCORE: Lions 24 - Cowboys 28
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IND -4 - better Defensive Hog IndexI & RI, SCORE: Bengals 24 - Colts 31
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BAL +3 - (1.5 units) - I’ll wait til game time to see if i can get a higher number. SCORE: RAVENS 27-Steelers 24
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ARI +5.5 - I’ll wait til game time before i pull the trigger. SCORE: Cardinals 21 - Panthers 20
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MIL +3.5
gustosgoat
gustosgoat
This week will decide the AL West, the Angel in the lead going into this weekend.
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Wiseguys all over Seattle, line jumped to 4...i'm sticking with the niners.
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NE +5 - I like Manning but not his playoff record, I'm going with Belicek and Brady. SCORE: Patriots 30 - Broncos 33
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SF +3.5 - Tough to predict, with trends favoring both sides, tough to win 4 road games in 4 consecutive weeks, the crowd noise,  but Kaeps has multiple offensive weapons on track and seems to be ready to use his legs more effectively, Wilson seems to hesitate pulling the trigger lately, Lynch is unstoppable in beast mode,  I'll take the points. SCORE: Forty-niners 27- Seahawks 20.
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Covers
SF -1 (now at 2) - I caught -1 earlier this week but still think they'll cover with Crab. V.Davis and Aldon Smith back, i'll bet the niners on revenge mode this week. The last game between the 2 was lost by the niner O-line IMHO, they'll have to give Kaep more time if they expect to get by Carolina this week. SCORE: Forty-niners 24 - Panthers 20
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NO +8 - The Saints may not win and seem to have a chip on their shoulder for being dubbed a bad road team.  But with a decent game vs. the Panthers in week 16 and last week's road game, the Saints should keep it close if not outright win.  SCORE: Saints 20 - Seahawks 24
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SD +10 - i might even place a bet on the ML to boot. Bolts #23 defense (#19 strength of schedule) at Denver #19 defense (#24 strength of schedule) = even match up, i'll take the points. SCORE Chargers 27 - Broncos 33
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IND +7.5 - Indianapolis #20 defense (#11 strength of schedule) at New England #26 defense (#21 strength of schedule) = Colt win and cover. SCORE: Colts 24 - Patriots 27
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SF -2.5 (now 3) - grabbed the 2.5 earlier but still like the niners to cover.  Everybody and his mother's brother is on SF including Coherd's pick of them winning the SB along with the other talking heads as someone mentioned, that gives me some pause. What decided it for me was the differential in the Defensive Hog Index (1 vs 17 rank). Kaep hasn't impressed me the down the stretch and Rogers is only in his second game back from his injury so i'll go with the defensive stat for my money. SCORE: Forty-niners 27 - Packers 20
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SD +7 - the spread appears to be too high, while the Bungles will most likely win I like Rivers' ATS as an underdog 28-17 in games after Nov. 17.  SCORE: Chargers 21 - Bengals 27
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NO +2.5 - i don't like the Saints road record, but i'll side with their D to keep Foles in check in his first playoff game as a favorite, not a good situation vs the veteran Brees.  Line seems fishy, i'll wait to see if it steams to 3 later in the week. SCORE: Saints 33-Eagles 21.
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KC +2.5 - I'll wait til gametime to see if i can get a 3 or more. I'll be betting on KC's defense to keep it close.  SCORE: Chiefs 20 - Colts 21
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DEN -10 - The Bolts are 1-11 ATS off 1 or more straight overs during the last 2 seasons.  Denver meanwhile has covered 11 of last 13 in reg. season at home, and with Manning and crew motivated by post-season standings with Brady and Belichick hot on their heals for HFA, i like Denver to cover.  The OVER may be the better play. SCORE: Chargers 21-Broncos 34

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