NFL Power Rankings: Week 1

By Teddy Covers - Covers Expert

Teddy Covers is back for another season of NFL Power Rankings. The Denver Broncos may be the oddsmakers' Super Bowl favorite but they're behind two NFC West powers heading in Week 1 of the 2013-14 schedule. Find out where your favorite NFL team sits as the season opens.

NFL Power Rankings

Week 1 Rank Last Week Change Team W-L-T
(ATS)
Power Rating Team Comments
1 0-0-0
(0-0-0)
-8.0 San Francisco
The defending NFC Champs retained their coaching staff and core talent in the offseason while shoring up their secondary and their receiving corps.
2 0-0-0
(0-0-0)
-8.0 Seattle
Russell Wilson has been getting teams to overachieve since his NC State days. Pete Carroll has been getting teams to overachieve since early in his USC tenure. Together, they�re dynamite.
3 0-0-0
(0-0-0)
-7.0 Denver
Yes, there are questions about the pass rush without Von Miller for the first six games now that Elvis Dumervil is in Baltimore. But Denver is a clear choice at the top of the AFC anyway.
4 0-0-0
(0-0-0)
-6.5 Green Bay
Aaron Rodgers' QB rating of 108.0 was the best in the NFL last year, despite taking an NFL-high 51 sacks over the course of the season.
5 0-0-0
(0-0-0)
-6.0 New England
The concerns surrounding Tom Brady's chemistry (or the lack thereof) with his rebuilt receiving corps were on full display during New England's ugly 'regular season walkthrough' 40-9 loss.
6 0-0-0
(0-0-0)
-4.5 Atlanta
The Falcons' schedule from last year to this year got much tougher - the single biggest percentage differential in the entire league based on 2013 season win totals.
7 0-0-0
(0-0-0)
-4.5 Houston
The Texans have won a playoff game in each of the last two years. Spending big free-agent dollars on aging leader Ed Reed tells us clearly that expectations are even higher for 2013.
8 0-0-0
(0-0-0)
-3.5 Baltimore
Before the Ravens got hot in the playoffs they were a good, but not great squad in terms of both record and stats. I had them ranked ninth in my final regular season power ratings.
9 0-0-0
(0-0-0)
-3.0 N.Y. Giants
Based on my power rating for each opponent on the week that the game was played, the Giants faced the single toughest schedule in the NFL last year by a wide margin.
10 0-0-0
(0-0-0)
-2.5 New Orleans
The Saints defense was historically bad last year, allowing an NFL worst 6.5 yards per play. New defensive coordinator Rob Ryan was practically run out of town at his last stop in Dallas.
11 0-0-0
(0-0-0)
-2.0 Chicago
Mark Trestman's offense took two years to fully implement for the Montreal Alouettes. After watching Jay Cutler throw picks and take sacks in August, it might not be any faster in Chicago.
12 0-0-0
(0-0-0)
-2.0 Pittsburgh
Mike Tomlin's squad had a field goal blocked and allowed a 109-yard punt return TD in their 'regular season walkthrough' game against KC. This squad can't afford special teams miscues.
13 0-0-0
(0-0-0)
-2.0 Washington
All of the leading indicators are telling us that RGIII will be healthy and ready to start on Monday Night Football in Week 1 against the Eagles.
14 0-0-0
(0-0-0)
-1.5 Dallas
Dez Bryant, Miles Austin and Jason Witten have a unique chemistry with Tony Romo, but Romo's interceptions nearly doubled last year from his stellar 2011 campaign.
15 0-0-0
(0-0-0)
-1.0 Cincinnati
On paper, Cincinnati might have the single-best defense in the AFC heading into the season. So why couldn't they get stops in either of their last two preseason games?
16 0-0-0
(0-0-0)
1.0 Detroit
The Lions finished with a minus-16 turnover differential against one of the three toughest schedules in the NFL last year. A pass catching threat out of the backfield like Reggie Bush can only help.
17 0-0-0
(0-0-0)
1.0 Indianapolis
