NRL round 6

YTD record: 12-8
units: +10.9


Thank god it's friday, the trip fortnight ago and the easter weekend has kept me in the holiday mood resulting my lack of motivation at work last few days. Hello weekend!


One for tonight,

Passing on the gold coast game, the home side should win by a decent margin but the green beans arnt doing too bad atm. Prince's long term signing and the road trip down south will have the team and the crowd in high spirits. But i cannot write off the raiders tonight especially with campo getting into form and pushing for a spot in the origin side. This game is hard to call for mine, i'm sure the titans would want to build on their recent success and get it done against a team they have dominated in the past (at home) but like i said the raiders dont look too bad on the road so far and defending well.

So onto the next game in CUA, broncs 4 point favorite over the panthers. Brisbane have a poor record in CUA, 1-3-1 since 2003 QF averaging about 19pts from the 5 games. Also with their shitty finish to their last weeks game, you couldnt be too confident with the visitors. Penrith on the other hand have been playing some quality footy and surprising alot of people with the improvement they have made so far this season, although they struggle to cross the tryline on the road at home it's a different story. The chocky soldiers will know this is a must win game for the team to believe in finals footy, so with all that said I'm taking the points with the homeside. Should of taken it at the opening line of 5.5 earlier this week, so i'll pay the juice at centrebet and stick with the 5.5 start.

PANTHERS +5.5 @ 1.78 (2.5 units)


gl fellas

Hope u guys understand the write up, rushed it in 5 mins

heading out to get shitfaced, open bar at my mate's place

And watch your liver. 

gl mate brisbane by 4 then! 

panthers    

Not even angry. Being let down by penrith....eh nothing new, just when you think they are value.........   only a converted try down in the final stages and they end up losing by 20.

moving on,

The dragons have won the last 5 at energy aus and have dropped both home games to the nights during that time including 16-14 win by the knights at oki last year. It's too early to say the dragons are the real deal and now they are the hot pick to take it out this year, still plenty of footy left in this season. Yeah it was a good win against the broncos in suncorp, but the broncs havent beaten the saints since 2004 and have dropped the last 6 game in suncorp against them so it wasnt such a surprise imo. They have beaten 2 struggling sides (eels, sharks), had a sniff against the underperforming storm and won the ugliest game for this season at home against the titans who ended the game with 32 missed tackes and 17 handling errors. So if the dragons are the team to beat this season, why is the line set at 6..... only a converted try? shouldnt it be atleast 8.5 since they are playing at home. The knights traditionally play their home games with alot of pride and having dropped the last 5 to this team has produced their best as visitors (54-6 victory @ WIN stadium 06) so it's fair to say the knight will come into this game in the right attitude to win. Extra spice is added to this game as coach smith is up against his old foe bennett, who has had the better of him throught out their coaching career.

Dragons have always faultered when the pressure of the expectation was high, yes bennett has worked on the mental aspects of this talented side but he has told the fans it'll take time. Knights are building on last year's 9th place finish and believe they are good enough for the finals this year and currently they have the form to cause an upset today. I wouldnt be surprise if knight win this SU so the 6 points at even money is great value imo.

KNIGHTS +6 @1.990 (3 units)

KNIGHTS ml/EAGLES ml @ 4.40 (1 unit)

* at suncorp

still drunk

I have a happy liver

 gl mate  

AP

Good Luck Mate

i personally dislike the knights as i have for years but this year they have shown excelent defence so the +6 warrants a bet.however im going dragons to win at $1.50 so cheers to us both winning .goodluck and drink up.10 xxxx golds down befor the game.im guna be shitfaced

fellas

you join covers just to piss me off?

 

huh

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

j/k

just think they have a good chance to win tonight

knights +6

knight ml/eagles ml


For today,

gonna have a small bet on the pick your own line option with centrebet

WAR -3.5/EELS +6.5 @ 2.87 (1.6 units)

The warriors didn't look too bad last week, other than the silly errors they made they did look more promising in the attack including 6 line breaks. They tackled well but the simple mistakes is what killed their momentum through out the game. With price and manu V's return, I'm hoping they can get out of the slump and win this against the jekyll & hyde roosters team.

You can't fault the bulldogs so far this season, they are playing great footy and looking like a genuine top 4 side atm. So why would I go with the struggling side, well the bulldogs had a tough banged up game last monday and i'm betting they are still recovering and sore coming into this one. Eels have a decent record @ ANZ (8-2, last 10) and with the finch drama behind them, I'm expecting improvements from this team and will take a try start for this grudge match.

 

Sorry I couldnt post this earlier, got up late to only realise the game is kicking off early today in NZ.