Indy went 9-1 in games decided by a TD or less last year and faced the single easiest schedule in the NFL. No surprise that the betting markets are expecting significant regression.
18 0-0-0
(0-0-0)
1.0 Minnesota
Of the 12 playoff teams in the NFL every season, an average of only seven of those teams reach the postseason the following year. Lined at seven wins here in Vegas, expect a major decline.
19 0-0-0
(0-0-0)
1.5 Carolina
Before we get too carried away with the Panthers' 5-1 closeout last year, let's not forget that only one of those wins came against an opponent with a winning record.
20 0-0-0
(0-0-0)
1.5 Miami
Ryan Tannehill to Mike Wallace might become the next big play QB/WR combination in the league this year, but only if Miami's much-maligned offensive line gives them time to connect.
21 0-0-0
(0-0-0)
2.0 Kansas City
Alex Smith is light years better than Matt Cassel and Brady Quinn. Andy Reid is light years better than Romeo Crennel. And K.C.'s minus-24 turnover differential from 2012 can only improve.
22 0-0-0
(0-0-0)
2.5 St. Louis
Jeff Fisher's new mantra for the Rams is youth and speed. St Louis went 4-1-1 straight up against the elite NFC West last year and still finished with a losing record.
23 0-0-0
(0-0-0)
3.0 Philadelphia
Chip Kelly wants to run an offensive play every 12 seconds, as fast a tempo as the NFL has ever seen. Can the Eagles defense withstand the wear and tear that pace will require?
24 0-0-0
(0-0-0)
3.0 Tampa Bay
Josh Freeman was a bottom-tier quarterback last year and his preseason has been every bit as bad. If things go south for Freeman, rookie Mike Glennon is next on the depth chart.
25 0-0-0
(0-0-0)
3.5 San Diego
For a good portion of the last decade, the Chargers had the single most talented roster not to reach a Super Bowl in the NFL. With a new head coach and GM, it's rebuilding time.
26 0-0-0
(0-0-0)
4.0 Cleveland
The Browns defense beat up on their offense throughout training camp. And while the defense might be pretty good, Brandon Weeden is a long, long way from being an elite level quarterback.
27 0-0-0
(0-0-0)
4.5 Tennessee
The Titans massively upgraded their offensive line this past offseason and new defensive assistant Gregg Williams is back in the league from his year-long league mandated suspension.
28 0-0-0
(0-0-0)
5.0 Arizona
Arizona's biggest weakness last year was their offensive line. Now that No. 1 draft choice Jonathan Cooper has a broken leg, that OL might be their biggest weakness again in 2013.
29 0-0-0
(0-0-0)
6.0 Buffalo
There's a legitimate chance that Buffalo could have undrafted rookie free agent Jeff Tuel as its starting quarterback on opening day. Tuel struggled against the Redskins' third stringers last week.
30 0-0-0
(0-0-0)
6.0 N.Y. Jets
We already know how this is going to end: Rex Ryan getting fired, Mark Sanchez getting run out of town, and the Jets cruising towards another last-place finish.
31 0-0-0
(0-0-0)
7.5 Jacksonville
The Jags new look, uptempo, no-huddle offense actually looked pretty good this preseason. But there will be no quick fix for this perennial bottom-five franchise.
32 0-0-0
(0-0-0)
8.0 Oakland
The Raiders have nearly $50 million in dead salary cap money from the Al Davis era that won't be off the books until 2014. In the meantime, there are many, many holes to fill with second-tier talent.
Return to the Current Week's rankings

Power Ratings compute offensive and defensive statistics into one number for each team, while accounting for factors like recent performances and strength of schedule. Power Ratings can be used as a baseline for relative spread index to compare current or future match-ups between two teams. The relative spread does not account for non-statistical factors like home-field advantage, recent injuries, game time decisions, rivalries, publicity, and weather.